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Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-81
14-21 18-19 17-23 15-18
Position#4
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#2
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game79.0
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 10· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Nasr v Al Ittihad
27 Jan 2025
AL N73
AL I93
29 Dec 2023
AL N64
AL I81
16 Sep 2022
AL N83
AL I77
28 Jan 2022
AL N117
AL I74
18 Jan 2021
AL N83
AL I63
20 Jan 2020
AL N76
AL I64
26 Mar 2019
AL N76
AL I55
09 Mar 2019
AL N79
AL I82
18 Jan 2018
AL N73
AL I82
17 Apr 2017
AL N76
AL I79
28 Nov 2015
AL N69
AL I60
11 Apr 2015
AL N62
AL I65
20 Dec 2012
AL N21
AL I71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Nasr winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ittihad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
71-93
71
93
-22
no box
A11/04
WASL
Dbae
#11
W
112-61
112
61
+51
117avg 86
H20/10
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
103-67
103
67
+36
95avg 86
A23/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
75avg 86
H27/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
66avg 86
A03/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
88avg 86
H06/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 86
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
78-71
78
71
+7
65avg 86
H17/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
86avg 86
A15/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
W
89-73
89
73
+16
86avg 86
A23/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
17-21
15-28
23-20
32-17
26-17
26-13
28-14
27-18
27-14
24-15
25-20
22-17
22-17
14-18
23-23
19-20
20-28
27-11
10-11
23-15
16-18
20-9
27-25
22-19
27-16
23-15
23-26
19-20
13-25
27-13
19-13
21-16
23-26
22-14
19-12
22-10
26-20
21-15
20-28
159.7Avg total
87.6Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.469.8159.2+19.7100%
Season at home (4)89.268.5157.8+20.8100%
Season away (5)89.670.8160.4+18.8100%
Last 10 (10)87.672.1159.7+15.590%
Last 5 (5)86.671.0157.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.487.8164.2-11.430%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.378.3161.7+5.067%
vs Weaker (14)86.069.5155.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al IttihadSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIttihad
Date
Competition
Samaheej
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
no box
H22/11
Premier League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
L
70-121
70
121
-51
51avg 79
A29/11
WASL
Al Najma
#6
W
116-101
116
101
+15
no box
H05/12
Premier League
ISSA Town
#10
W
115-90
115
90
+25
no box
A09/12
Premier League
Sagesse Beirut
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 79
H14/12
WASL
Ohod
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
80avg 79
A15/12
Premier League
Bahrain U18
#11
W
107-90
107
90
+17
no box
H16/12
Premier League
Bahrain Club
#9
W
119-61
119
61
+58
no box
A22/12
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 79
H23/12
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#5
W
102-96
102
96
+6
no box
A25/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-19
34-26
23-21
20-19
20-28
18-32
15-34
17-27
24-31
37-16
25-25
30-29
33-15
30-17
27-28
25-30
15-25
15-22
23-24
19-10
26-28
21-28
21-11
21-24
30-20
28-19
21-23
28-28
35-15
31-11
21-21
32-14
24-23
23-23
15-21
26-14
30-20
26-32
22-28
24-16
188.7Avg total
99.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.079.0170.0+12.089%
Season at home (5)90.677.2167.8+13.4100%
Season away (4)91.581.2172.8+10.275%
Last 10 (10)99.089.7188.7+9.370%
Last 5 (5)101.083.8184.8+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.794.3171.0-17.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.993.6186.5-0.755%
vs Weaker (16)94.777.9172.6+16.888%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
Al NasrAl Ittihad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Ahli Dubai
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A11/04
WASL
Dbae
#11
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H20/10
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A23/10
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/10
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/11
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H06/11
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H17/11
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A15/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A23/12
Premier League
81.8Avg total
44.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.182.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.038.180.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.184.2+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.881.8+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.079.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.044.681.6-7.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.339.282.5+4.267%-
vs Weaker (14)45.137.282.4+7.986%-
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al IttihadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samaheej
#8
W
69-45
69
45
+24
H22/11
Premier League
Shahrdari Gorgan
#2
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A29/11
WASL
Al Najma
#6
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H05/12
Premier League
ISSA Town
#10
W
63-32
63
32
+31
A09/12
Premier League
Sagesse Beirut
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H14/12
WASL
Ohod
#5
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A15/12
Premier League
Bahrain U18
#11
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H16/12
Premier League
Bahrain Club
#9
W
66-26
66
26
+40
A22/12
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H23/12
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#5
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A25/12
Premier League
98.5Avg total
53.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.343.390.6+4.062%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.843.390.1+3.567%-
Last 30 away (14)47.943.391.1+4.657%-
Last 10 (10)53.545.098.5+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)54.843.898.6+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.351.089.3-12.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)51.551.6103.2-0.145%-
vs Weaker (15)46.035.681.6+10.480%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.4
55.5%
53.6%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.9
38.7%
32.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.0
72.2%
68.3%13.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ittihadtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ittihad: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.4
52.7%
53.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.5
35.8%
32.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.113.7
68.2%
68.3%13.7
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Nasr
WWWWWWWWWL
Al Ittihad
WWWWLLWWLW
#4
League position
#2
+25.1
Net rating
+7.5
116.2
Offensive rating
107.7
91.1
Defensive rating
100.2
56.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.7%
3-point %
35.8%
56.0%
Assist %
56.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 107.7Defence91.1 · 100.2Shooting56.8% · 53.1%3-point %38.7% · 35.8%Ball care15.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Al Nasr   ■ Al Ittihad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Al Nasr wins
2
Al Ittihad wins
DateGameScore
09/12/22Al Ittihad v Al Nasr75-79
16/09/22Al Nasr v Al Ittihad83-77
28/01/22Al Nasr v Al Ittihad117-74
05/11/21Al Ittihad v Al Nasr98-89
05/03/21Al Ittihad v Al Nasr56-62
18/01/21Al Nasr v Al Ittihad83-63
20/01/20Al Nasr v Al Ittihad76-64
08/11/19Al Ittihad v Al Nasr61-56
26/03/19Al Nasr v Al Ittihad76-55
23/03/19Al Ittihad v Al Nasr60-75
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AAl Ahli89-73
15/12/23AAl Salam85-68
17/11/23HAl-Fateh78-71
10/11/23AAl Khaleej95-76
06/11/23HAl Safa of Safwa86-67
03/11/23AAl Wehda76-70
27/10/23HOhod81-75
23/10/23AAl Taawon103-67
20/10/23HDbae112-61
11/04/23AAl-Ahli Dubai71-93
Al Ittihadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/23AAl Muharraq102-96
23/12/23HAl-Hilal88-81
22/12/23ABahrain Club119-61
16/12/23HBahrain U18107-90
15/12/23AOhod89-91
14/12/23HSagesse Beirut72-81
09/12/23AISSA Town115-90
05/12/23HAl Najma116-101
29/11/23AShahrdari Gorgan70-121
22/11/23HSamaheej112-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Nasr
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.489.289.6
Allowed / game69.868.570.8
Point differential+19.7+20.8+18.8
Avg total159.2157.8160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ittihad
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game91.090.691.5
Allowed / game79.077.281.2
Point differential+12.0+13.4+10.2
Avg total170.0167.8172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Nasr990100%89.469.8+19.7
2 Al Ittihad98189%91.079.0+12.0
3 Al-Hilal108280%100.073.9+26.1
4 Al Ahli107370%84.979.3+5.6
5 Al Wehda96367%90.280.1+10.1
6 Ohod106460%82.879.3+3.5
7 Al-Fateh94544%92.484.7+7.8
8 Al Safa of Safwa93633%78.785.6-6.9
9 Al Khaleej103730%78.980.6-1.7
10 Al Salam103730%65.473.6-8.2
11 Al Taawon9090%63.193.6-30.4
12 Dbae100100%56.592.8-36.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Nasr1418171564
Al Ittihad2119231881
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