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Keflavik vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 92-71
21-23 27-16 18-19 26-13
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game96.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 3· Blue-hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Keflavik v Stjarnan
18 Feb 2027
KEFL v STJA
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
KEFL107
STJA110
17 Oct 2025
KEFL92
STJA71
14 Mar 2025
KEFL107
STJA98
19 Mar 2024
KEFL113
STJA94
26 Jan 2024
KEFL97
STJA89
20 Jan 2023
KEFL115
STJA87
15 Oct 2021
KEFL80
STJA65
23 Apr 2021
KEFL100
STJA81
24 Jan 2020
KEFL77
STJA83
25 Oct 2018
KEFL68
STJA66
07 Dec 2017
KEFL81
STJA92
27 Jan 2017
KEFL103
STJA106
17 Dec 2015
KEFL87
STJA85
20 Oct 2014
KEFL83
STJA74
28 Mar 2014
KEFL93
STJA94
21 Mar 2014
KEFL81
STJA87
09 Jan 2014
KEFL96
STJA93
24 Mar 2013
KEFL100
STJA87
17 Jan 2013
KEFL107
STJA103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 83
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
77-116
77
116
-39
59avg 83
A06/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
107-98
107
98
+9
98avg 83
H14/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
52avg 83
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
W
119-114
119
114
+5
112avg 83
A27/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
86avg 83
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
93-96
93
96
-3
87avg 83
H06/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
75-100
75
100
-25
59avg 83
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 83
H02/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-101
81
101
-20
72avg 83
A09/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
28-31
20-18
21-24
9-32
18-30
27-27
23-27
30-23
31-25
23-21
23-29
19-21
16-30
14-26
18-14
24-25
31-30
36-29
28-30
23-25
29-23
17-25
18-21
25-23
20-25
26-22
22-26
14-22
20-30
19-23
22-25
26-16
20-25
22-23
24-19
28-24
20-29
14-22
19-26
188.3Avg total
88.9Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.592.0178.5-5.550%
Season at home (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)81.0101.0182.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)88.999.4188.3-10.530%
Last 5 (5)85.694.8180.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)90.297.5187.7-7.325%
vs Similar (12)92.994.5187.4-1.642%
vs Weaker (5)108.096.2204.2+11.880%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
91-105
91
105
-14
75avg 87
H28/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
92-95
92
95
-3
82avg 87
A02/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
65avg 87
H05/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
90-93
90
93
-3
79avg 87
A08/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
103-74
103
74
+29
97avg 87
H11/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
97-110
97
110
-13
86avg 87
A14/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
91-86
91
86
+5
81avg 87
H18/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
74avg 87
A21/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
81avg 87
A02/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 87
H11/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
26-36
20-31
20-17
29-23
26-19
23-23
14-30
25-21
15-15
22-17
12-17
22-26
20-17
32-26
16-24
20-15
15-19
26-14
42-26
24-27
34-36
26-21
13-26
19-32
25-24
29-17
18-13
23-24
17-24
24-21
18-8
21-27
29-14
23-23
16-25
26-34
27-12
22-20
19-25
181.5Avg total
91.2Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)96.096.5192.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)94.091.0185.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)98.0102.0200.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)91.290.3181.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)92.493.2185.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)93.991.2185.1+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.389.2183.6+5.160%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
KeflavikStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A28/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A06/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H14/03
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#9
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A27/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H06/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A09/10
Premier league
97.0Avg total
45.3Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.449.498.8+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.847.397.1+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)49.051.7100.7-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)45.351.797.0-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)45.048.493.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)46.850.497.2-3.633%-
vs Similar (12)49.649.899.4-0.233%-
vs Weaker (5)55.046.6101.6+8.4100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#4
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H28/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A02/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A14/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H18/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A21/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A02/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H11/10
Premier league
93.4Avg total
46.8Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.145.693.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.545.693.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)48.645.694.2+3.159%-
Last 10 (10)46.846.693.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.050.899.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)46.747.994.6-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.944.593.3+4.465%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.0
51.4%
54.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.0
31.7%
34.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws26.420.9
79.2%
74.2%20.9
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.3
51.7%
54.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.79.1
27.8%
34.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.620.5
77.1%
74.2%20.5
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWLLLWLWLL
Stjarnan
WLWWLWLWLL
#5
League position
#3
-13.3
Net rating
+1.3
109.3
Offensive rating
107.9
122.6
Defensive rating
106.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
47.3%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.7%
3-point %
27.8%
57.5%
Assist %
53.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 107.9Defence122.6 · 106.6Shooting49.4% · 47.3%3-point %31.7% · 27.8%Ball care15.4% · 14.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik wins
5
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Keflavik v Stjarnan107-98
12/12/24Stjarnan v Keflavik97-93
19/03/24Keflavik v Stjarnan113-94
26/01/24Keflavik v Stjarnan97-89
26/10/23Stjarnan v Keflavik87-81
20/01/23Keflavik v Stjarnan115-87
11/01/23Stjarnan v Keflavik89-83
13/10/22Stjarnan v Keflavik86-92
16/03/22Stjarnan v Keflavik95-93 OT
21/01/22Stjarnan v Keflavik98-95 OT
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25ATindastoll81-101
02/10/25HIR Reykjavik92-83
10/04/25ATindastoll75-100
06/04/25HTindastoll93-96
02/04/25ATindastoll87-94
27/03/25AThorl119-114
19/03/25HValur67-91
14/03/25HStjarnan107-98
06/03/25ATindastoll77-116
28/02/25AGrindavik91-101
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HValur94-91
02/10/25AKR Basket98-102 OT
21/05/25ATindastoll82-77
18/05/25HTindastoll91-86
14/05/25ATindastoll97-110
11/05/25HTindastoll103-74
08/05/25ATindastoll90-93
05/05/25HGrindavik74-70
02/05/25AGrindavik92-95
28/04/25HGrindavik91-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.592.081.0
Allowed / game92.083.0101.0
Point differential-5.5+9.0-20.0
Avg total178.5175.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game96.094.098.0
Allowed / game96.591.0102.0
Point differential-0.5+3.0-4.0
Avg total192.5185.0200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll330100%100.377.7+22.7
2 KR Basket330100%104.087.3+16.7
3 Grindavik330100%101.388.3+13.0
4 Alftanes32167%93.372.7+20.7
5 Stjarnan21150%96.096.5-0.5
6 Keflavik21150%86.592.0-5.5
7 Valur31233%90.088.0+2.0
8 Njardvik31233%108.7110.0-1.3
9 Akranes IA31233%106.7112.7-6.0
10 IR Reykjavik31233%84.0101.7-17.7
11 Thorl3030%79.095.3-16.3
12 Armann3030%80.3110.0-29.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik2127182692
Stjarnan2316191371
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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