PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Bonn Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game82.5
GermanyBBLRound 22· Uber Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bonn
17 Feb 2027
ABE v BON
upcoming
20 Apr 2026
ABE91
BON75
16 Apr 2025
ABE102
BON88
19 May 2024
ABE83
BON70
17 May 2024
ABE94
BON68
08 May 2024
ABE90
BON69
15 Jan 2023
ABE81
BON76
17 Oct 2022
ABE98
BON95
03 Oct 2021
ABE83
BON80
23 Sep 2021
ABE86
BON88
22 Nov 2020
ABE97
BON74
17 Apr 2020
ABE v BON
upcoming
08 May 2019
ABE110
BON98
15 Oct 2017
ABE90
BON69
24 Sep 2016
ABE96
BON89
09 Apr 2016
ABE94
BON73
28 Mar 2015
ABE90
BON78
11 Apr 2014
ABE93
BON67
05 Feb 2014
ABE88
BON87
20 Nov 2013
ABE76
BON61
17 Apr 2013
ABE76
BON55
30 Dec 2011
ABE78
BON86
06 Feb 2011
ABE64
BON76
20 Feb 2010
ABE83
BON48
11 Jun 2009
ABE71
BON82
06 Jun 2009
ABE65
BON39
31 May 2009
ABE71
BON73
05 Oct 2008
ABE91
BON84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
61-95
61
95
-34
46avg 81
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 81
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
110-86
110
86
+24
110avg 81
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 81
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 81
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#12
W
98-82
98
82
+16
98avg 81
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
W
103-100
103
100
+3
93avg 81
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#6
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#16
W
102-72
102
72
+30
no box
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
12-18
18-26
19-29
11-22
28-24
19-25
25-27
21-15
31-25
34-22
24-24
24-31
23-19
15-26
13-19
18-21
20-19
23-22
29-17
23-18
22-25
23-16
30-23
24-26
19-22
31-24
29-28
26-21
19-21
20-24
23-29
26-26
30-21
27-11
19-14
18-22
21-23
14-19
22-19
177.0Avg total
88.5Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.287.8174.0-1.550%
Season at home (5)93.283.4176.6+9.880%
Season away (3)74.795.0169.7-20.30%
Last 10 (10)88.588.5177.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)93.286.4179.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.586.7168.2-5.240%
vs Similar (10)87.583.0170.5+4.560%
vs Weaker (10)91.183.3174.4+7.870%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Trier
#2
L
80-106
80
106
-26
67avg 74
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 74
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 74
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
78-74
78
74
+4
75avg 74
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
115-68
115
68
+47
116avg 74
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 74
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 74
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#10
W
95-88
95
88
+7
no box
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
101-89
101
89
+12
no box
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
21-26
19-26
23-28
21-16
19-21
16-16
21-19
17-21
19-15
19-21
21-26
25-16
18-16
19-16
16-26
28-11
26-22
32-16
29-19
22-19
18-17
14-19
20-21
14-17
15-26
25-19
14-22
21-26
21-19
24-20
29-23
27-25
21-23
27-23
26-18
22-35
26-17
27-24
22-11
168.8Avg total
86.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.082.5170.5+5.562%
Season at home (5)96.077.4173.4+18.6100%
Season away (3)74.791.0165.7-16.30%
Last 10 (10)86.182.7168.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)87.084.8171.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.789.4163.1-15.70%
vs Similar (10)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.179.5172.5+13.685%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
Alba BerlinBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A26/09
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/10
BBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/10
Champions League
Trier
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A10/10
BBL
Igokea
#27
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/10
Champions League
Ulm
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H25/10
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/10
Champions League
Bonn
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A01/11
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#16
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H06/11
BBL
Bilbao
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/11
Champions League
86.9Avg total
42.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.884.9-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.641.485.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (13)40.044.784.7-4.715%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.186.9-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.090.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.845.184.9-5.320%-
vs Similar (10)42.439.882.2+2.640%-
vs Weaker (10)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
BBL
83.2Avg total
41.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.778.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.838.279.9+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)36.241.477.6-5.236%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.483.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.886.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar (10)35.037.672.6-2.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.139.584.6+5.562%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.9
57.2%
55.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.5
35.8%
33.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.4
75.4%
73.2%14.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.2
50.9%
55.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.0
34.4%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.6
70.1%
73.2%13.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWLWLL
Bonn
WWWLLWWLWL
#10
League position
#6
+0.7
Net rating
-0.9
97.9
Offensive rating
93.1
97.2
Defensive rating
94.1
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
34.4%
69.1%
Assist %
58.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 93.1Defence97.2 · 94.1Shooting55.5% · 51.2%3-point %35.8% · 34.4%Ball care16.4% · 15.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alba Berlin wins
2
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Bonn v Alba Berlin95-88
20/04/26Alba Berlin v Bonn91-75
02/11/25Bonn v Alba Berlin70-84
16/04/25Alba Berlin v Bonn102-88
06/10/24Bonn v Alba Berlin91-87
21/05/24Bonn v Alba Berlin86-93
19/05/24Alba Berlin v Bonn83-70
17/05/24Alba Berlin v Bonn94-68
08/05/24Alba Berlin v Bonn90-69
21/01/24Bonn v Alba Berlin87-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ABilbao75-83
06/11/26HPhoenix Hagen102-72
01/11/26ABonn88-95
28/10/26HBilbao103-100
25/10/26HUlm98-82
13/10/26HIgokea90-79
10/10/26ATrier75-95
07/10/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK110-86
03/10/26HBamberg83-98
26/09/26ABayern61-95
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig97-87
04/11/26HBnei Herzliya101-89
01/11/26HAlba Berlin95-88
24/10/26ALudwigsburg68-84
21/10/26AJoventut Badalona74-76
09/10/26HJena115-68
07/10/26HFC Porto78-74
02/10/26AWurzburg76-83
27/09/26HSyntainics MBC77-72
25/09/26ATrier80-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game86.293.274.7
Allowed / game87.883.495.0
Point differential-1.5+9.8-20.3
Avg total174.0176.6169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bonn
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%100%0%
Points / game88.096.074.7
Allowed / game82.577.491.0
Point differential+5.5+18.6-16.3
Avg total170.5173.4165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
5 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
6 Bonn85362%88.082.5+5.5
7 Wurzburg74357%81.482.1-0.7
8 Bamberg84450%86.985.8+1.1
9 Ludwigsburg84450%85.286.0-0.8
10 Alba Berlin84450%86.287.8-1.5
11 Oldenburg84450%74.482.0-7.6
12 Ulm83538%82.586.4-3.9
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
16 Phoenix Hagen82625%84.091.9-7.9
17 Hamburg82625%82.491.6-9.2
18 Jena82625%77.988.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.