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Aktobe vs Karaganda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 95-58
19-10 32-11 22-21 22-16
Position#4
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game68.8
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#7
Record4-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.5
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karaganda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
103-63
103
63
+40
101avg 81
H10/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
108-64
108
64
+44
108avg 81
A11/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
45avg 81
A27/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
66-58
66
58
+8
55avg 81
H28/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 81
A29/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
85-54
85
54
+31
81avg 81
H30/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 81
H04/12
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
94-89
94
89
+5
94avg 81
A05/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 81
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
81avg 81
A07/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-8
23-13
25-11
27-31
28-13
25-16
27-14
28-21
9-14
21-25
14-16
14-10
17-5
15-21
13-12
21-20
30-17
19-20
15-24
18-18
21-13
20-11
23-14
21-16
22-21
21-16
24-23
25-24
19-29
23-16
32-15
20-29
14-17
29-20
13-18
20-16
21-15
17-12
24-15
19-17
153.1Avg total
84.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.668.8153.4+15.892%
Season at home (6)86.069.0155.0+17.0100%
Season away (6)83.268.7151.8+14.583%
Last 10 (10)84.568.6153.1+15.990%
Last 5 (5)85.671.4157.0+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.873.3140.1-6.525%
vs Similar (4)87.583.0170.5+4.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.069.0153.0+15.080%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaraganda
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
83-64
83
64
+19
72avg 57
H17/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
80-60
80
60
+20
62avg 57
A18/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
79avg 57
H27/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
60-101
60
101
-41
39avg 57
A28/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 57
H29/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
59-84
59
84
-25
45avg 57
A30/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
112-72
112
72
+40
112avg 57
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
55avg 57
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
84avg 57
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
89avg 57
H18/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-10
14-15
13-14
22-25
16-23
18-18
21-13
25-6
20-24
27-27
26-27
17-19
12-30
19-27
15-27
14-17
20-23
17-24
26-33
15-14
19-25
12-25
19-20
9-14
25-12
31-19
33-22
23-19
20-23
25-9
13-26
14-22
15-12
35-21
14-17
22-13
18-26
27-17
24-11
19-34
162.7Avg total
81.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.881.5159.3-3.831%
Season at home (6)83.285.8169.0-2.717%
Season away (7)73.177.9151.0-4.743%
Last 10 (10)81.581.2162.7+0.340%
Last 5 (5)84.879.2164.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)50.976.2127.2-25.45%
vs Similar (5)60.867.6128.4-6.820%
vs Weaker (5)88.468.4156.8+20.080%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
AktobeKaraganda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H10/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A11/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H28/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A29/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H30/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/12
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Higher League
74.4Avg total
42.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.936.577.4+4.461%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.336.277.5+5.267%-
Last 30 away (10)40.237.177.3+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.232.274.4+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.075.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.839.578.3-0.736%-
vs Similar (4)43.539.883.2+3.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.931.073.9+11.990%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H17/11
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A18/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H27/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A28/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A30/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/12
Higher League
83.4Avg total
42.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.740.974.7-7.227%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.241.176.3-5.838%-
Last 30 away (13)32.240.873.0-8.515%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.083.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.883.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.444.372.6-15.90%-
vs Similar (4)41.533.575.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)45.835.481.2+10.460%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aktobe wins
0
Karaganda wins
No previous meetings.
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ACHAMP1ON81-59
06/12/25HCHAMP1ON76-71
05/12/25ABC Almaty 294-89
04/12/25HBC Almaty 292-84
30/11/25HTigers-KazATU85-54
29/11/25ATigers-KazATU82-79
28/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk66-58
27/11/25ABars Petropavlovsk58-65
11/11/25AAiRom108-64
10/11/25HAiRom103-63
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HAtyrau 295-97 OT
17/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 286-63
16/12/25HAtyrau 272-80
15/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 2112-72
30/11/25ATuran59-84
29/11/25HShymkent78-94
28/11/25ATuran60-101
27/11/25HShymkent90-97
18/11/25APavlodar80-60
17/11/25HTigers-KazATU83-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game84.686.083.2
Allowed / game68.869.068.7
Point differential+15.8+17.0+14.5
Avg total153.4155.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL31%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%17%43%
Points / game77.883.273.1
Allowed / game81.585.877.9
Point differential-3.8-2.7-4.7
Avg total159.3169.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%17%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1211192%84.668.8+15.8
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21814478%78.269.7+8.4
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1611569%83.463.9+19.6
6 ChelSU Kostanay148657%76.478.7-2.3
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Arlans114736%74.380.8-6.5
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 Karaganda134931%77.881.5-3.8
12 Pavlodar1321115%53.787.3-33.6
13 Tobol Kostanay 21421214%70.184.9-14.8
14 AiRom111109%61.480.0-18.6
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2181176%57.283.9-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe1932222295
Karaganda1011211658
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