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Alabama vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:10
Final 80-66
42-29 38-37
Position#34
Record26-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game81.4
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#14
Record29-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game60.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A20/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
111-73
111
73
+38
H26/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H15/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
82-104
82
104
-22
A15/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H21/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
52-52
46-59
52-51
47-40
49-43
53-27
58-46
42-38
34-41
40-41
54-58
45-42
34-37
45-38
54-32
45-47
37-57
40-36
50-45
180.8Avg total
92.4Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)91.181.4172.5+9.776%
Season at home (19)90.776.5167.2+14.379%
Season away (15)91.587.7179.2+3.973%
Last 10 (10)92.488.4180.8+4.050%
Last 5 (5)91.689.0180.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.893.6181.4-5.840%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.782.5174.1+9.273%
vs Weaker (10)93.577.9171.4+15.6100%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#104
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A09/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H12/02
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H16/02
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A23/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H02/03
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H11/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H21/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-19
33-30
37-30
36-34
38-34
39-22
36-28
43-38
41-31
33-36
24-19
34-36
34-33
40-31
39-29
35-30
31-33
20-25
22-29
37-27
127.6Avg total
68.2Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)73.160.5133.6+12.685%
Season at home (21)73.161.4134.5+11.886%
Season away (13)73.059.2132.2+13.885%
Last 10 (10)68.259.4127.6+8.890%
Last 5 (5)63.258.4121.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.361.0123.3+1.367%
vs Similar ◀ (4)68.265.0133.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (23)73.957.8131.7+16.091%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +4.1+4.1
AlabamaSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H26/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A15/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/03
NCAA
84.6Avg total
43.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.436.880.2+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.234.276.4+8.069%-
Last 30 away (14)44.739.984.6+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.084.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.883.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.441.681.0-2.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.737.782.5+7.087%-
vs Weaker (10)43.333.176.4+10.270%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#104
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A09/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A23/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H21/03
NCAA
61.7Avg total
33.2Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.126.860.9+7.383%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.128.063.1+7.183%-
Last 30 away (12)32.625.057.6+7.683%-
Last 10 (10)33.228.561.7+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)30.028.658.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.030.766.7+5.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)29.031.260.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker (23)34.725.560.2+9.291%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alabama wins
0
St. Marys (CA) wins
No previous meetings.
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25HRobert Morris90-81
15/03/25AFlorida82-104
15/03/25HKentucky99-70
08/03/25AAuburn93-91 OT
06/03/25HFlorida94-99
01/03/25ATennessee76-79
26/02/25HMississippi St.111-73
22/02/25HKentucky96-83
20/02/25AMissouri98-110
15/02/25HAuburn85-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25HVanderbilt59-56
12/03/25HGonzaga51-58
11/03/25HPepperdine74-59
02/03/25HOregon State74-64
28/02/25ALoyola Marymount58-55
23/02/25AGonzaga74-67
20/02/25HPortland79-66
16/02/25HWashington State77-56
12/02/25HSanta Clara73-64
09/02/25AOregon State63-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayWLLWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341915
Win %76%79%73%
Points / game91.190.791.5
Allowed / game81.476.587.7
Point differential+9.7+14.3+3.9
Avg total172.5167.2179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %6%5%7%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342113
Win %85%86%85%
Points / game73.173.173.0
Allowed / game60.561.459.2
Point differential+12.6+11.8+13.8
Avg total133.6134.5132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3632489%85.469.4+16.1
2 Auburn3530586%83.869.4+14.3
3 Tennessee3629781%74.662.9+11.7
4 Alabama3426876%91.181.4+9.7
5 Kentucky35241169%85.077.2+7.8
6 Texas A&M34231168%74.668.7+5.9
7 Ole Miss34231168%77.071.5+5.5
8 Missouri34221265%83.673.6+10.0
9 Arkansas35221363%76.671.0+5.6
10 Mississippi St.34211362%79.574.2+5.4
11 Georgia33201361%75.369.9+5.4
12 Vanderbilt33201361%78.974.3+4.6
13 Oklahoma34201459%78.374.6+3.6
14 Texas35191654%78.572.6+5.9
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)3429585%73.160.5+12.6
2 Gonzaga3526974%86.469.9+16.5
3 San Francisco3324973%75.968.9+7.0
4 Santa Clara32201262%81.372.8+8.4
5 Oregon State32201262%76.368.8+7.5
6 Washington State33191458%78.878.4+0.5
7 Loyola Marymount32171553%71.271.6-0.3
8 Seattle32141844%70.466.4+4.0
9 Portland32122038%72.980.4-7.5
10 Pepperdine35132237%73.176.6-3.5
11 Pacific3392427%69.575.8-6.2
12 San Diego Toreros3362718%70.179.7-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama423880
St. Marys (CA)293766
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