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Florida vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 104-82
47-45 57-37
Position#6
Record28-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game68.6
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Alabama
USA
Position#34
Record25-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game80.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Florida v Alabama
01 Feb 2026
FLOR100
ALAB77
15 Mar 2025
FLOR104
ALAB82
05 Mar 2024
FLOR105
ALAB87
05 Jan 2022
FLOR70
ALAB83
04 Jan 2020
FLOR104
ALAB98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H16/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H02/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H08/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
48-38
42-43
33-34
48-34
37-33
51-34
46-24
39-39
31-37
48-28
35-51
48-37
45-34
44-36
41-40
58-54
38-31
52-40
50-37
45-44
162.7Avg total
87.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)84.868.6153.4+16.288%
Season at home (21)87.064.6151.6+22.495%
Season away (11)80.676.2156.8+4.573%
Last 10 (10)87.974.8162.7+13.190%
Last 5 (5)91.280.8172.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)84.368.0152.3+16.386%
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#118
W
85-81
85
81
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
103-80
103
80
+23
A12/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A20/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
96-83
96
83
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
111-73
111
73
+38
H26/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
45-47
49-31
54-49
33-42
52-52
46-59
52-51
47-40
49-43
53-27
58-46
42-38
34-41
40-41
54-58
45-42
34-37
45-38
54-32
180.0Avg total
94.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)91.480.7172.1+10.778%
Season at home (18)90.876.2167.0+14.678%
Season away (14)92.286.5178.7+5.779%
Last 10 (10)94.086.0180.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)94.682.4177.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)89.291.0180.2-1.850%
vs Similar (16)89.781.7171.4+8.069%
vs Weaker (10)93.577.9171.4+15.6100%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +8.6+8.62nd half: +3.0+3.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +8.6+8.62nd half: +3.0+3.0
FloridaAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H19/02
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A26/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H14/03
NCAA
76.3Avg total
40.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.631.771.3+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.928.970.8+12.989%-
Last 30 away (11)35.736.472.1-0.645%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.976.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.680.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)39.331.470.8+7.972%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#118
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A12/02
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H26/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/03
NCAA
83.2Avg total
44.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.579.7+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.233.876.1+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)44.439.583.9+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.283.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.282.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.040.278.2-2.225%-
vs Similar (16)44.537.682.1+6.981%-
vs Weaker (10)43.333.176.4+10.270%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Florida wins
4
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
06/03/25Alabama v Florida94-99
16/03/24Alabama v Florida88-102
06/03/24Florida v Alabama105-87
22/02/24Alabama v Florida98-93 OT
09/02/23Alabama v Florida97-69
06/01/22Florida v Alabama70-83
06/01/21Alabama v Florida86-71
04/01/20Florida v Alabama104-98 OT
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HMissouri95-81
08/03/25HOle Miss90-71
06/03/25AAlabama99-94
02/03/25HTexas A&M89-70
26/02/25AGeorgia83-88
22/02/25ALSU79-65
19/02/25HOklahoma85-63
16/02/25HSouth Carolina88-67
12/02/25AMississippi St.81-68
08/02/25AAuburn90-81
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HKentucky99-70
08/03/25AAuburn93-91 OT
06/03/25HFlorida94-99
01/03/25ATennessee76-79
26/02/25HMississippi St.111-73
22/02/25HKentucky96-83
20/02/25AMissouri98-110
15/02/25HAuburn85-94
12/02/25ATexas103-80
09/02/25AArkansas85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %88%95%73%
Points / game84.887.080.6
Allowed / game68.664.676.2
Point differential+16.2+22.4+4.5
Avg total153.4151.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%90%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW78%
HomeLWWLW78%
AwayWWLLW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %78%78%79%
Points / game91.490.892.2
Allowed / game80.776.286.5
Point differential+10.7+14.6+5.7
Avg total172.1167.0178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)33% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3228488%84.868.6+16.2
2 Auburn3328585%83.869.6+14.2
3 Tennessee3327682%74.762.3+12.3
4 Alabama3225778%91.480.7+10.7
5 Texas A&M32221069%74.367.9+6.4
6 Missouri33221167%84.573.8+10.6
7 Kentucky33221167%85.377.9+7.4
8 Ole Miss33221167%77.271.7+5.5
9 Mississippi St.33211264%79.874.2+5.6
10 Georgia32201262%75.669.3+6.2
11 Vanderbilt32201262%79.674.8+4.8
12 Arkansas33201361%76.671.2+5.5
13 Oklahoma33201361%78.874.8+4.0
14 Texas34191556%78.472.2+6.2
15 LSU32141844%73.873.6+0.2
16 South Carolina32122038%69.871.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida4757104
Alabama453782
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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