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Aktobe vs Irbis Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-73
22-23 15-23 15-21 23-6
Position#3
Record21-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game81.1
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#1
Record31-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game71.5
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Semi-finals
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aktobe v Irbis Almaty
08 Oct 2024
AKTO62
IRBI75
07 Oct 2024
AKTO81
IRBI78
28 Apr 2024
AKTO86
IRBI91
27 Apr 2024
AKTO75
IRBI73
26 Nov 2023
AKTO64
IRBI86
25 Nov 2023
AKTO95
IRBI114
06 Mar 2023
AKTO84
IRBI90
05 Mar 2023
AKTO84
IRBI99
21 Nov 2022
AKTO80
IRBI95
20 Nov 2022
AKTO62
IRBI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Irbis Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
101avg 78
A05/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
89-58
89
58
+31
94avg 78
A06/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 78
H13/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
69avg 78
H14/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 78
H02/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 78
H03/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
66avg 78
A09/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
85-70
85
70
+15
89avg 78
A10/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
57avg 78
A19/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
93-78
93
78
+15
85avg 78
A20/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
25-21
22-22
27-23
20-14
31-13
21-21
17-10
19-21
28-18
25-30
23-19
23-25
22-20
24-22
18-24
7-21
22-21
22-16
23-8
12-29
19-19
17-14
34-24
20-14
17-19
10-12
24-23
22-20
22-17
24-16
17-17
19-28
14-23
14-19
22-17
17-20
37-14
16-25
23-19
161.7Avg total
84.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)84.581.1165.5+3.462%
Season at home (16)86.884.4171.2+2.462%
Season away (18)82.478.1160.5+4.361%
Last 10 (10)84.477.3161.7+7.170%
Last 5 (5)80.077.8157.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.388.2168.5-7.930%
vs Similar (10)82.781.8164.5+0.960%
vs Weaker (10)90.276.1166.3+14.180%
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Irbis AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 87
H02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
108-74
108
74
+34
104avg 87
A10/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
106avg 87
A11/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
94-71
94
71
+23
86avg 87
H16/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
105-103
105
103
+2
95avg 87
H17/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
88avg 87
H25/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 87
H26/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
93-54
93
54
+39
92avg 87
A27/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
82avg 87
H19/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
70avg 87
H20/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
14-24
26-17
22-20
33-20
27-19
28-12
20-23
34-16
25-18
32-23
15-17
21-12
22-20
27-24
24-15
24-23
20-32
29-20
32-28
27-15
20-14
31-15
16-21
32-19
21-6
19-12
16-22
26-15
27-18
25-14
15-7
28-19
23-14
19-14
17-22
20-17
14-37
25-16
19-23
166.9Avg total
93.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)89.071.5160.5+17.594%
Season at home (18)86.670.6157.2+15.994%
Season away (15)91.972.5164.4+19.393%
Last 10 (10)93.773.2166.9+20.590%
Last 5 (5)88.068.0156.0+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.571.0159.5+17.493%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +10.2+10.2Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +9.4+9.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +10.2+10.2Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +9.4+9.4Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
AktobeIrbis Almaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A05/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A06/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/03
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H02/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H03/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A09/04
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A10/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A19/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A20/04
National League
81.3Avg total
42.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.685.8+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.645.488.9-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)42.840.283.0+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.281.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.447.489.8-5.020%-
vs Similar (10)39.043.682.6-4.640%-
vs Weaker (10)48.036.984.9+11.1100%-
This opponent (Irbis Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Irbis AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A10/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A11/03
National League
Almaty
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H16/03
National League
Almaty
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H17/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H25/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H26/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A27/03
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H19/04
National League
Aktobe
#3
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H20/04
National League
84.7Avg total
48.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.635.782.3+10.983%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.934.679.5+10.388%-
Last 30 away (13)48.837.286.0+11.777%-
Last 10 (10)48.036.784.7+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)47.634.882.4+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.635.782.3+10.983%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aktobe wins
8
Irbis Almaty wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Irbis Almaty v Aktobe78-93
19/04/24Irbis Almaty v Aktobe87-69
19/12/23Irbis Almaty v Aktobe77-67
18/12/23Irbis Almaty v Aktobe81-67
26/11/23Aktobe v Irbis Almaty64-86
25/11/23Aktobe v Irbis Almaty95-114
06/03/23Aktobe v Irbis Almaty84-90
05/03/23Aktobe v Irbis Almaty84-99
01/12/22Irbis Almaty v Aktobe71-79
30/11/22Irbis Almaty v Aktobe74-67
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AIrbis Almaty93-78
19/04/24AIrbis Almaty69-87
10/04/24AAstana 285-70
09/04/24AAstana 271-68
03/04/24HAstana 282-86
02/04/24HAstana 274-66
14/03/24HTobol Kostanay87-91
13/03/24HTobol Kostanay95-88
06/03/24AKaspiy Aktau89-58
05/03/24AKaspiy Aktau99-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HAktobe78-93
19/04/24HAktobe87-69
27/03/24APavlodar93-54
26/03/24HPavlodar88-59
25/03/24HPavlodar94-65
17/03/24HAlmaty105-103
16/03/24HAlmaty94-71
11/03/24APavlodar106-74
10/03/24APavlodar108-74
02/03/24HAstana 284-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWWWLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %62%62%61%
Points / game84.586.882.4
Allowed / game81.184.478.1
Point differential+3.4+2.4+4.3
Avg total165.5171.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%31%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)40% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Irbis Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL94%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayWWWWW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %94%94%93%
Points / game89.086.691.9
Allowed / game71.570.672.5
Point differential+17.5+15.9+19.3
Avg total160.5157.2164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%78%87%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty3331294%89.071.5+17.5
2 Atyrau33231070%82.173.0+9.1
3 Tobol Kostanay33231070%90.582.0+8.5
4 Aktobe34211362%84.581.1+3.4
5 Astana 232141844%76.476.6-0.2
6 Almaty31102132%81.887.0-5.2
7 Kaspiy Aktau3162519%72.689.3-16.7
8 Pavlodar311303%73.492.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe2215152375
Irbis Almaty232321673
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