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Al Ahli vs Al Salam Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 102-64
24-13 19-19 29-16 30-16
Position#3
Record12-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game71.2
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Al Salam
Saudi Arabia
Position#7
Record5-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game81.7
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 14· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Salam
31 Jan 2025
AL A102
AL S64
02 Feb 2024
AL A104
AL S93
16 Sep 2022
AL A102
AL S77
10 Jan 2022
AL A72
AL S77
18 Dec 2018
AL A84
AL S74
10 Feb 2017
AL A83
AL S74
16 Jan 2016
AL A96
AL S76
21 Dec 2013
AL A94
AL S65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Salam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
67avg 79
A15/01
QBL
Al Najma
#7
L
97-99
97
99
-2
no box
A17/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
86-108
86
108
-22
63avg 79
H18/01
QBL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H20/01
WASL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 79
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
109-49
109
49
+60
108avg 79
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
no box
H24/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
76avg 79
A25/01
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
97-69
97
69
+28
96avg 79
A27/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
15-14
20-27
27-12
22-21
28-25
26-35
21-18
27-31
16-23
19-26
24-28
22-11
24-17
17-13
24-26
22-17
13-17
22-17
20-17
24-14
30-13
30-4
25-18
10-18
16-20
13-28
19-22
17-17
15-22
23-16
19-19
20-19
28-20
21-20
28-10
19-26
25-17
19-23
21-10
162.8Avg total
85.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)94.171.2165.2+22.992%
Season at home (6)101.274.0175.2+27.2100%
Season away (7)88.068.7156.7+19.386%
Last 10 (10)85.377.5162.8+7.870%
Last 5 (5)86.472.0158.4+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.984.6162.4-6.743%
vs Similar (8)82.990.8173.6-7.912%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.673.0163.6+17.6100%
This opponent (Al Salam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SalamSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSalam
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
68-72
68
72
-4
63avg 68
H02/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 68
H06/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
72-66
72
66
+6
66avg 68
A13/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
95avg 68
H16/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
57-88
57
88
-31
35avg 68
H20/12
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 68
H27/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 68
A30/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
87avg 68
H03/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
57-104
57
104
-47
37avg 68
H24/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
95avg 68
A27/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
19-17
13-15
10-20
22-33
21-22
18-15
19-17
20-16
21-18
11-16
20-16
28-22
24-10
16-13
24-14
14-28
16-22
15-13
12-25
26-19
24-18
14-15
14-30
17-32
20-19
8-23
26-18
27-10
21-19
22-20
21-21
19-31
17-23
14-26
7-24
27-19
27-22
18-16
17-18
155.0Avg total
75.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.381.7160.0-3.438%
Season at home (8)74.683.4158.0-8.825%
Season away (5)84.279.0163.2+5.260%
Last 10 (10)75.579.5155.0-4.040%
Last 5 (5)77.284.6161.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.991.9163.9-20.012%
vs Similar (4)82.872.8155.5+10.075%
vs Weaker (9)80.065.9145.9+14.178%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
Al AhliAl Salam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/01
QBL
Al Najma
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H18/01
QBL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/01
WASL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H24/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A25/01
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A27/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H28/01
Premier League
78.7Avg total
40.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.178.5+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.536.177.6+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)39.439.779.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.278.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.278.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.340.376.6-4.029%-
vs Similar (8)37.843.080.8-5.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.634.578.1+9.180%-
This opponent (Al Salam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SalamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H06/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A13/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H16/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/12
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H27/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A30/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H03/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H24/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A27/01
Premier League
85.6Avg total
43.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.143.283.4-3.138%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.042.982.9-2.938%-
Last 30 away (13)40.343.784.0-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.085.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.347.883.1-12.56%-
vs Similar (4)45.036.081.0+9.075%-
vs Weaker (8)48.037.185.1+10.988%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.625.7
51.8%
50.2%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.9
32.1%
30.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
67.8%13.9
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Salamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Salam: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.9
53.8%
50.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.9
31.8%
30.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.111.6
67.8%
67.8%11.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WWWLWWWLLW
Al Salam
WLWLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#7
+14.4
Net rating
-0.3
108.4
Offensive rating
97.3
94.0
Defensive rating
97.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
16.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.1%
3-point %
31.8%
49.4%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 97.3Defence94.0 · 97.6Shooting50.7% · 50.9%3-point %32.1% · 31.8%Ball care16.6% · 20.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 23.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Salam
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Al Ahli wins
1
Al Salam wins
DateGameScore
06/12/24Al Salam v Al Ahli80-87
02/02/24Al Ahli v Al Salam104-93
10/11/23Al Salam v Al Ahli75-84
09/12/22Al Salam v Al Ahli77-81
16/09/22Al Ahli v Al Salam102-77
10/01/22Al Ahli v Al Salam72-77
18/10/21Al Salam v Al Ahli69-88
26/01/19Al Salam v Al Ahli63-89
18/12/18Al Ahli v Al Salam84-74
10/02/17Al Ahli v Al Salam83-74
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25HAl Manama84-76
27/01/25AAl-Fateh97-69
25/01/25AAl-Rayyan84-78 OT
24/01/25HAl Muharraq58-88
24/01/25AAl Khowildiah109-49
22/01/25AAl Wakrah77-68
20/01/25HAl Bashaer87-67
18/01/25HAl Sadd86-108
17/01/25AAl Najma97-99
15/01/25AAl Khor74-73
Al Salamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/25AAl Safa of Safwa89-75
24/01/25HAl Ittihad57-104
03/01/25HOhod91-70
30/12/24AAl Nasr71-92
27/12/24HAl-Fateh78-82
20/12/24HAlUla57-88
16/12/24HAl Khowildiah92-59
13/12/24AAl Khaleej72-66
06/12/24HAl Ahli80-87
02/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game94.1101.288.0
Allowed / game71.274.068.7
Point differential+22.9+27.2+19.3
Avg total165.2175.2156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%100%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Salam
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWLLWL25%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %38%25%60%
Points / game78.374.684.2
Allowed / game81.783.479.0
Point differential-3.4-8.8+5.2
Avg total160.0158.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad13130100%87.966.3+21.6
2 Al Ahli1312192%94.171.2+22.9
3 AlUla1311285%102.172.5+29.5
4 Al Nasr138562%91.284.1+7.2
5 Al Salam135838%78.381.7-3.4
6 Al-Fateh135838%77.484.0-6.6
7 Al Khaleej134931%67.179.1-12.0
8 Al Safa of Safwa134931%72.084.5-12.5
9 Ohod1331023%76.398.1-21.8
10 Al Khowildiah130130%64.088.9-24.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli24192930102
Al Salam1319161664
← all games of the day
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