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Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 83-78
19-19 20-15 25-18 19-26
Position#3
Record12-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#5
Record5-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game77.5
KazakhstanNational League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe
06 Nov 2024
TOBO85
AKTO82
05 Nov 2024
TOBO109
AKTO81
15 May 2024
TOBO109
AKTO97
14 May 2024
TOBO89
AKTO105
09 Nov 2023
TOBO101
AKTO76
08 Nov 2023
TOBO96
AKTO88
22 Jan 2023
TOBO82
AKTO79
21 Jan 2023
TOBO83
AKTO78
03 Nov 2022
TOBO88
AKTO69
02 Nov 2022
TOBO85
AKTO76
11 May 2022
TOBO61
AKTO66
10 May 2022
TOBO79
AKTO77
11 Oct 2021
TOBO92
AKTO90
10 Oct 2021
TOBO77
AKTO74
02 Feb 2021
TOBO92
AKTO72
01 Feb 2021
TOBO104
AKTO84
21 Nov 2019
TOBO98
AKTO73
20 Nov 2019
TOBO81
AKTO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A29/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A30/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H13/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H14/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A23/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
85-102
85
102
-17
A24/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
45-95
45
95
-50
A28/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
56-114
56
114
-58
A29/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H14/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H15/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
17-20
27-35
14-20
13-23
14-21
19-12
13-23
29-22
17-14
25-18
22-23
17-18
17-24
19-19
21-17
20-24
24-20
21-15
23-28
25-21
26-26
19-35
15-20
11-39
16-20
8-20
10-16
15-28
17-25
11-23
13-38
23-23
24-11
18-14
15-27
21-21
17-16
27-16
17-21
162.5Avg total
74.2Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.785.2164.9-5.560%
Season at home (10)85.978.9164.8+7.080%
Season away (10)73.591.4164.9-17.940%
Last 10 (10)74.288.3162.5-14.140%
Last 5 (5)69.692.0161.6-22.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.786.8158.6-15.130%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.779.3164.0+5.480%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
W
103-71
103
71
+32
H24/11
National League
Astana
#1
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H25/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A30/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A01/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H07/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H08/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A23/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A24/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A17/01
National League
Astana
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A18/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
22-12
26-20
23-19
23-19
16-7
20-15
15-12
12-14
19-21
20-10
16-29
20-19
15-21
13-15
31-16
15-19
16-18
18-18
20-22
12-16
13-31
18-3
13-16
12-20
12-16
20-13
10-21
25-14
11-23
22-22
8-13
25-22
23-33
8-14
22-19
16-30
20-21
17-24
18-14
144.8Avg total
71.7Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.077.5151.5-3.625%
Season at home (10)75.477.1152.5-1.730%
Season away (10)72.578.0150.5-5.520%
Last 10 (10)71.773.1144.8-1.430%
Last 5 (5)65.077.0142.0-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.177.2144.3-10.120%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.381.4156.7-6.120%
vs Weaker (5)72.670.4143.0+2.260%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
Tobol KostanayAktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H14/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A23/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A24/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
27-59
27
59
-32
A28/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A29/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H14/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
National League
82.8Avg total
38.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.382.4-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.642.586.1+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)35.644.079.6-8.424%-
Last 10 (10)38.544.382.8-5.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.085.0-7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.944.079.8-8.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.442.187.5+3.360%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H24/11
National League
Astana
#1
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A01/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H07/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H08/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A23/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A24/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A17/01
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A18/01
National League
75.5Avg total
35.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.877.1-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.839.376.1-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)35.942.177.9-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.675.5-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.845.279.0-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.641.576.1-6.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.742.481.1-3.740%-
vs Weaker (5)36.635.271.8+1.460%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tobol Kostanay wins
4
Aktobe wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HIrbis Almaty82-74
14/01/23HIrbis Almaty80-75
29/12/22AAstana56-114
28/12/22AAstana45-95
24/12/22AIrbis Almaty85-102
23/12/22AIrbis Almaty88-87
14/12/22HIrbis Almaty74-78
13/12/22HIrbis Almaty93-77
30/11/22AAtyrau59-79
29/11/22AAtyrau80-102
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23AAstana71-89
17/01/23AAstana78-88
24/12/22AAtyrau66-72
23/12/22AAtyrau54-70
08/12/22HAtyrau56-66
07/12/22HAtyrau69-77
01/12/22AIrbis Almaty79-71
30/11/22AIrbis Almaty67-74
25/11/22HAstana74-53
24/11/22HAstana103-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game79.785.973.5
Allowed / game85.278.991.4
Point differential-5.5+7.0-17.9
Avg total164.8164.8164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
National League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWWLL30%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game74.075.472.5
Allowed / game77.577.178.0
Point differential-3.6-1.7-5.5
Avg total151.5152.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau1812667%78.272.5+5.7
2 Astana149564%84.474.4+10.0
3 Tobol Kostanay2012860%79.785.2-5.5
4 Irbis Almaty2081240%77.280.2-3.0
5 Aktobe2051525%74.077.5-3.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay1920251983
Aktobe1915182678
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