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Alabama vs Auburn Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-85 (OT)
33-40 42-35 15-10
Position#11
Record25-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game69.1
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Auburn
USA
Position#106
Record19-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Alabama v Auburn
30 Jan 2027
ALAB v AUBU
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
ALAB96
AUBU84
15 Feb 2025
ALAB85
AUBU94
24 Jan 2024
ALAB79
AUBU75
01 Mar 2023
ALAB90
AUBU85
11 Jan 2022
ALAB77
AUBU81
02 Mar 2021
ALAB70
AUBU58
15 Jan 2020
ALAB83
AUBU64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#125
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A28/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
101-44
101
44
+57
H01/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A04/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H09/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A16/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
108-59
108
59
+49
H18/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-36
37-27
33-50
36-43
43-15
58-29
44-37
35-32
52-23
45-46
37-37
40-32
29-29
30-39
54-25
54-34
31-35
37-33
28-37
58-46
151.3Avg total
82.0Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.369.1152.4+14.286%
Season at home (17)89.069.0158.0+20.088%
Season away (12)75.369.2144.6+6.183%
Last 10 (10)82.069.3151.3+12.780%
Last 5 (5)81.671.0152.6+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)74.375.3149.7-1.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.867.9152.7+16.996%
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H26/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H02/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
89-56
89
56
+33
H15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H23/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-45
33-34
29-45
48-35
42-24
52-49
19-23
24-23
36-37
42-46
37-37
32-40
45-18
44-38
27-31
38-36
40-33
38-41
29-40
25-46
143.1Avg total
71.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.165.9137.9+6.266%
Season at home (15)74.964.1138.9+10.887%
Season away (14)69.167.8136.9+1.343%
Last 10 (10)71.072.1143.1-1.130%
Last 5 (5)71.072.0143.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)56.061.5117.5-5.50%
vs Similar (15)70.966.9137.8+3.960%
vs Weaker (13)75.166.3141.4+8.877%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: -1.2-1.2
AlabamaAuburn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#125
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H26/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
43-15
43
15
+28
H01/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/02
NCAA
Auburn
#106
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H18/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H25/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.031.869.8+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.331.071.3+9.372%-
Last 30 away (12)34.732.967.6+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.470.4+5.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.668.4+3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)34.035.769.7-1.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.030.869.8+8.275%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H26/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H02/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Alabama
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/02
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
45-18
45
18
+27
H15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/02
NCAA
66.7Avg total
33.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.930.263.1+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.129.263.3+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)31.531.362.8+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.366.7+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.867.4+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)28.030.058.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (15)33.831.565.3+2.353%-
vs Weaker (13)32.628.761.3+3.954%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alabama wins
3
Auburn wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Auburn v Alabama69-77
02/02/22Auburn v Alabama100-81
12/01/22Alabama v Auburn77-81
03/03/21Alabama v Auburn70-58
09/01/21Auburn v Alabama90-94
13/02/20Auburn v Alabama95-91 OT
16/01/20Alabama v Auburn83-64
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HArkansas86-83
23/02/23ASouth Carolina78-76 OT
18/02/23HGeorgia108-59
16/02/23ATennessee59-68
11/02/23AAuburn77-69
09/02/23HFlorida97-69
04/02/23ALSU79-69
01/02/23HVanderbilt101-44
28/01/23AOklahoma69-93
26/01/23HMississippi St.66-63
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AKentucky54-86
23/02/23HOle Miss78-74
19/02/23AVanderbilt65-67
15/02/23HMissouri89-56
11/02/23HAlabama69-77
08/02/23ATexas A&M78-83
04/02/23ATennessee43-46
02/02/23HGeorgia94-73
28/01/23AWest Virginia77-80
26/01/23HTexas A&M63-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %86%88%83%
Points / game83.389.075.3
Allowed / game69.169.069.2
Point differential+14.2+20.0+6.1
Avg total152.4158.0144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%65%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Auburn
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL66%
HomeLWLWW87%
AwayLLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %66%87%43%
Points / game72.174.969.1
Allowed / game65.964.167.8
Point differential+6.2+10.8+1.3
Avg total137.9138.9136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2925486%83.369.1+14.2
2 Texas2922776%79.268.8+10.4
3 Tennessee3022873%71.956.7+15.2
4 Texas A&M3022873%73.565.7+7.8
5 Missouri2921872%80.074.7+5.3
6 Kentucky2920969%75.067.2+7.8
7 Auburn29191066%72.165.9+6.2
8 Arkansas30191163%74.766.5+8.1
9 Mississippi St.30191163%65.560.5+5.0
10 Vanderbilt29161355%72.071.9+0.1
11 Georgia30161453%69.071.9-2.8
12 Florida30151550%71.868.7+3.1
13 Oklahoma29141548%68.067.6+0.5
14 LSU29131645%67.270.0-2.8
15 Ole Miss30111937%67.668.9-1.3
16 South Carolina30102033%64.673.4-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Alabama33421590
Auburn40351085
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