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Al Ahli vs Al Sadd Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-90
21-27 27-20 13-24 19-19
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.0
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Al Sadd 🏆
Qatar
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game88.0
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Sadd
30 Mar 2026
AL A73
AL S80
31 Jan 2026
AL A60
AL S76
03 Nov 2025
AL A80
AL S90
07 Apr 2025
AL A86
AL S96
18 Jan 2025
AL A86
AL S108
06 Jan 2024
AL A87
AL S74
31 Mar 2023
AL A68
AL S79
03 Mar 2022
AL A85
AL S65
25 Feb 2020
AL A79
AL S86
08 Jan 2019
AL A79
AL S85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#3
W
86-56
86
56
+30
no box
A05/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
W
64-60
64
60
+4
no box
H08/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
87-101
87
101
-14
no box
A19/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
no box
H22/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A25/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
57-68
57
68
-11
no box
H28/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A31/05
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
98-83
98
83
+15
94avg 78
H22/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
71-91
71
91
-20
54avg 78
A27/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
61-66
61
66
-5
49avg 78
A30/10
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
20-12
15-15
31-20
11-17
12-10
22-13
19-20
16-30
29-15
15-30
27-26
13-17
31-21
10-14
14-16
27-18
18-24
19-21
22-20
7-18
21-17
13-23
16-10
7-19
21-22
30-15
18-24
26-17
21-26
32-20
19-20
22-27
11-20
16-25
22-19
19-9
13-18
19-22
10-17
152.3Avg total
76.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.780.0156.7-3.333%
Season at home (1)98.083.0181.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)66.078.5144.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)76.376.0152.3+0.350%
Last 5 (5)72.677.6150.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.384.2159.5-8.918%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.376.0156.3+4.350%
vs Weaker (13)87.472.7160.1+14.777%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
65avg 83
A03/03
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
112-108
112
108
+4
102avg 83
A08/03
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
106-74
106
74
+32
106avg 83
A12/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 83
A17/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
57avg 83
H20/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
54avg 83
A25/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
96-86
96
86
+10
95avg 83
A07/04
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
91-83
91
83
+8
89avg 83
A20/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-103
84
103
-19
78avg 83
A25/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
72avg 83
H29/10
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-22
23-9
22-25
19-19
29-21
33-37
31-31
26-25
28-13
21-15
31-21
21-19
21-18
25-17
13-24
13-21
19-26
12-26
26-16
19-28
16-24
6-17
26-22
25-25
22-18
28-22
21-21
27-19
17-27
26-11
21-26
22-18
21-23
23-23
18-39
24-16
23-18
23-25
25-19
175.2Avg total
88.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.088.0178.0+2.067%
Season at home (1)95.078.0173.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)87.593.0180.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)88.087.2175.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)86.688.2174.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.086.2163.2-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (7)96.789.9186.6+6.986%
vs Weaker (11)91.278.5169.6+12.791%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Al AhliAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#3
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A05/05
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H08/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H28/05
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A31/05
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H22/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A27/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A30/10
QBL
73.1Avg total
36.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.478.7+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.978.2+4.557%-
Last 30 away (16)41.437.879.2+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.673.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.672.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.541.579.9-3.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.336.073.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (13)45.734.580.2+11.285%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A03/03
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A08/03
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A12/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H20/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A25/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A07/04
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A25/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/10
QBL
85.2Avg total
42.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.981.2+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.278.4-0.138%-
Last 30 away (17)42.940.483.3+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.286.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.143.280.2-6.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.638.083.6+7.686%-
vs Weaker (11)43.237.580.6+5.764%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.0
52.2%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.9
27.7%
33.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.913.7
65.6%
73.4%13.7
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.9
52.6%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.5
35.6%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.116.3
70.6%
73.4%16.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLWLLWWLWW
Al Sadd
WLWWLLWWWL
#4
League position
#3
-2.1
Net rating
-0.5
103.1
Offensive rating
107.3
105.2
Defensive rating
107.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.7%
3-point %
35.6%
53.5%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 107.3Defence105.2 · 107.8Shooting48.3% · 52.9%3-point %27.7% · 35.6%Ball care15.9% · 15.7%Off. rebounds30.6% · 22.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
07/04/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd86-96
18/01/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd86-108
07/12/24Al Sadd v Al Ahli87-78
06/01/24Al Ahli v Al Sadd87-74
28/11/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli63-78
26/04/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli90-87
31/03/23Al Ahli v Al Sadd68-79
03/03/22Al Ahli v Al Sadd85-65
28/11/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli78-82 OT
05/01/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli92-75
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25AAl Wakrah61-66
27/10/25AAl-Rayyan71-91
22/10/25HAl Gharafa98-83
31/05/25AAl Muharraq76-80
28/05/25HAl Muharraq57-68
25/05/25AAl Muharraq86-83
22/05/25HAl Muharraq77-72 OT
19/05/25AAl Muharraq87-101
08/05/25HAl Manama64-60
05/05/25AAl Manama86-56
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HQatar Sports95-78
25/10/25AAl Arabi84-103
20/10/25AAl Wakrah91-83
07/04/25AAl Ahli96-86
25/03/25AAl Arabi67-91
20/03/25HAl Arabi70-89
17/03/25AAl Arabi80-78
12/03/25AQatar Sports106-74
08/03/25AAl Shamal112-108
03/03/25AAl-Rayyan79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game76.798.066.0
Allowed / game80.083.078.5
Point differential-3.3+15.0-12.5
Avg total156.7181.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Sadd
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game90.095.087.5
Allowed / game88.078.093.0
Point differential+2.0+17.0-5.5
Avg total178.0173.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi330100%108.084.0+24.0
2 Al-Rayyan330100%93.374.0+19.3
3 Al Wakrah43175%77.576.8+0.8
4 Al Sadd32167%90.088.0+2.0
5 Al Shamal42250%90.290.2+0.0
6 Al Ahli31233%76.780.0-3.3
7 Al Gharafa31233%95.3102.7-7.3
8 Al Khor3030%78.393.0-14.7
9 Qatar Sports4040%82.598.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2127131980
Al Sadd2720241990
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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