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Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-93
28-16 21-25 9-27 15-25
Position#4
Record8-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game83.3
Al Nasr
Saudi Arabia
vs
Al Ittihad 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#1
Record12-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game65.8
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 13· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Nasr v Al Ittihad
27 Jan 2025
AL N73
AL I93
29 Dec 2023
AL N64
AL I81
16 Sep 2022
AL N83
AL I77
28 Jan 2022
AL N117
AL I74
18 Jan 2021
AL N83
AL I63
20 Jan 2020
AL N76
AL I64
26 Mar 2019
AL N76
AL I55
09 Mar 2019
AL N79
AL I82
18 Jan 2018
AL N73
AL I82
17 Apr 2017
AL N76
AL I79
28 Nov 2015
AL N69
AL I60
11 Apr 2015
AL N62
AL I65
20 Dec 2012
AL N21
AL I71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Nasr winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ittihad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al-Fateh
#5
W
92-82
92
82
+10
85avg 72
H28/10
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
62-82
62
82
-20
47avg 72
A02/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
122-84
122
84
+38
111avg 72
A06/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
102-75
102
75
+27
92avg 72
H13/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
68avg 72
H16/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
103-113
103
113
-10
85avg 72
A20/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
96-128
96
128
-32
78avg 72
A27/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
92-71
92
71
+21
87avg 72
H30/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 72
A03/01
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 72
A24/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
22-9
21-29
22-23
17-19
12-29
21-13
12-21
29-16
34-29
18-14
41-25
27-17
27-15
27-16
21-27
18-20
26-18
13-17
15-17
12-24
17-31
35-35
39-23
11-21
20-32
30-33
35-42
32-17
19-20
23-8
18-26
21-27
21-25
21-14
21-11
20-22
19-15
20-20
16-20
177.7Avg total
91.2Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.883.3176.1+9.467%
Season at home (5)93.273.0166.2+20.2100%
Season away (7)92.490.7183.1+1.743%
Last 10 (10)91.286.5177.7+4.760%
Last 5 (5)90.093.2183.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)86.494.0180.4-7.620%
vs Similar (6)71.078.0149.0-7.033%
vs Weaker (19)92.675.1167.7+17.689%
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al IttihadSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIttihad
Date
Competition
Al Najma
#7
L
79-99
79
99
-20
no box
H31/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
101-63
101
63
+38
no box
H03/01
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
91-121
91
121
-30
no box
A03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
A07/01
WASL
Al Najma
#7
L
68-112
68
112
-44
no box
A09/01
Premier League
Al Qadsia
#5
L
60-62
60
62
-2
no box
H14/01
WASL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
51-86
51
86
-35
no box
H18/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A21/01
WASL
Al Salam
#7
W
104-57
104
57
+47
no box
A24/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
A25/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
16-27
18-22
18-29
21-21
26-14
31-16
23-12
21-32
20-40
23-26
27-23
28-22
21-20
13-24
23-15
8-22
20-30
15-29
25-31
16-18
15-9
13-16
16-19
10-21
15-23
11-15
15-27
15-21
18-18
21-17
19-22
31-19
23-17
26-14
24-7
18-19
21-24
9-23
17-20
162.2Avg total
77.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.565.8153.2+21.8100%
Season at home (6)86.872.0158.8+14.8100%
Season away (6)88.259.5147.7+28.7100%
Last 10 (10)77.784.5162.2-6.830%
Last 5 (5)70.673.8144.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.593.8164.4-23.39%
vs Similar (9)79.176.9156.0+2.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.664.4154.0+25.2100%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
Al NasrAl Ittihad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Fateh
#5
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H28/10
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A02/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
63-45
63
45
+18
A06/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H13/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A20/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A27/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H30/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A03/01
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A24/01
Premier League
85.8Avg total
43.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.881.0+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.834.476.1+7.479%-
Last 30 away (16)42.642.685.2+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.785.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.446.885.2-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.844.481.2-7.620%-
vs Similar (6)34.538.873.3-4.317%-
vs Weaker (19)46.137.383.4+8.884%-
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al IttihadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Najma
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H03/01
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
41-72
41
72
-31
A03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A07/01
WASL
Al Najma
#7
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A09/01
Premier League
Al Qadsia
#5
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H14/01
WASL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H18/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A21/01
WASL
Al Salam
#7
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A24/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A25/01
Premier League
82.8Avg total
39.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.280.2-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.938.078.9+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.242.181.4-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.882.8-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.874.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.048.684.6-12.618%-
vs Similar (9)40.136.977.0+3.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.433.978.3+10.590%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.923.5
47.1%
50.2%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.2
31.7%
30.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws27.019.5
72.2%
67.8%19.5
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ittihadtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ittihad: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.4
53.4%
50.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.0
28.7%
30.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.113.9
65.9%
67.8%13.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Nasr
LWWLLWWWLW
Al Ittihad
LWLLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#1
+5.9
Net rating
+9.6
106.5
Offensive rating
101.9
100.5
Defensive rating
92.3
47.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.7%
3-point %
28.7%
45.9%
Assist %
63.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 101.9Defence100.5 · 92.3Shooting47.2% · 49.1%3-point %31.7% · 28.7%Ball care16.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds36.0% · 32.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Al Nasr   ■ Al Ittihad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Nasr wins
4
Al Ittihad wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Al Ittihad v Al Nasr82-62
18/03/24Al Ittihad v Al Nasr90-66
29/12/23Al Nasr v Al Ittihad64-81
09/12/22Al Ittihad v Al Nasr75-79
16/09/22Al Nasr v Al Ittihad83-77
28/01/22Al Nasr v Al Ittihad117-74
05/11/21Al Ittihad v Al Nasr98-89
05/03/21Al Ittihad v Al Nasr56-62
18/01/21Al Nasr v Al Ittihad83-63
20/01/20Al Nasr v Al Ittihad76-64
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25AAl-Fateh75-77
03/01/25AAl Khowildiah84-77
30/12/24HAl Salam92-71
27/12/24AAlUla96-128
20/12/24AAl Ahli103-113
16/12/24HAl Khaleej84-76 OT
13/12/24HAl Safa of Safwa102-75
06/12/24AOhod122-84
02/12/24AAl Ittihad62-82
28/10/24HAl-Fateh92-82
Al Ittihadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AAl Manama65-86
24/01/25AAl Salam104-57
21/01/25AAl Manama73-78
18/01/25HAl Muharraq51-86
14/01/25HAl Qadsia60-62
09/01/25AAl Najma68-112
07/01/25AAl Arabi85-81
03/01/25AAl Hala91-121
03/01/25HAl Khaleej101-63
31/12/24HAl Najma79-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Nasr
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%100%43%
Points / game92.893.292.4
Allowed / game83.373.090.7
Point differential+9.4+20.2+1.7
Avg total176.1166.2183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Al Ittihad
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.586.888.2
Allowed / game65.872.059.5
Point differential+21.8+14.8+28.7
Avg total153.2158.8147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad12120100%87.565.8+21.8
2 Al Ahli1211192%93.871.3+22.5
3 AlUla1210283%99.571.2+28.3
4 Al Nasr128467%92.883.3+9.4
5 Al-Fateh125742%78.182.9-4.8
6 Al Salam124833%77.482.2-4.8
7 Al Safa of Safwa124833%71.884.2-12.4
8 Al Khaleej123925%67.181.5-14.4
9 Ohod123925%75.295.2-19.9
10 Al Khowildiah120120%65.290.8-25.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Nasr282191573
Al Ittihad1625272593
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