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Albacete vs Ourense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 29
Other2026-27
Meetings · Albacete v Ourense
10 Apr 2027
ALBA v OURE
upcoming
18 Mar 2023
ALBA66
OURE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albacete win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlbaceteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlbacete
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H17/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
70-64
70
64
+6
no box
H24/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
68-66
68
66
+2
no box
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Palencia
#3
L
69-95
69
95
-26
47avg 75
H26/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
104-92
104
92
+12
97avg 75
A02/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
81avg 75
H10/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
71avg 75
A17/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
81avg 75
H25/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
no box
A31/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
56-62
56
62
-6
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
30-19
25-21
9-16
27-22
14-13
17-19
12-10
14-21
21-8
10-13
23-24
20-25
14-27
23-23
12-20
22-30
32-18
22-20
28-24
23-18
20-16
15-15
23-22
25-27
12-28
15-15
23-27
20-23
23-19
19-19
20-20
18-15
24-25
15-29
32-21
14-18
11-16
20-14
11-14
157.5Avg total
78.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.484.0163.4-4.643%
Season at home (4)72.077.2149.2-5.250%
Season away (3)89.393.0182.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)78.179.4157.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)76.680.2156.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.292.2171.5-13.025%
vs Similar (17)75.574.1149.6+1.465%
vs Weaker (9)82.974.7157.6+8.289%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 69
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
65avg 69
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
91-71
91
71
+20
79avg 69
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 69
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 69
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 69
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
64avg 69
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
24-31
25-18
20-16
13-20
22-27
19-15
16-12
31-15
18-24
22-17
20-15
20-29
30-16
20-21
20-20
28-21
13-31
20-27
25-22
16-16
22-16
22-24
19-27
25-13
20-22
16-25
19-24
23-20
18-20
26-11
16-22
19-17
25-19
19-20
23-28
20-24
23-11
21-16
23-23
165.9Avg total
84.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.282.0167.2+3.262%
Season at home (5)85.280.4165.6+4.860%
Season away (3)85.384.7170.0+0.767%
Last 10 (10)84.581.4165.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.584.6162.1-7.114%
vs Similar (7)78.782.4161.1-3.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.477.4158.9+4.067%
This opponent (Albacete) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
AlbaceteOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlbaceteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/05
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Palencia
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H26/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A02/10
Primera FEB
Cordoba
#15
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A17/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A31/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H07/11
Primera FEB
81.5Avg total
40.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.479.0+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.638.177.7+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.680.3-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.881.5-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.079.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.550.088.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (17)39.136.775.8+2.465%-
vs Weaker (9)41.239.780.9+1.656%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A03/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H08/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A04/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#5
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H16/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/10
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H31/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/11
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.980.8-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.041.681.6-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)39.939.979.8+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.842.180.9-3.343%-
vs Similar (7)40.141.982.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.738.279.9+3.478%-
This opponent (Albacete) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Albacetetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Albacete: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.2
54.9%
53.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.818.6
75.0%
74.2%18.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ourensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ourense: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
53.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Albacete
LLWLWWLWWW
Ourense
WWWLLLWWLW
#10
League position
#6
-6.6
Net rating
-5.1
108.9
Offensive rating
110.3
115.5
Defensive rating
115.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.41
32.6%
3-point %
30.5%
63.0%
Assist %
53.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 110.3Defence115.5 · 115.4Shooting52.3% · 49.6%3-point %32.6% · 30.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Albacete   ■ Ourense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Albacete wins
2
Ourense wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23Albacete v Ourense66-74
20/11/22Ourense v Albacete89-71
Albacetelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HHestia Menorca56-62
31/10/26AZamora89-90
25/10/26HEstela82-81
17/10/26AGran Canaria75-97
10/10/26HCordoba81-71
02/10/26ATizona Burgos104-92
26/09/26HPalencia69-95
31/05/26ACastello68-66
24/05/26HCastello70-64
17/05/26HIraurgi SB87-76
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCaja 8787-74
07/11/26AFuenlabrada86-84
31/10/26HFibwi Palma83-73
24/10/26APalencia80-84
16/10/26HAlicante79-83
10/10/26HEstela86-101
04/10/26AGipuzkoa90-86
26/09/26HTizona Burgos91-71
08/05/26HOviedo70-74
03/05/26AMelilla93-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albacete
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game79.472.089.3
Allowed / game84.077.293.0
Point differential-4.6-5.2-3.7
Avg total163.4149.2182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game85.285.285.3
Allowed / game82.080.484.7
Point differential+3.2+4.8+0.7
Avg total167.2165.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket74357%87.486.4+1.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Albacete73443%79.484.0-4.6
11 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
12 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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