Al Najma vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 77-74

17-18 16-19 25-17 19-20

Position#6

Record1-0

FormWWLLW

Points / game103.0

Allowed / game79.0

Al Najma 🏆

Al Ahli

Position#7

Record1-2

FormWLLLW

Points / game65.3

Allowed / game70.7

Premier League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Al Najma v Al Ahli

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Najma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Al Ahli winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al Najma

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNajma

Date

Competition

Al Manama

87-91 OT

-4

no box

A07/02

Premier League

Al Manama

88-94

-6

no box

H28/02

Premier League

Al Hala

97-102

102

-5

no box

A05/03

Premier League

Al Muharraq

82-92

-10

no box

H13/03

Premier League

Al Manama

76-93

-17

no box

H03/04

Premier League

Al Ittihad

#11

97-69

+28

no box

A11/04

Premier League

Al Ahli

92-84

no box

A15/04

Premier League

Al Muharraq

90-123

123

-33

no box

A05/05

Premier League

Al Muharraq

82-83

-1

no box

H08/05

Premier League

Nuwaidrad

103-79

103

+24

no box

A04/12

Premier League

21-27

19-12

22-24

18-17

15-19

25-21

26-23

22-31

35-24

17-34

17-22

28-22

16-22

22-24

24-23

20-23

21-24

17-25

12-27

26-17

31-21

26-20

14-11

26-17

14-16

18-23

33-15

27-30

21-31

16-37

27-24

26-31

28-22

17-22

20-15

17-24

21-23

27-18

29-27

26-11

180.4Avg total

89.4Scored

91.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	103.0	79.0	182.0	+24.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	103.0	79.0	182.0	+24.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.4	91.0	180.4	-1.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	87.6	180.4	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	81.2	95.6	176.8	-14.4	0%
vs Similar (11)	90.2	88.9	179.1	+1.3	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	90.9	69.6	160.4	+21.3	89%

This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Al Ahli

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAhli

Date

Competition

Al Gharafa

98-83

+15

94avg 78

H22/10

QBL

Al-Rayyan

71-91

-20

54avg 78

A27/10

QBL

Al Wakrah

61-66

-5

49avg 78

A30/10

QBL

Al Sadd

80-90

-10

64avg 78

H03/11

QBL

Qatar Sports

114-83

114

+31

110avg 78

A06/11

QBL

Al Hala

79-74

no box

H11/11

Premier League

Al Manama

57-61

-4

no box

H30/11

Premier League

Al Muharraq

60-77

-17

no box

H05/12

Premier League

Al Arabi

78-85

-7

60avg 78

H06/12

QBL

Al Shamal

77-62

+15

68avg 78

H10/12

QBL

26-17

21-26

32-20

19-20

22-27

11-20

16-25

22-19

19-9

13-18

19-22

10-17

21-27

27-20

13-24

19-19

32-22

23-24

28-15

31-22

21-19

24-15

19-22

15-18

18-10

20-23

11-12

8-16

8-13

14-14

18-22

20-28

17-15

19-24

17-27

25-19

15-24

21-10

23-18

18-10

154.7Avg total

77.5Scored

77.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	65.3	70.7	136.0	-5.3	33%
Season at home (3)	65.3	70.7	136.0	-5.3	33%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	77.5	77.2	154.7	+0.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	71.8	142.0	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	72.5	80.8	153.4	-8.3	15%
vs Similar (8)	80.1	77.5	157.6	+2.6	50%
vs Weaker (9)	87.3	74.1	161.4	+13.2	89%

This opponent (Al Najma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Al NajmaAl Ahli

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.0	41.5	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	21.9	43.8	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.9	45.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.6	45.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.9	23.6	42.5	-4.7	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.7	21.5	44.3	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.8	17.3	37.1	+2.4	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.8	18.6	35.5	-1.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.2	32.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.3	19.8	35.2	-4.5	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.2	17.7	39.9	+4.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.8	43.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	24.0	45.9	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.0	44.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	24.1	44.0	-4.2	30%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	24.5	45.1	-4.0	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	26.7	15.8	42.4	+10.9	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	17.5	39.6	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	54%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	56%	-

Al NajmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Al Manama

40-39

A07/02

Premier League

Al Manama

40-40

H28/02

Premier League

Al Hala

52-58

-6

A05/03

Premier League

Al Muharraq

38-46

-8

H13/03

Premier League

Al Manama

38-49

-11

H03/04

Premier League

Al Ittihad

#11

57-41

+16

A11/04

Premier League

Al Ahli

32-39

-7

A15/04

Premier League

Al Muharraq

37-68

-31

A05/05

Premier League

Al Muharraq

45-44

H08/05

Premier League

Nuwaidrad

48-41

A04/12

Premier League

89.2Avg total

42.7Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	42.7	85.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	39.1	80.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.8	45.9	89.7	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	46.5	89.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	46.6	90.4	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.8	47.7	86.5	-8.9	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.3	46.1	89.4	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	46.4	33.1	79.6	+13.3	89%	-

This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Al Gharafa

47-43

H22/10

QBL

Al-Rayyan

33-47

-14

A27/10

QBL

Al Wakrah

32-27

A30/10

QBL

Al Sadd

48-47

H03/11

QBL

Qatar Sports

55-46

A06/11

QBL

Al Hala

45-34

+11

H11/11

Premier League

Al Manama

38-33

H30/11

Premier League

Al Muharraq

22-27

-5

H05/12

Premier League

Al Arabi

36-39

-3

H06/12

QBL

Al Shamal

36-34

H10/12

QBL

76.9Avg total

39.2Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	37.8	77.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.0	36.1	75.1	+2.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.7	40.0	80.7	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	37.7	76.9	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	33.4	68.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.9	39.5	76.4	-2.5	31%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.6	37.1	76.8	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.9	36.0	79.9	+7.9	89%	-

This opponent (Al Najma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	18.9	39.6	+1.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.4	43.0	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.3	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.1	18.2	40.3	+3.9	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.7	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.3	39.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.5	21.5	39.1	-4.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	18.8	40.9	+3.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.8	21.2	37.9	-4.4	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (9)	24.1	18.3	42.4	+5.8	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.3	21.7	46.0	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.3	45.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.5	24.3	45.8	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.5	22.4	45.8	+1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.0	19.7	43.7	+4.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.2	18.1	36.4	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.8	46%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	19.1	40.8	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.4	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	41.4	85.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	41.6	83.9	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.4	41.2	86.6	+4.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	43.4	89.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	41.0	90.0	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.7	46.8	88.5	-5.1	10%	-
vs Similar (11)	45.5	40.5	86.1	+5.0	82%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	44.4	36.4	80.9	+8.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.8	39.6	75.4	-3.9	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.2	40.5	83.6	+2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	39.5	77.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	38.4	73.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	34.9	41.1	76.0	-6.2	8%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.5	40.4	80.9	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.4	38.1	81.6	+5.3	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Al Najmatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 80.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	20.9	50.1%	-	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	8.6	32.0%	-	25.8
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.1	68.2%	-	13.1

They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	19.9	54.4%	-	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.1	32.3%	-	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	14.8	69.8%	-	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.2	23.6	52.3%	-	47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.9	32.2%	-	23.8
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.9	70.4%	-	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	19.6	49.2%	-	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	8.4	30.4%	-	25.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	13.3	70.9%	-	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Al Najma wins

Al Ahli wins

Date	Game	Score
15/04/25	Al Ahli v Al Najma	84-92
31/01/25	Al Ahli v Al Najma	66-75
17/01/25	Al Najma v Al Ahli	99-97
14/03/24	Al Najma v Al Ahli	82-87 OT
21/12/23	Al Najma v Al Ahli	76-67
22/03/23	Al Najma v Al Ahli	76-108
10/09/22	Al Ahli v Al Najma	93-83
27/01/22	Al Najma v Al Ahli	82-116
29/10/21	Al Ahli v Al Najma	95-78
02/01/21	Al Najma v Al Ahli	94-114

Al Najmalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/12/25	A	Nuwaidrad	103-79
08/05/25	H	Al Muharraq	82-83
05/05/25	A	Al Muharraq	90-123
15/04/25	A	Al Ahli	92-84
11/04/25	A	Al Ittihad	97-69
03/04/25	H	Al Manama	76-93
13/03/25	H	Al Muharraq	82-92
05/03/25	A	Al Hala	97-102
28/02/25	H	Al Manama	88-94
07/02/25	A	Al Manama	87-91 OT

Al Ahlilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/25	H	Al Shamal	77-62
06/12/25	H	Al Arabi	78-85
05/12/25	H	Al Muharraq	60-77
30/11/25	H	Al Manama	57-61
11/11/25	H	Al Hala	79-74
06/11/25	A	Qatar Sports	114-83
03/11/25	H	Al Sadd	80-90
30/10/25	A	Al Wakrah	61-66
27/10/25	A	Al-Rayyan	71-91
22/10/25	H	Al Gharafa	98-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Najma

Premier League 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	103.0	-	103.0
Allowed / game	79.0	-	79.0
Point differential	+24.0	-	+24.0
Avg total	182.0	-	182.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Al Ahli

Premier League 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLL	33%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	3	-
Win %	33%	33%	-
Points / game	65.3	65.3	-
Allowed / game	70.7	70.7	-
Point differential	-5.3	-5.3	-
Avg total	136.0	136.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Al Muharraq	3	3	0	100%	93.7	68.7	+25.0
2	Al Najma	1	1	0	100%	103.0	79.0	+24.0
3	Samaheej	3	3	0	100%	78.0	63.7	+14.3
4	Al Ittihad	2	2	0	100%	79.5	69.5	+10.0
5	Al Manama	2	2	0	100%	58.0	55.5	+2.5
6	Sitra Club	3	1	2	33%	76.0	76.0	+0.0
7	Bahrain Club	3	1	2	33%	78.3	83.3	-5.0
8	Al Ahli	3	1	2	33%	65.3	70.7	-5.3
9	Nuwaidrad	3	1	2	33%	84.0	99.3	-15.3
10	Al Hala	4	0	4	0%	70.8	81.2	-10.5
11	ISSA Town	3	0	3	0%	67.3	83.3	-16.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Al Najma	17	16	25	19	77
Al Ahli	18	19	17	20	74

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Al Najma vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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