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Al Nasr vs Al Salam Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-61
20-16 13-10 24-24 22-11
Position#4
Record15-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game74.9
Al Nasr 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Position#9
Record7-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game79.6
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 19· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Nasr v Al Salam
30 Dec 2024
AL N92
AL S71
11 Mar 2024
AL N79
AL S61
18 Mar 2023
AL N72
AL S63
03 Dec 2021
AL N104
AL S85
16 Mar 2019
AL N95
AL S74
16 Dec 2016
AL N79
AL S70
19 Mar 2016
AL N80
AL S86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Nasr winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Salam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
W
89-73
89
73
+16
86avg 84
A23/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
56avg 84
H29/12
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
W
112-83
112
83
+29
111avg 84
H01/01
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
89-70
89
70
+19
75avg 84
H12/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A19/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 84
H22/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
95avg 84
A26/01
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
123-84
123
84
+39
120avg 84
A29/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
75avg 84
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
52avg 84
A08/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
26-20
21-15
20-28
14-21
18-19
17-23
15-18
27-13
34-19
26-25
25-26
15-14
23-15
31-15
20-26
19-21
24-25
29-17
14-23
20-20
21-14
20-19
16-14
18-27
30-22
21-11
26-15
29-18
23-16
34-25
37-25
25-17
20-23
20-15
21-22
14-24
26-17
16-15
15-24
169.3Avg total
89.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.774.9164.7+14.883%
Season at home (9)87.272.4159.7+14.889%
Season away (9)92.277.4169.7+14.878%
Last 10 (10)89.979.4169.3+10.570%
Last 5 (5)90.476.6167.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.587.8168.2-7.250%
vs Similar (7)79.077.0156.0+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.672.3162.9+18.393%
This opponent (Al Salam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SalamSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSalam
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
71-59
71
59
+12
59avg 63
A22/12
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H29/12
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
74-99
74
99
-25
60avg 63
H01/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 63
A09/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 63
H12/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
88avg 63
A19/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
86-68
86
68
+18
78avg 63
H22/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
69avg 63
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
86avg 63
A02/02
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
68-109
68
109
-41
45avg 63
H08/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
21-8
17-13
18-26
–
–
–
–
13-30
23-20
20-23
18-26
17-22
29-15
14-20
16-15
19-14
13-19
15-17
31-24
22-18
21-26
28-20
24-11
27-9
19-20
24-19
16-20
22-22
10-31
21-23
27-20
17-25
26-26
18-25
32-28
18-25
13-25
21-30
16-29
149.7Avg total
74.1Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.479.6152.1-7.239%
Season at home (10)68.178.8146.9-10.730%
Season away (8)77.980.6158.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)74.175.6149.7-1.560%
Last 5 (5)84.490.4174.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.887.9161.8-14.116%
vs Similar (6)79.769.7149.3+10.067%
vs Weaker (5)75.660.6136.2+15.0100%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Al NasrAl Salam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A23/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H29/12
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H01/01
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H12/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A19/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A26/01
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A29/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/03
Premier League
82.3Avg total
44.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.581.9+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.236.778.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.384.9+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)44.837.582.3+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.684.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.644.584.1-4.912%-
vs Similar (7)40.738.779.4+2.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.737.181.9+7.680%-
This opponent (Al Salam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SalamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Taawon
#12
W
36-20
36
20
+16
A22/12
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H01/01
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/01
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H12/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A19/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H22/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A02/02
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H08/03
Premier League
79.1Avg total
38.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.041.879.8-3.738%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.141.678.7-4.533%-
Last 30 away (14)39.141.981.0-2.943%-
Last 10 (9)38.340.879.1-2.433%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.484.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.744.880.5-9.116%-
vs Similar (6)38.734.873.5+3.867%-
vs Weaker (4)48.237.886.0+10.5100%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.9
53.0%
53.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.913.5
39.8%
32.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.0
73.7%
68.3%14.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Salamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Salam: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.2
51.8%
53.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.3
27.2%
32.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.4
73.1%
68.3%14.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Nasr
LWWWWLWWLW
Al Salam
LLLWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#9
+17.3
Net rating
-5.2
114.9
Offensive rating
98.2
97.6
Defensive rating
103.5
56.5%
Effective FG%
47.5%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.8%
3-point %
27.2%
54.3%
Assist %
45.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 98.2Defence97.6 · 103.5Shooting56.5% · 47.5%3-point %39.8% · 27.2%Ball care13.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds21.6% · 19.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Al Nasr   ■ Al Salam
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Al Nasr wins
1
Al Salam wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23Al Salam v Al Nasr68-85
18/03/23Al Nasr v Al Salam72-63
25/11/22Al Salam v Al Nasr72-83
04/02/22Al Salam v Al Nasr67-90
03/12/21Al Nasr v Al Salam104-85
16/03/19Al Nasr v Al Salam95-74
29/12/18Al Salam v Al Nasr60-85
17/03/17Al Salam v Al Nasr72-95
16/12/16Al Nasr v Al Salam79-70
19/03/16Al Nasr v Al Salam80-86
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24AAl-Fateh71-80
02/02/24HAl Khaleej86-77
29/01/24ADbae123-84
26/01/24AAl Safa of Safwa95-75
22/01/24HAl Wehda77-67
19/01/24AOhod93-104 OT
12/01/24HAl Taawon89-70
01/01/24HAl-Hilal112-83
29/12/23HAl Ittihad64-81
23/12/23AAl Ahli89-73
Al Salamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HAl-Hilal68-109
02/02/24AAl Ahli93-104
26/01/24HAl Ittihad80-96
22/01/24HAl Safa of Safwa86-68
19/01/24AAl Khaleej95-75
12/01/24HOhod78-74
09/01/24AAl Wehda76-72
01/01/24HAl-Fateh74-99
29/12/23HDbae20-0
22/12/23AAl Taawon71-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Nasr
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWLWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%89%78%
Points / game89.787.292.2
Allowed / game74.972.477.4
Point differential+14.8+14.8+14.8
Avg total164.7159.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%56%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%0%11%
Al Salam
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL39%
HomeLWWLL30%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %39%30%50%
Points / game72.468.177.9
Allowed / game79.678.880.6
Point differential-7.2-10.7-2.8
Avg total152.1146.9158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad1816289%91.477.7+13.7
2 Al-Hilal1815383%101.178.8+22.2
3 Al Nasr1815383%89.774.9+14.8
4 Al Ahli1814478%88.674.0+14.6
5 Ohod1812667%86.381.1+5.3
6 Al-Fateh189950%90.883.5+7.3
7 Al Wehda189950%86.283.2+3.1
8 Al Salam1871139%72.479.6-7.2
9 Al Khaleej1851328%79.185.1-6.0
10 Al Safa of Safwa1851328%79.588.3-8.8
11 Dbae181176%68.099.4-31.4
12 Al Taawon180180%67.995.4-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Nasr2013242279
Al Salam1610241161
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