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Murray State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 89-68
43-23 46-45
Position#102
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#295
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Murray State v UALR
18 Nov 2025
MURR89
UALR68
19 Dec 2020
MURR v UALR
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A02/03
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
108-60
108
60
+48
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
29-36
39-36
36-39
39-40
46-35
22-41
38-29
35-29
39-24
28-27
34-43
34-31
51-46
47-23
61-37
42-49
49-53
48-39
51-40
154.0Avg total
80.9Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.879.5175.2+16.275%
Season at home (3)97.372.0169.3+25.3100%
Season away (1)91.0102.0193.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)80.973.1154.0+7.860%
Last 5 (5)89.077.6166.6+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.066.0131.0-1.033%
vs Similar (16)72.674.2146.8-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.670.6150.2+9.062%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#217
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A01/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A08/03
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#405
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
49-89
49
89
-40
A13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
41-38
36-39
39-22
27-36
33-35
24-38
41-35
46-40
36-37
29-40
30-38
37-42
55-21
38-41
34-51
29-46
20-43
37-35
31-27
147.3Avg total
71.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.276.5146.8-6.250%
Season at home (1)92.063.0155.0+29.0100%
Season away (3)63.081.0144.0-18.033%
Last 10 (10)71.475.9147.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)68.076.8144.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)59.068.7127.7-9.733%
vs Similar (13)71.072.7143.7-1.746%
vs Weaker (13)70.861.5132.3+9.477%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +1.3+1.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +1.3+1.3
Murray StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A02/03
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.833.265.0-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.733.065.7-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)30.833.564.3-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.970.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.873.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.832.562.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (16)31.634.666.2-3.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)33.831.064.8+2.875%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#217
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A01/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#405
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
34.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.366.1-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.531.964.4+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)33.034.967.9-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)34.139.873.9-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.874.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)27.330.357.7-3.033%-
vs Similar (13)33.535.869.3-2.238%-
vs Weaker (13)32.831.564.3+1.246%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
1
UALR wins
DateGameScore
19/12/23UALR v Murray State80-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HNicholls State99-79
12/11/25ASMU Mustangs91-102
08/11/25HMiss. Valley St.108-60
03/11/25HNebraska O.85-77
08/03/25ABradley62-70
07/03/25HEvansville74-53
02/03/25ABelmont60-70
26/02/25HIndiana State85-75
22/02/25ABradley83-85 OT
20/02/25HSouthern Illinois62-60
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25ABall State68-62
13/11/25AMarquette49-89
11/11/25AWisc. Milwaukee72-92
05/11/25HArkansas Baptist92-63
08/03/25ASoutheast Missouri State59-78
07/03/25HUT Martin82-77
01/03/25ASiu Edwardsville65-73
28/02/25AEastern Illinois60-71
22/02/25HWestern Illinois75-61
21/02/25HLindenwood92-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game95.897.391.0
Allowed / game79.572.0102.0
Point differential+16.2+25.3-11.0
Avg total175.2169.3193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UALR
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game70.292.063.0
Allowed / game76.563.081.0
Point differential-6.2+29.0-18.0
Avg total146.8155.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa330100%73.756.3+17.3
2 Murray State43175%95.879.5+16.2
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%82.266.2+16.0
4 Belmont43175%75.075.2-0.2
5 Valparaiso43175%65.270.8-5.5
6 Drake53260%75.065.2+9.8
7 Southern Illinois42250%87.574.5+13.0
8 Evansville42250%72.864.0+8.8
9 Illinois State42250%73.276.0-2.8
10 Indiana State42250%76.580.0-3.5
11 Bradley41325%69.869.0+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin43175%83.569.2+14.2
2 Siu Edwardsville53260%76.265.4+10.8
3 Tennessee State42250%94.077.0+17.0
4 UALR42250%70.276.5-6.2
5 Tennessee Tech52340%79.667.0+12.6
6 Morehead State52340%82.483.8-1.4
7 Lindenwood52340%78.081.8-3.8
8 Southeast Missouri State41325%77.576.5+1.0
9 Southern Indiana41325%74.282.2-8.0
10 Eastern Illinois41325%59.875.0-15.2
11 Western Illinois51420%64.872.6-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State434689
UALR234568
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