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Akron vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 100-115
42-47 58-68
Position#14
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game74.8
Akron
USA
vs
Murray State 🏆
USA
Position#102
Record7-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akron winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H04/11
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
104-69
104
69
+35
H08/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#687
W
109-51
109
51
+58
H13/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A17/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
97-59
97
59
+38
A24/11
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H25/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H30/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-39
55-32
47-27
57-42
50-23
59-28
39-52
40-45
47-33
49-42
44-36
53-23
37-46
57-51
52-39
53-42
49-36
48-41
42-34
46-37
170.2Avg total
95.4Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.474.8170.2+20.680%
Season at home (7)98.674.4173.0+24.186%
Season away (3)88.075.7163.7+12.367%
Last 10 (10)95.474.8170.2+20.680%
Last 5 (5)96.277.0173.2+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)82.280.5162.8+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.274.1165.3+17.195%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
108-60
108
60
+48
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
96-95
96
95
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
51-46
47-23
61-37
42-49
49-53
48-39
51-40
43-23
46-45
40-43
47-47
17-40
43-33
45-43
51-52
33-28
51-24
47-34
34-34
164.4Avg total
88.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.076.4164.4+11.670%
Season at home (7)91.771.3163.0+20.4100%
Season away (3)79.388.3167.7-9.00%
Last 10 (10)88.076.4164.4+11.670%
Last 5 (5)81.675.6157.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.673.0140.6-5.429%
vs Similar (14)75.973.6149.5+2.450%
vs Weaker (9)79.767.4147.1+12.278%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: +7.3+7.3
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: +7.3+7.3
AkronMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H04/11
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#687
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H13/11
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H30/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/12
NCAA
80.2Avg total
43.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.135.276.3+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.134.876.8+7.368%-
Last 30 away (11)39.535.875.4+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)43.736.580.2+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.283.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)38.639.177.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.033.775.8+8.377%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/12
NCAA
74.9Avg total
39.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.166.6+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.932.568.4+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)30.333.864.2-3.554%-
Last 10 (10)39.635.374.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.674.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.735.064.7-5.343%-
vs Similar (14)33.234.467.6-1.150%-
vs Weaker (9)36.829.766.4+7.189%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Akron wins
0
Murray State wins
No previous meetings.
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ATulane88-71
04/12/25HBucknell97-77
30/11/25HWisc. Milwaukee105-81
25/11/25HYale94-97
24/11/25AEvansville97-59
21/11/25HIona96-75
17/11/25APurdue79-97
13/11/25HPenn State-Shenango109-51
08/11/25HPrinceton104-69
04/11/25HJames Madison85-71
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HBellarmine81-68
03/12/25HMorehead State84-52
26/11/25HGeorge Washington96-95
25/11/25AMcNeese State60-73
24/11/25AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90
19/11/25HUALR89-68
15/11/25HNicholls State99-79
12/11/25ASMU Mustangs91-102
08/11/25HMiss. Valley St.108-60
03/11/25HNebraska O.85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akron
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game95.498.688.0
Allowed / game74.874.475.7
Point differential+20.6+24.1+12.3
Avg total170.2173.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%86%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%100%0%
Points / game88.091.779.3
Allowed / game76.471.388.3
Point differential+11.6+20.4-9.0
Avg total164.4163.0167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)10100100%93.269.0+24.2
2 Buffalo109190%78.271.2+7.0
3 Akron108280%95.474.8+20.6
4 Kent State108280%97.881.6+16.2
5 UMass118373%80.373.6+6.6
6 Bowling Green107370%88.365.8+22.5
7 Eastern Michigan116555%71.970.9+1.0
8 Toledo105550%82.677.6+5.0
9 Western Michigan105550%76.778.3-1.6
10 Ohio93633%73.981.0-7.1
11 Ball State103730%65.069.4-4.4
12 Central Michigan103730%72.378.6-6.3
13 Northern Illinois103730%74.080.3-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont119282%82.569.6+12.8
2 Illinois State108280%81.565.9+15.6
3 Northern Iowa97278%73.457.4+16.0
4 Murray State107370%88.076.4+11.6
5 Southern Illinois106460%80.371.5+8.8
6 Bradley106460%75.368.3+7.0
7 Indiana State106460%75.969.1+6.8
8 Valparaiso106460%73.168.3+4.8
9 Drake116555%80.968.5+12.5
10 Illinois (Chi.)94544%77.273.2+4.0
11 Evansville114736%69.072.5-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Akron4258100
Murray State4768115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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