PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Al Ahli vs Al Sadd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-108
27-31 16-23 19-26 24-28
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game77.7
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Al Sadd 🏆
Qatar
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game82.6
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Sadd
30 Mar 2026
AL A73
AL S80
31 Jan 2026
AL A60
AL S76
03 Nov 2025
AL A80
AL S90
07 Apr 2025
AL A86
AL S96
18 Jan 2025
AL A86
AL S108
06 Jan 2024
AL A87
AL S74
31 Mar 2023
AL A68
AL S79
03 Mar 2022
AL A85
AL S65
25 Feb 2020
AL A79
AL S86
08 Jan 2019
AL A79
AL S85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
77avg 78
H28/12
QBL
Al Khaleej
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
68avg 78
A30/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A30/12
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
80avg 78
A01/01
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
105-112
105
112
-7
no box
A02/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
104avg 78
H03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 78
A04/01
QBL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A13/01
WASL
Al Khor
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
67avg 78
A15/01
QBL
Al Najma
#7
L
97-99
97
99
-2
no box
A17/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
18-23
18-22
29-17
14-18
22-20
16-12
30-15
10-18
13-20
25-23
19-25
26-11
15-27
24-22
25-22
25-29
19-38
32-18
29-27
27-21
25-18
28-12
19-28
15-18
21-20
22-25
18-11
21-16
18-22
23-31
26-22
12-20
15-14
20-27
27-12
22-21
28-25
26-35
21-18
169.9Avg total
85.9Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.677.7157.2+1.967%
Season at home (4)79.072.8151.8+6.275%
Season away (5)80.081.6161.6-1.660%
Last 10 (10)85.984.0169.9+1.960%
Last 5 (5)86.883.2170.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.085.7165.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.988.3169.1-7.40%
vs Weaker (17)89.270.8160.0+18.5100%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
A13/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
97avg 85
A02/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 85
H07/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
72-66
72
66
+6
68avg 85
A11/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
67avg 85
A17/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
90avg 85
A23/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
64-78
64
78
-14
62avg 85
H26/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
97avg 85
H31/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
93-91
93
91
+2
94avg 85
H04/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
107avg 85
H09/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
15-17
23-27
28-18
26-21
15-14
25-21
29-16
18-26
21-6
22-22
26-24
22-15
12-17
21-13
17-21
14-26
25-14
19-17
16-24
22-19
22-19
22-16
20-21
10-19
25-17
15-22
14-20
19-16
23-20
12-23
30-25
26-25
23-14
20-35
24-17
19-24
22-17
22-23
21-20
168.4Avg total
86.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.682.6169.1+4.078%
Season at home (5)90.489.8180.2+0.680%
Season away (4)81.873.5155.2+8.275%
Last 10 (10)86.781.7168.4+5.080%
Last 5 (5)90.289.2179.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.482.3153.7-10.920%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.480.7160.1-1.242%
vs Weaker (8)89.678.1167.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
Al AhliAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H28/12
QBL
Al Khaleej
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A30/12
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/01
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
44-67
44
67
-23
A02/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/01
QBL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A13/01
WASL
Al Khor
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/01
QBL
Al Najma
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/01
Premier League
79.8Avg total
38.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.879.3+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.134.679.7+10.479%-
Last 30 away (16)38.540.579.0-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.679.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.079.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.742.881.5-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.041.078.0-4.043%-
vs Weaker (17)44.534.679.1+9.876%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A13/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H07/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A11/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A23/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H31/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H04/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H09/01
QBL
75.9Avg total
40.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.678.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.938.375.2-1.431%-
Last 30 away (17)41.538.880.2+2.765%-
Last 10 (10)40.135.875.9+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.080.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.141.076.1-5.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.138.079.1+3.158%-
vs Weaker (8)42.636.479.0+6.275%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.525.2
53.1%
51.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
31.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.9
72.4%
68.2%13.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.524.8
57.0%
51.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.1
34.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.611.8
67.0%
68.2%11.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LWLWWLWLWW
Al Sadd
WWWLWLWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+9.1
Net rating
+6.2
108.4
Offensive rating
105.8
99.3
Defensive rating
99.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.1%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
34.5%
53.7%
Assist %
66.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 105.8Defence99.3 · 99.6Shooting52.0% · 55.1%3-point %33.2% · 34.5%Ball care16.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Al Sadd v Al Ahli87-78
06/01/24Al Ahli v Al Sadd87-74
28/11/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli63-78
26/04/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli90-87
31/03/23Al Ahli v Al Sadd68-79
03/03/22Al Ahli v Al Sadd85-65
28/11/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli78-82 OT
05/01/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli92-75
15/12/20Al Sadd v Al Ahli93-88
25/02/20Al Ahli v Al Sadd79-86
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25AAl Najma97-99
15/01/25AAl Khor74-73
13/01/25AAl-Ahli Dubai88-91
04/01/25AAl Arabi76-74
03/01/25HAl Safa of Safwa99-79
02/01/25AAl Muharraq105-112
01/01/25AAl Gharafa90-82
30/12/24AAl Manama67-86
30/12/24AAl Khaleej82-65
28/12/24HQatar Sports81-79
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25HAl Gharafa107-103 OT
04/01/25HQatar Sports93-91
31/12/24HAl Shamal101-99 OT
26/12/24HAl-Rayyan64-78
23/12/24AAl Wakrah86-75
17/12/24AAl Arabi74-81
11/12/24AAl Khor72-66
07/12/24HAl Ahli87-78
02/12/24AAl Gharafa95-72
13/01/24AAl-Rayyan88-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game79.679.080.0
Allowed / game77.772.881.6
Point differential+1.9+6.2-1.6
Avg total157.2151.8161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Sadd
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game86.690.481.8
Allowed / game82.689.873.5
Point differential+4.0+0.6+8.2
Avg total169.1180.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %22%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan109190%98.974.8+24.1
2 Al Sadd97278%86.682.6+4.0
3 Al Ahli96367%79.677.7+1.9
4 Al Arabi85362%78.476.8+1.6
5 Al Shamal95456%85.186.4-1.3
6 Qatar Sports104640%79.784.5-4.8
7 Al Gharafa103730%85.389.7-4.4
8 Al Wakrah102820%76.988.6-11.7
9 Al Khor91811%65.775.2-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2716192486
Al Sadd31232628108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.