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Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-83
26-17 21-26 32-20 19-20
Position#4
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Gharafa
Qatar
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Gharafa
13 Oct 2026
AL A68
AL G76
22 Oct 2025
AL A98
AL G83
10 Mar 2025
AL A81
AL G66
30 Dec 2023
AL A86
AL G74
13 May 2023
AL A59
AL G53
09 Mar 2022
AL A81
AL G90
20 Nov 2021
AL A81
AL G83
27 Dec 2020
AL A62
AL G105
04 Jan 2020
AL A71
AL G86
10 Feb 2019
AL A70
AL G67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
86-96
86
96
-10
77avg 79
H07/04
QBL
Al Manama
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A11/04
Premier League
Al Najma
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
no box
H15/04
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
86-56
86
56
+30
no box
A05/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
64-60
64
60
+4
no box
H08/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
87-101
87
101
-14
no box
A19/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
no box
H22/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A25/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
57-68
57
68
-11
no box
H28/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A31/05
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
18-22
22-28
21-21
16-27
22-23
30-11
19-15
16-14
23-18
15-33
30-27
20-9
20-12
15-15
31-20
11-17
12-10
22-13
19-20
16-30
29-15
15-30
27-26
13-17
31-21
10-14
14-16
27-18
18-24
19-21
22-20
7-18
21-17
13-23
16-10
7-19
21-22
30-15
18-24
157.4Avg total
79.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.078.4157.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)76.680.8157.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.783.5159.2-7.820%
vs Similar (8)76.474.9151.2+1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.971.7161.6+18.283%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 72
H01/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 72
A06/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
86avg 72
A09/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
91-79
91
79
+12
80avg 72
A13/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
69avg 72
H20/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
63avg 72
H27/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 72
A01/02
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
63avg 72
H06/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 72
A10/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 72
H13/03
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
27-15
22-24
22-25
21-17
28-18
19-18
26-14
24-19
17-22
23-22
20-21
28-18
20-25
21-22
22-14
25-24
13-28
21-28
23-13
21-12
24-22
14-26
18-22
27-19
20-20
13-16
23-18
20-26
17-23
16-24
18-24
17-17
16-25
17-20
16-19
20-24
19-17
21-11
27-18
167.5Avg total
83.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.683.9167.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)76.880.6157.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.190.1166.1-14.06%
vs Similar (6)88.780.3169.0+8.3100%
vs Weaker (8)86.476.4162.8+10.075%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
Al AhliAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H07/04
QBL
Al Manama
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/04
Premier League
Al Najma
#7
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H15/04
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A05/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H08/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H28/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A31/05
Premier League
75.1Avg total
37.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.436.978.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.336.076.3+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)42.637.980.6+4.757%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.875.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.278.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.040.979.9-1.930%-
vs Similar (8)36.835.972.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.534.280.8+12.283%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A13/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H20/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H27/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A01/02
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H06/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H13/03
QBL
83.2Avg total
41.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.681.7-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.844.082.8-5.221%-
Last 30 away (16)41.239.480.7+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.783.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.442.880.2-5.312%-
vs Similar (6)44.841.386.2+3.567%-
vs Weaker (8)41.939.481.2+2.562%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.8
52.9%
54.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.2
67.8%
73.4%12.2
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.924.3
51.8%
54.5%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.4
28.1%
33.4%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.314.8
69.5%
73.4%14.8
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLWWLWWLWL
Al Gharafa
WLLWLLWLWL
#4
League position
#7
+6.5
Net rating
-0.4
109.5
Offensive rating
101.7
103.1
Defensive rating
102.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
48.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.6%
3-point %
28.1%
56.0%
Assist %
49.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 101.7Defence103.1 · 102.1Shooting51.9% · 48.6%3-point %33.6% · 28.1%Ball care15.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Ahli wins
5
Al Gharafa wins
DateGameScore
10/03/25Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-66
01/01/25Al Gharafa v Al Ahli82-90
30/12/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa86-74
15/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli61-95
13/05/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa59-53
10/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli73-58
09/03/22Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-90
06/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli76-75
21/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli75-64
20/11/21Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-83
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25AAl Muharraq76-80
28/05/25HAl Muharraq57-68
25/05/25AAl Muharraq86-83
22/05/25HAl Muharraq77-72 OT
19/05/25AAl Muharraq87-101
08/05/25HAl Manama64-60
05/05/25AAl Manama86-56
15/04/25HAl Najma84-92
11/04/25AAl Manama87-76
07/04/25HAl Sadd86-96
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HAl Khor87-70
10/03/25AAl Ahli66-81
06/03/25HAl Arabi71-97
01/02/25AQatar Sports83-73
27/01/25HAl Shamal77-82
20/01/25HAl-Rayyan82-93
13/01/25AAl Wakrah91-79
09/01/25AAl Sadd103-107 OT
06/01/25AAl Khor94-67
01/01/25HAl Ahli82-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Al Gharafa
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Shamal110100%92.072.0+20.0
2 Al-Rayyan110100%97.086.0+11.0
3 Al Sadd110100%91.083.0+8.0
4 Al Wakrah1010%83.091.0-8.0
5 Qatar Sports1010%86.097.0-11.0
6 Al Khor1010%72.092.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2621321998
Al Gharafa1726202083
← all games of the day
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