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Al-Fateh vs Al Nasr Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-75
22-20 15-19 20-20 20-16
Position#5
Record4-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game83.9
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 12· Ministry of Sports Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al-Fateh v Al Nasr
24 Jan 2025
AL-F77
AL N75
08 Mar 2024
AL-F80
AL N71
03 Dec 2022
AL-F92
AL N82
10 Jan 2022
AL-F78
AL N88
11 Jan 2021
AL-F76
AL N84
27 Feb 2020
AL-F73
AL N101
02 Mar 2019
AL-F62
AL N83
12 Jan 2018
AL-F77
AL N54
07 Feb 2017
AL-F85
AL N79
05 Dec 2015
AL-F68
AL N57
14 Nov 2014
AL-F68
AL N73
15 Nov 2012
AL-F79
AL N56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Fateh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Nasr winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
Al Nasr
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
71avg 72
A28/10
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
69avg 72
A02/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 72
H06/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
94-64
94
64
+30
95avg 72
H09/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
63avg 72
H13/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 72
A16/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
69-55
69
55
+14
54avg 72
H20/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 72
A27/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
75avg 72
A30/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
76-102
76
102
-26
56avg 72
H03/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
9-22
29-21
23-22
23-23
13-26
19-29
19-21
25-27
22-18
13-16
18-26
25-20
24-8
24-16
21-20
18-20
20-12
15-20
15-28
25-15
25-11
10-23
12-30
19-12
14-12
20-12
16-19
19-26
18-24
15-14
30-14
12-22
16-5
25-30
17-13
12-29
19-23
21-26
24-24
159.1Avg total
77.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.283.6161.8-5.536%
Season at home (5)77.077.6154.6-0.640%
Season away (6)79.288.7167.8-9.533%
Last 10 (10)77.981.2159.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)76.678.0154.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.894.9172.7-17.10%
vs Similar (6)82.284.8167.0-2.733%
vs Weaker (15)91.973.8165.7+18.180%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
96-61
96
61
+35
97avg 73
H25/10
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
92-82
92
82
+10
85avg 73
H28/10
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 73
A02/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
122-84
122
84
+38
111avg 73
A06/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
102-75
102
75
+27
92avg 73
H13/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
68avg 73
H16/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
103-113
103
113
-10
85avg 73
A20/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
96-128
96
128
-32
78avg 73
A27/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
92-71
92
71
+21
87avg 73
H30/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 73
A03/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
16-12
29-7
25-24
27-21
22-9
21-29
22-23
17-19
12-29
21-13
12-21
29-16
34-29
18-14
41-25
27-17
27-15
27-16
21-27
18-20
26-18
13-17
15-17
12-24
17-31
35-35
39-23
11-21
20-32
30-33
35-42
32-17
19-20
23-8
18-26
21-27
21-25
21-14
21-11
178.2Avg total
93.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)94.483.9178.3+10.573%
Season at home (5)93.273.0166.2+20.2100%
Season away (6)95.393.0188.3+2.350%
Last 10 (10)93.384.9178.2+8.470%
Last 5 (5)91.893.0184.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.494.0180.4-7.620%
vs Similar (6)71.078.0149.0-7.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.774.7167.4+18.095%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
Al-FatehAl Nasr
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Nasr
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A28/10
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A02/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H09/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H13/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A16/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A27/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A30/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H03/01
Premier League
76.1Avg total
37.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.283.1+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.638.983.5+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)43.239.682.8+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.276.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.871.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.445.883.2-8.322%-
vs Similar (6)46.743.890.5+2.883%-
vs Weaker (15)46.633.580.1+13.180%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H25/10
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H28/10
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A02/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
63-45
63
45
+18
A06/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H13/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A20/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A27/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H30/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A03/01
Premier League
85.4Avg total
43.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.181.4+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.834.476.1+7.479%-
Last 30 away (16)42.643.385.9-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.085.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.086.4-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.844.481.2-7.620%-
vs Similar (6)34.538.873.3-4.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.137.883.9+8.379%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.5
50.6%
50.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.3
29.3%
30.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.012.6
66.3%
67.8%12.6
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.425.3
48.3%
50.2%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.0
30.7%
30.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws26.218.7
71.4%
67.8%18.7
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Fateh
LWWWLLWLLL
Al Nasr
WWLLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#4
-6.4
Net rating
+9.3
99.3
Offensive rating
107.1
105.7
Defensive rating
97.9
47.9%
Effective FG%
47.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.3%
3-point %
30.7%
57.6%
Assist %
42.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 107.1Defence105.7 · 97.9Shooting47.9% · 47.6%3-point %29.3% · 30.7%Ball care19.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.5% · 36.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Al-Fateh   ■ Al Nasr
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Al-Fateh wins
8
Al Nasr wins
DateGameScore
28/10/24Al Nasr v Al-Fateh92-82
08/03/24Al-Fateh v Al Nasr80-71
17/11/23Al Nasr v Al-Fateh78-71
31/03/23Al Nasr v Al-Fateh90-75
03/12/22Al-Fateh v Al Nasr92-82
10/01/22Al-Fateh v Al Nasr78-88
18/10/21Al Nasr v Al-Fateh80-77
22/03/21Al Nasr v Al-Fateh103-82
11/01/21Al-Fateh v Al Nasr76-84
27/02/20Al-Fateh v Al Nasr73-101
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HAlUla76-102
30/12/24AOhod84-76 OT
27/12/24AAl Salam82-78
20/12/24HAl Khowildiah69-55
16/12/24AAl Safa of Safwa72-79
13/12/24HAl Ittihad68-80
09/12/24HOhod94-64
06/12/24HAl Khaleej78-87
02/12/24AAl Ahli74-99
28/10/24AAl Nasr82-92
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AAl Khowildiah84-77
30/12/24HAl Salam92-71
27/12/24AAlUla96-128
20/12/24AAl Ahli103-113
16/12/24HAl Khaleej84-76 OT
13/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa102-75
06/12/24AOhod122-84
02/12/24AAl Ittihad62-82
28/10/24HAl-Fateh92-82
25/10/24HAl Khowildiah96-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Fateh
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game78.277.079.2
Allowed / game83.677.688.7
Point differential-5.5-0.6-9.5
Avg total161.8154.6167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Al Nasr
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game94.493.295.3
Allowed / game83.973.093.0
Point differential+10.5+20.2+2.3
Avg total178.3166.2188.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad11110100%86.066.5+19.5
2 Al Ahli1211192%93.871.3+22.5
3 AlUla1210283%99.571.2+28.3
4 Al Nasr118373%94.483.9+10.5
5 Al Salam114736%79.380.3-1.0
6 Al-Fateh114736%78.283.6-5.5
7 Al Safa of Safwa114736%70.683.0-12.4
8 Al Khaleej123925%67.181.5-14.4
9 Ohod112918%73.396.2-22.9
10 Al Khowildiah120120%65.290.8-25.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Fateh2215202077
Al Nasr2019201675
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