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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-92
17-24 20-20 15-24 22-24
Position#6
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game65.5
GermanyBBLRound 4
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H22/04
BBL
Bremerhaven
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
A27/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
H29/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
73-102
73
102
-29
no box
A01/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
H28/09
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
101avg 96
A02/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A06/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
103-92 OT
103
92
+11
no box
H10/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
no box
A13/10
BBL
Monaco
#8
L
65-75
65
75
-10
90avg 96
H16/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-17
29-19
20-22
27-21
20-18
18-21
24-22
20-25
10-19
18-20
22-23
24-25
18-26
15-22
16-29
19-27
19-19
19-16
20-21
21-28
22-18
16-16
14-26
17-16
25-18
16-21
16-23
19-25
27-18
6-23
26-12
20-24
21-22
19-19
17-12
15-24
17-22
11-13
22-16
167.4Avg total
80.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.093.0181.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
Season away (1)99.0103.0202.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)80.786.7167.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)82.887.2170.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.588.1167.6-8.621%
vs Similar (7)76.783.3160.0-6.614%
vs Weaker (8)85.280.1165.4+5.175%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
H07/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
no box
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
H13/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-106
85
106
-21
no box
A16/06
BBL
Jena
#18
W
112-55
112
55
+57
no box
H29/09
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
107-91
107
91
+16
145avg 127
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H07/10
German Cup
Cedevita
#18
L
73-75
73
75
-2
104avg 127
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
115-76
115
76
+39
no box
H12/10
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
102-93
102
93
+9
133avg 127
A17/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-26
20-18
23-26
17-26
16-25
13-21
19-15
18-11
12-14
17-20
22-19
21-15
19-32
20-26
22-28
24-20
22-16
30-15
33-9
27-15
30-19
25-35
19-21
33-16
19-19
31-15
14-17
24-17
21-22
15-16
14-18
23-19
33-15
20-16
27-22
35-23
26-20
30-19
25-30
21-24
168.9Avg total
88.9Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)113.565.5179.0+48.0100%
Season at home (2)113.565.5179.0+48.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.980.0168.9+8.960%
Last 5 (5)97.080.6177.6+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)87.884.4172.2+3.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)96.978.7175.6+18.279%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +5.7+5.7
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/04
BBL
Bremerhaven
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H29/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A01/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H28/09
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
BBL
Monaco
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H16/10
Eurocup
82.7Avg total
39.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.581.3-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.942.580.3-4.627%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.582.2-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.182.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.083.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.142.879.9-5.614%-
vs Similar (7)35.645.681.1-10.00%-
vs Weaker (8)44.040.484.4+3.675%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A16/06
BBL
Jena
#18
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H29/09
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/10
German Cup
Cedevita
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H12/10
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A17/10
Eurocup
83.7Avg total
42.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.041.087.0+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.639.988.6+8.775%-
Last 30 away (14)43.042.385.3+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.983.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)50.039.289.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.940.489.3+8.679%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.517.0
43.0%
54.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.0
29.8%
34.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.515.0
81.1%
73.6%15.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.0
53.1%
54.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.011.7
46.7%
34.0%35.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.7
79.1%
73.6%17.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLWLLLLLWW
Alba Berlin
WWLWWWLWLL
#6
League position
#3
-14.5
Net rating
+9.0
96.5
Offensive rating
119.1
110.9
Defensive rating
110.1
43.7%
Effective FG%
59.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
60.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.8%
3-point %
46.7%
64.6%
Assist %
80.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 119.1Defence110.9 · 110.1Shooting43.7% · 59.8%3-point %29.8% · 46.7%Ball care17.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ulm wins
6
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
01/05/18Alba Berlin v Ulm102-73
30/09/17Ulm v Alba Berlin68-72
18/03/17Ulm v Alba Berlin82-76
03/10/16Alba Berlin v Ulm94-98
02/04/16Ulm v Alba Berlin78-68
01/10/15Alba Berlin v Ulm74-54
19/04/15Ulm v Alba Berlin66-80
12/10/14Alba Berlin v Ulm88-68
17/05/14Ulm v Alba Berlin89-95
15/05/14Alba Berlin v Ulm64-71
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/18HMonaco65-75
13/10/18AOldenburg99-103 OT
10/10/18HGalatasaray103-92 OT
06/10/18AFrankfurt74-78
02/10/18ACrvena zvezda73-88
28/09/18HBayern77-83
01/05/18AAlba Berlin73-102
29/04/18HOldenburg70-87
27/04/18ABremerhaven89-82
22/04/18HLudwigsburg84-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/18ALimoges102-93
12/10/18HCrailsheim Merlins115-76
10/10/18ACedevita73-75
07/10/18HBayreuth88-68
02/10/18HTofas107-91
29/09/18HJena112-55
16/06/18ABayern85-106
13/06/18HBayern72-68
10/06/18ABayern66-72
07/06/18HBayern69-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game88.077.099.0
Allowed / game93.083.0103.0
Point differential-5.0-6.0-4.0
Avg total181.0160.0202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game113.5113.5-
Allowed / game65.565.5-
Point differential+48.0+48.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin220100%113.565.5+48.0
2 Oldenburg220100%101.581.5+20.0
3 Bayern330100%83.068.0+15.0
4 Bonn330100%85.077.3+7.7
5 Bamberg220100%88.585.5+3.0
6 Giessen43175%88.886.0+2.8
7 Gottingen32167%91.778.7+13.0
8 Ludwigsburg32167%83.075.7+7.3
9 Bremerhaven32167%80.080.7-0.7
10 Bayreuth21150%83.580.5+3.0
11 Frankfurt21150%82.083.0-1.0
12 Jena21150%68.088.0-20.0
13 s.Oliver Wurzburg3030%82.786.7-4.0
14 Ulm2020%88.093.0-5.0
15 Vechta3030%72.083.3-11.3
16 Crailsheim Merlins3030%82.0100.0-18.0
17 Mitteldeutscher3030%70.392.3-22.0
18 Basketball Braunschweig3030%64.787.3-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1720152274
Alba Berlin2420242492
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