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Albury vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 May 2016
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 94-97
19-30 25-30 26-21 24-16
Position#9
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Geelong 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record4-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.9
AustraliaSEABL
Other2016
Meetings · Albury v Geelong
21 Apr 2017
ALBU98
GEEL97
07 May 2016
ALBU94
GEEL97
05 Sep 2015
ALBU84
GEEL78
22 Aug 2015
ALBU88
GEEL83
13 Jun 2015
ALBU85
GEEL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albury winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlburyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#3
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H22/08
SEABL
Geelong
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H05/09
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H12/09
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A02/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A03/04
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
101-53
101
53
+48
H09/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
L
100-101
100
101
-1
H16/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A22/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A23/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H30/04
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
24-19
9-22
29-22
20-14
23-19
20-16
21-29
17-24
24-20
20-22
15-21
23-21
26-17
9-25
28-12
13-27
13-14
19-26
31-14
29-7
25-15
20-23
27-8
19-29
31-13
30-31
20-28
27-25
18-23
17-25
33-17
9-27
14-27
19-19
13-16
17-23
30-22
19-32
12-18
167.1Avg total
83.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.483.4167.9+1.043%
Season at home (3)93.083.0176.0+10.033%
Season away (4)78.083.8161.8-5.850%
Last 10 (10)83.983.2167.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)85.885.6171.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.089.8168.8-10.840%
vs Similar (7)88.081.9169.9+6.186%
vs Weaker (18)87.281.0168.2+6.261%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H29/08
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A05/09
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H01/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H08/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A16/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
74-97
74
97
-23
H22/04
SEABL
Canberra
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A24/04
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A30/04
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
96-88
96
88
+8
A01/05
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
19-24
22-9
22-29
32-16
14-20
23-24
28-20
14-20
19-23
16-20
29-21
15-8
21-14
15-22
22-11
27-16
17-19
17-16
26-9
17-13
25-29
24-22
24-9
21-20
14-22
23-25
16-30
25-22
21-14
13-27
15-15
19-14
31-33
19-23
16-17
27-12
20-27
21-21
28-28
162.7Avg total
83.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.776.9159.6+5.957%
Season at home (3)78.070.7148.7+7.367%
Season away (4)86.281.5167.8+4.850%
Last 10 (10)83.779.0162.7+4.750%
Last 5 (5)83.884.6168.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.086.3158.3-14.333%
vs Similar (10)84.081.8165.8+2.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.577.1163.5+9.482%
This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
AlburyGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/08
SEABL
Geelong
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H05/09
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H12/09
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A02/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A03/04
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H09/04
SEABL
NW Tasmania
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/04
SEABL
Hobart Chargers
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/04
SEABL
Bendigo
#1
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A23/04
SEABL
Nunawading
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H30/04
SEABL
83.4Avg total
42.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.785.9+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.540.688.1+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.983.4-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.286.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.848.487.2-9.620%-
vs Similar (7)47.040.987.9+6.171%-
vs Weaker (18)44.740.184.8+4.661%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H29/08
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A05/09
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H01/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A16/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H22/04
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/04
SEABL
Dandenong
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A30/04
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A01/05
SEABL
81.0Avg total
41.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.083.0+3.077%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.737.979.6+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)44.141.885.9+2.381%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.281.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.285.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.043.377.3-9.333%-
vs Similar (10)42.740.383.0+2.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.839.283.9+5.682%-
This opponent (Albury) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Albury wins
1
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
05/09/15Albury v Geelong84-78
22/08/15Albury v Geelong88-83
13/06/15Albury v Geelong85-74
25/04/15Geelong v Albury96-87
Alburylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/16HNunawading78-95
23/04/16ABendigo55-89
22/04/16AHobart Chargers95-90
16/04/16HNW Tasmania100-101
09/04/16HMelbourne Tigers101-53
03/04/16AFrankston76-81
02/04/16ADandenong86-75
12/09/15HMt Gambier76-87
05/09/15HGeelong84-78
22/08/15HGeelong88-83
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/16AMelbourne Tigers96-88
30/04/16ADandenong85-87
24/04/16ACanberra74-78
22/04/16HMt Gambier74-97
16/04/16AFrankston90-73
08/04/16HKilsyth87-60
01/04/16HBrisbane Spartans73-55
05/09/15AAlbury78-84
29/08/15HDandenong97-80
22/08/15AAlbury83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albury
SEABL 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game84.493.078.0
Allowed / game83.483.083.8
Point differential+1.0+10.0-5.8
Avg total167.9176.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
SEABL 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game82.778.086.2
Allowed / game76.970.781.5
Point differential+5.9+7.3+4.8
Avg total159.6148.7167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo76186%86.669.4+17.1
2 Hobart Chargers76186%86.971.3+15.6
3 Mt Gambier75271%88.378.7+9.6
4 NW Tasmania75271%86.085.1+0.9
5 Brisbane Spartans96367%84.081.8+2.2
6 Kilsyth85362%75.675.9-0.2
7 Geelong74357%82.776.9+5.9
8 Nunawading95456%87.280.9+6.3
9 Albury73443%84.483.4+1.0
10 Southern Sabres73443%77.485.9-8.4
11 Dandenong83538%81.584.1-2.6
12 Canberra83538%76.581.6-5.1
13 Ballarat62433%88.291.8-3.7
14 Melbourne Tigers71614%68.082.6-14.6
15 Frankston81712%71.184.6-13.5
16 BA CoE4040%70.088.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Albury1925262494
Geelong3030211697
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