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Alabama vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-83
28-37 58-46
Position#11
Record24-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game68.6
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#112
Record19-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Alabama v Arkansas
18 Feb 2026
ALAB117
ARKA115
09 Mar 2024
ALAB92
ARKA88
25 Feb 2023
ALAB86
ARKA83
12 Feb 2022
ALAB68
ARKA67
16 Jan 2021
ALAB90
ARKA59
01 Feb 2020
ALAB78
ARKA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#56
W
85-64
85
64
+21
A21/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A28/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
101-44
101
44
+57
H01/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A04/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H09/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A16/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
108-59
108
59
+49
H18/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-28
47-36
29-36
37-27
33-50
36-43
43-15
58-29
44-37
35-32
52-23
45-46
37-37
40-32
29-29
30-39
54-25
54-34
31-35
37-33
149.3Avg total
81.9Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.268.6151.9+14.686%
Season at home (16)89.268.1157.3+21.188%
Season away (12)75.369.2144.6+6.183%
Last 10 (10)81.967.4149.3+14.580%
Last 5 (5)83.868.2152.0+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)74.676.3150.9-1.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.767.3152.0+17.596%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#292
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
37-28
38-14
22-26
33-27
31-40
42-34
39-36
36-27
29-36
41-40
47-33
25-34
39-36
33-24
23-38
37-31
47-34
43-23
54-42
136.0Avg total
72.8Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.065.5140.5+9.568%
Season at home (19)77.562.5140.1+15.084%
Season away (9)69.771.9141.6-2.233%
Last 10 (10)72.863.2136.0+9.670%
Last 5 (5)77.867.0144.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.776.7147.3-6.033%
vs Similar (16)74.166.6140.6+7.562%
vs Weaker (11)76.962.4139.3+14.582%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +1.9+1.9
AlabamaArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#56
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H26/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
43-15
43
15
+28
H01/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H18/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A23/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
39.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.431.569.8+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.830.571.3+10.378%-
Last 30 away (12)34.732.967.6+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.031.570.5+7.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.629.870.4+10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)34.634.669.1+0.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.530.570.0+9.078%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#292
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
38-14
38
14
+24
H25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#67
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A28/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A16/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H22/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
36.0Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.230.564.6+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.329.464.7+5.868%-
Last 30 away (11)32.332.364.5+0.064%-
Last 10 (10)36.028.364.3+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.466.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.735.768.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (16)32.731.163.8+1.656%-
vs Weaker (11)36.728.164.8+8.691%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alabama wins
2
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
12/01/23Arkansas v Alabama69-84
12/02/22Alabama v Arkansas68-67
25/02/21Arkansas v Alabama81-66
16/01/21Alabama v Arkansas90-59
01/02/20Alabama v Arkansas78-82
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23ASouth Carolina78-76 OT
18/02/23HGeorgia108-59
16/02/23ATennessee59-68
11/02/23AAuburn77-69
09/02/23HFlorida97-69
04/02/23ALSU79-69
01/02/23HVanderbilt101-44
28/01/23AOklahoma69-93
26/01/23HMississippi St.66-63
21/01/23AMissouri85-64
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/23HGeorgia97-65
18/02/23HFlorida84-65
16/02/23ATexas A&M56-62
11/02/23HMississippi St.64-70
08/02/23AKentucky88-73
04/02/23ASouth Carolina65-63
01/02/23HTexas A&M81-70
28/01/23ABaylor64-67
25/01/23HLSU60-40
21/01/23HOle Miss69-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %86%88%83%
Points / game83.289.275.3
Allowed / game68.668.169.2
Point differential+14.6+21.1+6.1
Avg total151.9157.3144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%69%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %68%84%33%
Points / game75.077.569.7
Allowed / game65.562.571.9
Point differential+9.5+15.0-2.2
Avg total140.5140.1141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%74%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2824486%83.268.6+14.6
2 Texas2822679%79.468.4+11.1
3 Texas A&M2821775%74.165.8+8.3
4 Missouri2921872%80.074.7+5.3
5 Tennessee2820871%71.457.1+14.2
6 Arkansas2819968%75.065.5+9.5
7 Auburn2819968%72.765.1+7.6
8 Kentucky2819968%74.667.7+6.9
9 Mississippi St.28171161%65.160.2+4.9
10 Georgia29161355%69.171.7-2.6
11 Vanderbilt28151354%71.471.9-0.5
12 Florida28141450%71.668.1+3.6
13 Oklahoma29141548%68.067.6+0.5
14 LSU28131546%67.169.6-2.5
15 Ole Miss28101836%67.368.9-1.5
16 South Carolina28101836%65.173.0-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama285886
Arkansas374683
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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