Aktobe vs Irbis Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 84-90

14-20 27-15 21-31 22-24

Position#5

Record5-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game78.9

Aktobe

Irbis Almaty 🏆

Position#4

Record9-12

FormLLLLW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game80.4

National League

Other2022-23

Meetings · Aktobe v Irbis Almaty

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Irbis Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

79-71

A01/12

National League

Atyrau

69-77

-8

H07/12

National League

Atyrau

56-66

-10

H08/12

National League

Atyrau

54-70

-16

A23/12

National League

Atyrau

66-72

-6

A24/12

National League

Astana

78-88

-10

A17/01

National League

Astana

71-89

-18

A18/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

78-83

-5

A21/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

79-82

-3

A22/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

84-99

-15

H05/03

National League

20-19

15-21

13-15

31-16

15-19

16-18

18-18

20-22

12-16

13-31

18-3

13-16

12-20

12-16

20-13

10-21

25-14

11-23

22-22

8-13

25-22

23-33

8-14

22-19

16-30

20-21

17-24

18-14

19-19

15-20

18-25

26-19

18-21

17-30

22-13

22-18

18-26

17-22

26-25

23-26

151.1Avg total

71.4Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	74.8	78.9	153.7	-4.1	22%
Season at home (11)	76.2	79.1	155.3	-2.9	27%
Season away (12)	73.5	78.8	152.2	-5.2	17%
Last 10 (10)	71.4	79.7	151.1	-8.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	88.2	166.2	-10.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	71.1	73.5	144.6	-2.4	25%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	76.5	82.9	159.4	-6.5	15%
vs Weaker (5)	72.6	70.4	143.0	+2.2	60%

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Irbis Almaty Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

68-87

-19

H07/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

77-93

-16

A13/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

78-74

A14/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

87-88

-1

H23/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

102-85

102

+17

H24/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

75-80

-5

A14/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

74-82

-8

A15/01

National League

Atyrau

71-77

-6

A19/01

National League

Atyrau

64-71

-7

A20/01

National League

Aktobe

99-84

+15

A05/03

National League

18-19

25-22

18-20

7-26

22-29

14-17

18-25

23-22

18-17

24-17

19-19

17-21

24-20

20-24

15-21

28-23

21-25

26-26

35-19

20-15

23-23

11-24

14-18

27-15

21-21

16-17

16-27

21-17

6-22

20-22

26-8

19-25

13-16

17-16

16-25

18-14

26-18

22-17

25-26

26-23

161.6Avg total

79.5Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.2	80.4	158.6	-2.2	43%
Season at home (10)	77.0	80.4	157.4	-3.4	50%
Season away (11)	79.3	80.4	159.6	-1.1	36%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	82.1	161.6	-2.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	78.8	155.4	-2.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.8	84.5	159.2	-9.8	25%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	79.0	79.4	158.4	-0.4	47%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AktobeIrbis Almaty

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.1	38.7	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.1	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	19.1	36.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	23.5	39.4	-7.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.2	43.6	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+1.9	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.2	39.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

35-40

-5

A01/12

National League

Atyrau

31-37

-6

H07/12

National League

Atyrau

25-47

-22

H08/12

National League

Atyrau

24-36

-12

A23/12

National League

Atyrau

36-37

-1

A24/12

National League

Astana

48-55

-7

A17/01

National League

Astana

36-51

-15

A18/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

34-39

-5

A21/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

35-51

-16

A22/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

35-48

-13

H05/03

National League

78.0Avg total

33.9Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	40.8	78.1	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	39.9	76.5	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	41.7	79.6	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	44.1	78.0	-10.2	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	48.8	86.4	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.0	40.5	77.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.8	43.2	81.0	-5.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	36.6	35.2	71.8	+1.4	60%	-

This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

43-41

H07/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

36-46

-10

A13/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

42-34

A14/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

44-44

H23/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-51

-4

H24/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

34-47

-13

A14/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

37-38

-1

A15/01

National League

Atyrau

26-44

-18

A19/01

National League

Atyrau

30-32

-2

A20/01

National League

Aktobe

48-35

+13

A05/03

National League

79.9Avg total

38.7Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	38.2	39.3	77.5	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.3	41.0	79.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.1	37.8	75.9	+0.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.2	79.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.2	74.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.2	41.0	79.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.2	38.9	77.1	-0.8	35%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	17.1	33.9	-0.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.2	15.6	33.8	+2.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.4	16.0	33.4	+1.4	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.5	21.5	40.9	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	17.9	35.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	15.8	17.4	33.2	-1.6	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	70%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	22.0	36.2	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	76%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	36.1	72.2	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	37.3	75.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	35.0	69.1	-0.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	35.6	73.1	+1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.4	79.8	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.1	33.0	67.1	+1.1	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.7	39.7	78.4	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	34.2	34.4	68.6	-0.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	39.7	40.6	80.2	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.7	39.4	78.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.5	41.6	82.2	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.9	81.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	39.6	81.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.8	41.0	75.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.8	40.5	81.3	+0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aktobe wins

Irbis Almaty wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/23	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	84-99
01/12/22	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	71-79
30/11/22	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	74-67
21/11/22	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	80-95
20/11/22	Aktobe v Irbis Almaty	62-86
16/10/22	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	70-104
15/10/22	Irbis Almaty v Aktobe	73-61

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	84-99
22/01/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	79-82
21/01/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	78-83
18/01/23	A	Astana	71-89
17/01/23	A	Astana	78-88
24/12/22	A	Atyrau	66-72
23/12/22	A	Atyrau	54-70
08/12/22	H	Atyrau	56-66
07/12/22	H	Atyrau	69-77
01/12/22	A	Irbis Almaty	79-71

Irbis Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/23	A	Aktobe	99-84
20/01/23	A	Atyrau	64-71
19/01/23	A	Atyrau	71-77
15/01/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	74-82
14/01/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	75-80
24/12/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	102-85
23/12/22	H	Tobol Kostanay	87-88
14/12/22	A	Tobol Kostanay	78-74
13/12/22	A	Tobol Kostanay	77-93
07/12/22	H	Astana	68-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe

National League 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	22%
Home	WWLLL	27%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	22%	27%	17%
Points / game	74.8	76.2	73.5
Allowed / game	78.9	79.1	78.8
Point differential	-4.1	-2.9	-5.2
Avg total	153.7	155.3	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	27%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Irbis Almaty

National League 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	43%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	LLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	43%	50%	36%
Points / game	78.2	77.0	79.3
Allowed / game	80.4	80.4	80.4
Point differential	-2.2	-3.4	-1.1
Avg total	158.6	157.4	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	20%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tobol Kostanay	23	15	8	65%	80.6	84.6	-4.0
2	Astana	14	9	5	64%	84.4	74.4	+10.0
3	Atyrau	19	12	7	63%	78.6	73.7	+4.9
4	Irbis Almaty	21	9	12	43%	78.2	80.4	-2.2
5	Aktobe	23	5	18	22%	74.8	78.9	-4.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aktobe	14	27	21	22	84
Irbis Almaty	20	15	31	24	90

← all games of the day

Aktobe vs Irbis Almaty Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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