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Alabama vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 99-70
45-38 54-32
Position#34
Record24-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game81.1
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Kentucky
USA
Position#71
Record22-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alabama v Kentucky
03 Jan 2026
ALAB89
KENT74
14 Mar 2025
ALAB99
KENT70
22 Feb 2025
ALAB96
KENT83
07 Jan 2023
ALAB78
KENT52
05 Feb 2022
ALAB55
KENT66
26 Jan 2021
ALAB70
KENT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
103-80
103
80
+23
A12/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A20/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
111-73
111
73
+38
H26/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
51-41
40-34
45-47
49-31
54-49
33-42
52-52
46-59
52-51
47-40
49-43
53-27
58-46
42-38
34-41
40-41
54-58
45-42
34-37
179.0Avg total
93.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)91.281.1172.2+10.177%
Season at home (17)90.376.6166.9+13.776%
Season away (14)92.286.5178.7+5.779%
Last 10 (10)93.185.9179.0+7.260%
Last 5 (5)94.085.0179.0+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.291.0180.2-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)89.082.2171.2+6.869%
vs Weaker (10)93.577.9171.4+15.6100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#301
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H12/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H20/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
83-96
83
96
-13
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-19
47-38
33-26
42-38
41-37
37-45
41-40
41-21
40-47
43-49
43-41
40-41
34-49
44-45
50-23
45-41
38-29
53-54
40-38
45-46
159.7Avg total
83.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.877.2163.0+8.669%
Season at home (20)89.174.0163.1+15.180%
Season away (12)80.282.6162.8-2.350%
Last 10 (10)83.076.7159.7+6.370%
Last 5 (5)86.481.4167.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.888.8176.5-1.075%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.680.9162.5+0.753%
vs Weaker (7)91.663.6155.1+28.0100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +4.4+4.42nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.9+1.9
AlabamaKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A12/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H26/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
81.6Avg total
43.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.579.7+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.133.976.1+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)44.439.583.9+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)43.438.281.6+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.683.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.040.278.2-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.437.882.1+6.681%-
vs Weaker (10)43.333.176.4+10.270%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#301
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A16/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/03
NCAA
74.2Avg total
39.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.777.2+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.734.876.5+6.978%-
Last 30 away (12)36.242.278.3-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.974.2+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.077.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.246.886.0-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.939.277.1-1.253%-
vs Weaker (7)43.928.772.6+15.1100%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alabama wins
4
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Alabama v Kentucky96-83
18/01/25Kentucky v Alabama97-102
24/02/24Kentucky v Alabama117-95
07/01/23Alabama v Kentucky78-52
19/02/22Kentucky v Alabama90-81
06/02/22Alabama v Kentucky55-66
27/01/21Alabama v Kentucky70-59
13/01/21Kentucky v Alabama65-85
11/01/20Kentucky v Alabama76-67
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AAuburn93-91 OT
06/03/25HFlorida94-99
01/03/25ATennessee76-79
26/02/25HMississippi St.111-73
22/02/25HKentucky96-83
20/02/25AMissouri98-110
15/02/25HAuburn85-94
12/02/25ATexas103-80
09/02/25AArkansas85-81
01/02/25HGeorgia90-69
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HOklahoma85-84
08/03/25AMissouri91-83
05/03/25HLSU95-64
01/03/25HAuburn78-94
27/02/25AOklahoma83-82
22/02/25AAlabama83-96
20/02/25HVanderbilt82-61
16/02/25ATexas78-82
12/02/25HTennessee75-64
08/02/25HSouth Carolina80-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW77%
HomeWLWWL76%
AwayWWLLW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %77%76%79%
Points / game91.290.392.2
Allowed / game81.176.686.5
Point differential+10.1+13.7+5.7
Avg total172.2166.9178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %69%80%50%
Points / game85.889.180.2
Allowed / game77.274.082.6
Point differential+8.6+15.1-2.3
Avg total163.0163.1162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%65%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (2)62% (8)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3228488%84.868.6+16.2
2 Auburn3228488%84.469.6+14.8
3 Tennessee3226681%74.862.2+12.6
4 Alabama3124777%91.281.1+10.1
5 Kentucky32221069%85.877.2+8.6
6 Texas A&M32221069%74.367.9+6.4
7 Missouri33221167%84.573.8+10.6
8 Ole Miss33221167%77.271.7+5.5
9 Mississippi St.33211264%79.874.2+5.6
10 Georgia32201262%75.669.3+6.2
11 Vanderbilt32201262%79.674.8+4.8
12 Arkansas33201361%76.671.2+5.5
13 Oklahoma33201361%78.874.8+4.0
14 Texas34191556%78.472.2+6.2
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama455499
Kentucky383270
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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