Albury vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Aug 2015

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 88-83

26-20 24-19 9-22 29-22

Position#2

Record17-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game81.3

Albury 🏆

Geelong

Position#3

Record16-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game79.5

SEABL

Other2015

Meetings · Albury v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albury winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Albury

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

76-80

-4

A28/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

94-83

+11

H03/07

SEABL

Nunawading

90-100

100

-10

H10/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

86-75

+11

A17/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

84-78

H18/07

SEABL

Ballarat

96-88

A25/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

83-74

A26/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

86-70

+16

H01/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

91-71

+20

H08/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

91-88 OT

H15/08

SEABL

23-25

20-20

20-23

13-12

26-18

26-26

17-24

25-15

25-39

26-24

19-23

20-14

21-29

28-16

20-25

17-5

28-23

25-17

16-18

15-20

27-17

33-24

25-23

11-24

16-20

32-17

16-16

19-21

16-14

18-20

24-22

28-14

32-21

26-9

13-24

20-17

23-16

15-35

23-17

20-13

168.4Avg total

87.7Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	87.1	81.3	168.5	+5.8	71%
Season at home (12)	91.2	80.6	171.8	+10.7	92%
Season away (12)	83.0	82.1	165.1	+0.9	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	80.7	168.4	+7.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	78.2	167.6	+11.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	91.0	88.0	179.0	+3.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	87.7	84.2	171.8	+3.5	67%
vs Weaker (17)	86.7	79.9	166.6	+6.8	71%

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

86-76

+10

H05/07

SEABL

Ballarat

93-77

+16

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

69-76

-7

H11/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

84-77

A18/07

SEABL

Dandenong

78-80

-2

H25/07

SEABL

BA CoE

89-72

+17

H02/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

69-68

A07/08

SEABL

Bendigo

81-93 OT

-12

A09/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

83-65

+18

H14/08

SEABL

Canberra

#14

78-76

A15/08

SEABL

13-19

27-20

21-14

25-23

33-23

20-23

22-18

18-13

23-15

18-17

20-28

8-16

22-25

22-18

18-13

22-21

23-22

19-15

23-19

13-24

19-14

27-21

21-17

22-20

18-19

17-15

25-15

9-19

24-16

15-19

21-21

15-19

15-22

21-14

20-9

27-20

20-18

23-16

15-25

20-17

157.0Avg total

81.0Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	83.7	79.5	163.2	+4.2	67%
Season at home (12)	85.5	79.6	165.1	+5.9	67%
Season away (12)	81.9	79.3	161.2	+2.6	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	76.0	157.0	+5.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	74.8	154.8	+5.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.0	81.0	152.0	-10.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	84.0	82.3	166.3	+1.7	40%
vs Weaker (12)	85.6	76.8	162.4	+8.8	92%

This opponent (Albury) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlburyGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.7	19.8	44.5	+4.8	92%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	22.2	45.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.6	40.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.7	21.6	44.4	+1.1	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.9	22.2	44.2	-0.3	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	21.3	43.2	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.8	21.2	42.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	20.8	45.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.0	45.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	35.0	50.0	-20.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.7	23.5	46.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.2	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	22.2	18.7	40.9	+3.5	75%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.5	19.8	42.2	+2.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.7	17.6	40.2	+5.1	75%	-

AlburyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dandenong

43-45

-2

A28/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

52-44

H03/07

SEABL

Nunawading

51-63

-12

H10/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

49-45

A17/07

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

53-40

+13

H18/07

SEABL

Ballarat

60-41

+19

A25/07

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

48-37

+11

A26/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

34-34

H01/08

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

58-30

+28

H08/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

38-51

-13

H15/08

SEABL

91.6Avg total

48.6Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	45.0	42.0	87.0	+3.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	47.3	40.7	88.0	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	42.8	43.3	86.1	-0.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	43.0	91.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	38.6	86.2	+9.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	51.0	89.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	45.8	43.5	89.3	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	45.2	40.9	86.1	+4.2	59%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

40-39

H05/07

SEABL

Ballarat

53-46

A08/07

SEABL

Bendigo

41-32

H11/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

44-43

A18/07

SEABL

Dandenong

42-37

H25/07

SEABL

BA CoE

46-35

+11

H02/08

SEABL

Mt Gambier

35-34

A07/08

SEABL

Bendigo

39-35

A09/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

#11

36-36

H14/08

SEABL

Canberra

#14

43-34

A15/08

SEABL

79.0Avg total

41.9Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	43.6	40.3	83.9	+3.3	79%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.4	40.7	84.1	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	43.8	39.9	83.7	+3.8	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	37.1	79.0	+4.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	34.8	74.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.5	44.0	77.5	-10.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.5	41.2	85.7	+3.3	80%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.5	38.9	83.4	+5.6	83%	-

This opponent (Albury) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	21.2	41.9	-0.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.2	41%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.5	17.8	36.3	+0.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	58%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	15.5	34.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	13.0	33.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.8	20.8	41.7	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.4	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.9	19.5	39.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	19.2	38.1	-0.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.0	33.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	41.1	38.8	79.9	+2.3	54%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.0	38.8	80.8	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.2	38.8	79.0	+1.5	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.0	75.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.2	78.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	30.0	73.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.8	40.7	82.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	40.8	38.6	79.4	+2.1	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	39.5	38.1	77.5	+1.4	58%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.2	38.2	79.5	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.7	37.9	75.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	37.1	75.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.4	75.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	37.0	74.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.9	39.3	78.2	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.2	37.2	77.5	+3.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Albury wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
13/06/15	Albury v Geelong	85-74
25/04/15	Geelong v Albury	96-87

Alburylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/08/15	H	Mt Gambier	91-88 OT
08/08/15	H	Southern Sabres	91-71
01/08/15	H	Frankston	86-70
26/07/15	A	Southern Sabres	83-74
25/07/15	A	Ballarat	96-88
18/07/15	H	Kilsyth	84-78
17/07/15	A	Frankston	86-75
10/07/15	H	Nunawading	90-100
03/07/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	94-83
28/06/15	A	Dandenong	76-80

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/08/15	A	Canberra	78-76
14/08/15	H	Kilsyth	83-65
09/08/15	A	Bendigo	81-93 OT
07/08/15	A	Mt Gambier	69-68
02/08/15	H	BA CoE	89-72
25/07/15	H	Dandenong	78-80
18/07/15	A	Brisbane Spartans	84-77
11/07/15	H	Bendigo	69-76
08/07/15	A	Ballarat	93-77
05/07/15	H	NW Tasmania	86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albury

SEABL 2015

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	71%
Home	LWWWW	92%
Away	WLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	71%	92%	50%
Points / game	87.1	91.2	83.0
Allowed / game	81.3	80.6	82.1
Point differential	+5.8	+10.7	+0.9
Avg total	168.5	171.8	165.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	50%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Geelong

SEABL 2015

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	67%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	WWWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	67%	67%	67%
Points / game	83.7	85.5	81.9
Allowed / game	79.5	79.6	79.3
Point differential	+4.2	+5.9	+2.6
Avg total	163.2	165.1	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	42%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	50% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	25	21	4	84%	87.0	73.2	+13.7
2	Albury	24	17	7	71%	87.1	81.3	+5.8
3	Geelong	24	16	8	67%	83.7	79.5	+4.2
4	Bendigo	25	16	9	64%	83.1	81.7	+1.4
5	Dandenong	24	15	9	62%	83.9	82.9	+1.0
6	NW Tasmania	24	13	11	54%	83.6	81.0	+2.6
7	Ballarat	24	13	11	54%	86.8	84.8	+2.1
8	Nunawading	24	12	12	50%	85.6	85.9	-0.3
9	BA CoE	14	6	8	43%	83.7	87.5	-3.8
10	Kilsyth	24	10	14	42%	76.5	77.6	-1.0
11	Hobart Chargers	24	10	14	42%	69.5	72.0	-2.6
12	Southern Sabres	24	8	16	33%	81.0	83.3	-2.3
13	Brisbane Spartans	24	8	16	33%	80.5	83.6	-3.1
14	Canberra	24	8	16	33%	77.2	85.5	-8.3
15	Frankston	24	3	21	12%	76.1	87.8	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Albury	26	24	9	29	88
Geelong	20	19	22	22	83

← all games of the day

Albury vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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