Alba Berlin vs Bonn Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 17 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 18:30

Postponed

Position#1

Record14-5

FormLWWWL

Points / game93.4

Allowed / game81.6

Alba Berlin

Form · last 5 games

6.0/10

Above normal

6.1/10

Above normal

Bonn

Position#15

Record4-16

FormLLLWL

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game91.2

BBLRound 30

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bonn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Bonn win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba Berlin Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayreuth

#12

82-78

A08/12

BBL

Hamburg

#17

100-75

100

+25

A22/12

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

116-108

116

108

H31/12

BBL

Gottingen

#11

71-72

-1

A05/01

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

98-82

+16

H27/01

BBL

Oldenburg

88-93

-5

A02/02

BBL

Gottingen

#11

96-71

+25

H09/02

BBL

Ulm

112-106 OT

112

106

A11/02

BBL

Bamberg

107-70

107

+37

H01/03

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

82-91

-9

A08/03

BBL

21-9

24-25

21-27

16-17

30-22

22-25

22-15

26-13

29-30

29-29

36-25

22-24

21-15

17-20

16-24

17-13

22-22

30-18

23-19

23-23

15-25

30-26

16-26

27-16

21-25

26-20

21-15

28-11

34-25

19-29

22-20

21-22

34-24

26-21

23-12

24-13

21-22

26-21

20-22

15-26

179.8Avg total

95.2Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	93.4	81.6	175.0	+11.7	74%
Season at home (8)	100.5	78.5	179.0	+22.0	100%
Season away (11)	88.2	83.9	172.1	+4.3	55%
Last 10 (10)	95.2	84.6	179.8	+10.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	97.0	86.2	183.2	+10.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	77.5	84.5	162.0	-7.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	95.1	81.9	177.1	+13.2	82%

This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bonn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hamburg

#17

90-102

102

-12

H26/12

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

93-100

100

-7

A29/12

BBL

Ulm

73-85

-12

A05/01

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

85-90

-5

H10/01

BBL

Giessen

#13

88-85

A18/01

BBL

Bayern

85-93

-8

A26/01

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

66-85

-19

A01/02

BBL

Ludwigsburg

77-83

-6

H12/02

BBL

Giessen

#13

112-96

112

+16

H22/02

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

86-95

-9

H01/03

BBL

27-24

28-20

19-23

16-35

17-31

29-30

22-23

25-16

15-19

20-29

24-15

14-22

21-14

20-18

20-29

24-29

16-20

24-18

20-17

28-30

7-26

24-25

25-11

29-31

15-26

17-18

21-19

13-22

22-21

10-22

25-18

20-22

35-16

13-30

32-20

32-30

15-26

28-19

19-25

24-25

176.9Avg total

85.5Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	84.3	91.2	175.6	-6.9	20%
Season at home (10)	88.0	93.7	181.7	-5.7	30%
Season away (10)	80.7	88.7	169.4	-8.0	10%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	91.4	176.9	-5.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	90.4	175.6	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	84.8	94.1	178.9	-9.3	11%
vs Similar (9)	84.7	82.6	167.2	+2.1	56%
vs Weaker (3)	83.3	92.3	175.7	-9.0	33%

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Alba BerlinBonn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	20.8	45.7	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.8	21.4	48.2	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	21.9	46.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	24.2	49.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	25.2	21.1	46.2	+4.1	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.1	42.2	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	21.5	42.8	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.7	41.8	-3.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.3	23.3	42.6	-3.9	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	22.5	46.7	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.8	43.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	23.4	48.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	23.4	48.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.3	22.0	45.3	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.8	44.3	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	23.1	45.8	-0.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.8	41.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	21.7	24.1	45.8	-2.3	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	21.3	45.0	+2.3	67%	-

Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayreuth

#12

45-34

+11

A08/12

BBL

Hamburg

#17

52-47

A22/12

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

58-59

-1

H31/12

BBL

Gottingen

#11

38-35

A05/01

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

52-40

+12

H27/01

BBL

Oldenburg

45-51

-6

A02/02

BBL

Gottingen

#11

47-45

H09/02

BBL

Ulm

53-54

-1

A11/02

BBL

Bamberg

60-45

+15

H01/03

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

47-43

A08/03

BBL

95.0Avg total

49.7Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.9	42.9	90.8	+5.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	51.1	43.9	94.9	+7.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	41.9	86.6	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.7	45.3	95.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	47.6	98.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	39.5	40.0	79.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	48.5	43.1	91.6	+5.4	64%	-

This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hamburg

#17

55-44

+11

H26/12

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

46-61

-15

A29/12

BBL

Ulm

35-48

-13

A05/01

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

41-32

H10/01

BBL

Giessen

#13

40-38

A18/01

BBL

Bayern

31-51

-20

A26/01

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

32-44

-12

A01/02

BBL

Ludwigsburg

32-43

-11

H12/02

BBL

Giessen

#13

48-46

H22/02

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

43-45

-2

H01/03

BBL

85.5Avg total

40.3Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	45.0	86.5	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	44.1	85.3	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	45.8	87.6	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	45.2	85.5	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	45.8	83.0	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	41.1	47.3	88.4	-6.3	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	40.4	81.9	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.7	44.3	89.0	+0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	18.1	42.2	+6.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.4	19.7	42.1	+2.7	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.9	43.0	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	22.6	44.9	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.0	42.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.6	43.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	18.5	43.2	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	19.5	41.3	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.5	25.5	46.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.8	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.3	45.0	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	24.3	48.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.4	41.9	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	26.2	48.7	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	26.0	49.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	21.3	23.6	44.9	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	27.0	45.7	-8.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	38.7	83.9	+6.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.8	36.6	85.4	+12.2	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	40.7	82.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	38.3	82.2	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	36.6	80.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	38.0	44.5	82.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	45.8	38.2	84.0	+7.5	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	45.1	88.0	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	46.9	93.4	-0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	43.6	83.4	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	46.2	91.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	44.6	92.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	43.7	46.8	90.5	-3.1	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.7	40.9	83.6	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	48.0	86.7	-9.3	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.3	50.5%	54.1%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	11.1	43.7%	33.9%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.7	79.4%	73.5%	12.7

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	18.6	56.7%	54.1%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.9	35.0%	33.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.1%	73.5%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.3	50.6%	54.1%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	10.1	42.3%	33.9%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.6	78.3%	73.5%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	18.0	54.9%	54.1%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.7	36.0%	33.9%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.9	74.7%	73.5%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alba Berlin wins

Bonn wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/19	Bonn v Alba Berlin	87-90
08/05/19	Alba Berlin v Bonn	110-98
10/02/19	Bonn v Alba Berlin	81-93
08/04/18	Bonn v Alba Berlin	76-84
15/10/17	Alba Berlin v Bonn	90-69
05/02/17	Bonn v Alba Berlin	95-72
24/09/16	Alba Berlin v Bonn	96-89
09/04/16	Alba Berlin v Bonn	94-73
08/11/15	Bonn v Alba Berlin	57-77
12/04/15	Bonn v Alba Berlin	69-85

Alba Berlinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	A	Crailsheim Merlins	82-91
01/03/20	H	Bamberg	107-70
11/02/20	A	Ulm	112-106 OT
09/02/20	H	Gottingen	96-71
02/02/20	A	Oldenburg	88-93
27/01/20	H	Crailsheim Merlins	98-82
05/01/20	A	Gottingen	71-72
31/12/19	H	Syntainics MBC	116-108
22/12/19	A	Hamburg	100-75
08/12/19	A	Bayreuth	82-78

Bonnlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/20	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	86-95
22/02/20	H	Giessen	112-96
12/02/20	H	Ludwigsburg	77-83
01/02/20	A	Crailsheim Merlins	66-85
26/01/20	A	Bayern	85-93
18/01/20	A	Giessen	88-85
10/01/20	H	Basketball Braunschweig	85-90
05/01/20	A	Ulm	73-85
29/12/19	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	93-100
26/12/19	H	Hamburg	90-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	74%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLWL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	8	11
Win %	74%	100%	55%
Points / game	93.4	100.5	88.2
Allowed / game	81.6	78.5	83.9
Point differential	+11.7	+22.0	+4.3
Avg total	175.0	179.0	172.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	88%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	-	43% (7)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Bonn

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	20%
Home	LLLWL	30%
Away	LLWLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	20%	30%	10%
Points / game	84.3	88.0	80.7
Allowed / game	91.2	93.7	88.7
Point differential	-6.8	-5.7	-8.0
Avg total	175.6	181.7	169.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	33% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	21	19	2	90%	85.1	74.0	+11.1
2	Ludwigsburg	21	17	4	81%	86.5	78.8	+7.7
3	Alba Berlin	19	14	5	74%	93.4	81.6	+11.7
4	Crailsheim Merlins	21	15	6	71%	90.0	84.4	+5.6
5	Oldenburg	20	13	7	65%	84.3	83.2	+1.2
6	Bamberg	21	12	9	57%	82.6	78.5	+4.1
7	Vechta	21	12	9	57%	80.7	81.8	-1.1
8	s.Oliver Wurzburg	21	11	10	52%	83.6	85.0	-1.4
9	Gottingen	21	11	10	52%	82.2	85.1	-2.9
10	Ulm	20	10	10	50%	87.4	85.5	+1.9
11	Basketball Braunschweig	20	9	11	45%	89.5	91.5	-2.0
12	Bayreuth	21	9	12	43%	86.2	86.2	+0.0
13	Giessen	20	6	14	30%	84.7	89.2	-4.5
14	Frankfurt	21	6	15	29%	75.2	80.6	-5.4
15	Bonn	20	4	16	20%	84.3	91.2	-6.8
16	Syntainics MBC	20	3	17	15%	89.5	97.5	-7.9
17	Hamburg	20	3	17	15%	81.2	92.8	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Alba Berlin vs Bonn Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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