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Dandenong vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Apr 2016
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 87-85
14-19 33-31 23-19 17-16
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game72.6
AustraliaSEABL
Other2016
Meetings · Dandenong v Geelong
11 Jul 2025
DAND106
GEEL84
27 Apr 2024
DAND78
GEEL74
16 Jul 2022
DAND96
GEEL100
30 Apr 2016
DAND87
GEEL85
09 May 2015
DAND79
GEEL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#14
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
A08/08
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H15/08
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A16/08
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H22/08
SEABL
Geelong
#3
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A29/08
SEABL
Albury
#9
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H02/04
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H09/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H16/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H23/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A24/04
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
13-14
10-15
22-21
15-24
21-16
21-20
21-11
23-21
12-23
16-19
26-11
21-24
28-12
20-23
22-26
16-32
20-14
24-23
20-28
21-23
17-26
25-9
12-28
23-20
21-20
17-25
15-12
20-17
22-29
28-19
23-14
16-19
15-25
19-29
30-20
23-30
20-23
26-13
23-12
163.7Avg total
81.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.282.6165.8+0.640%
Season at home (4)81.083.8164.8-2.825%
Season away (1)92.078.0170.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.981.8163.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)83.282.6165.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)87.090.4177.4-3.440%
vs Similar (18)83.484.6168.0-1.156%
vs Weaker (7)83.476.9160.3+6.671%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#11
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H14/08
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A15/08
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H29/08
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A05/09
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H01/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H08/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A16/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
74-97
74
97
-23
H22/04
SEABL
Canberra
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A24/04
SEABL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-14
20-9
27-20
20-18
23-16
15-25
20-17
20-26
19-24
22-9
22-29
32-16
14-20
23-24
28-20
14-20
19-23
16-20
29-21
15-8
21-14
15-22
22-11
27-16
17-19
17-16
26-9
17-13
25-29
24-22
24-9
21-20
14-22
23-25
16-30
25-22
21-14
13-27
15-15
157.3Avg total
81.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.672.6152.2+7.060%
Season at home (3)78.070.7148.7+7.367%
Season away (2)82.075.5157.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)81.775.6157.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)79.672.6152.2+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.086.3158.3-14.333%
vs Similar (12)84.282.2166.4+2.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.975.7161.6+10.387%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
DandenongGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#14
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A08/08
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/08
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#12
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A16/08
SEABL
Ballarat
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H22/08
SEABL
Geelong
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/08
SEABL
Albury
#9
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H02/04
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H09/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H23/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/04
SEABL
81.6Avg total
38.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.785.4-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.343.584.8-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)42.243.986.1-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.881.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.486.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.844.685.4-3.840%-
vs Similar (18)42.544.086.5-1.539%-
vs Weaker (7)40.442.182.6-1.743%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#11
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H14/08
SEABL
Canberra
#14
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A15/08
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H29/08
SEABL
Albury
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A05/09
SEABL
Brisbane Spartans
#5
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H01/04
SEABL
Kilsyth
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/04
SEABL
Frankston
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A16/04
SEABL
Mt Gambier
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H22/04
SEABL
Canberra
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A24/04
SEABL
77.6Avg total
40.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.183.0+2.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.481.1+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.985.0+1.373%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.677.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.476.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.043.377.3-9.333%-
vs Similar (12)43.441.284.6+2.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.338.782.9+5.680%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dandenong wins
2
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
29/08/15Geelong v Dandenong97-80
25/07/15Geelong v Dandenong78-80
09/05/15Dandenong v Geelong79-101
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/16AFrankston92-78
23/04/16HMt Gambier80-93
16/04/16HKilsyth93-79
09/04/16HBrisbane Spartans76-77
02/04/16HAlbury75-86
29/08/15AGeelong80-97
22/08/15HBallarat91-85
16/08/15ASouthern Sabres77-74
15/08/15HBrisbane Spartans78-71
08/08/15ACanberra77-78 OT
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/16ACanberra74-78
22/04/16HMt Gambier74-97
16/04/16AFrankston90-73
08/04/16HKilsyth87-60
01/04/16HBrisbane Spartans73-55
05/09/15AAlbury78-84
29/08/15HDandenong97-80
22/08/15AAlbury83-88
15/08/15ACanberra78-76
14/08/15HKilsyth83-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong
SEABL 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%25%100%
Points / game83.281.092.0
Allowed / game82.683.878.0
Point differential+0.6-2.8+14.0
Avg total165.8164.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
SEABL 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game79.678.082.0
Allowed / game72.670.775.5
Point differential+7.0+7.3+6.5
Avg total152.2148.7157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo65183%88.571.0+17.5
2 Hobart Chargers65183%86.371.2+15.2
3 Mt Gambier65183%88.877.2+11.7
4 Geelong53260%79.672.6+7.0
5 NW Tasmania53260%86.489.6-3.2
6 Brisbane Spartans74357%82.081.6+0.4
7 Kilsyth74357%75.976.7-0.9
8 Albury63350%85.581.5+4.0
9 Canberra73443%76.680.7-4.1
10 Southern Sabres73443%77.485.9-8.4
11 Dandenong52340%83.282.6+0.6
12 Ballarat52340%89.891.4-1.6
13 Nunawading62433%81.581.8-0.3
14 Frankston61517%71.386.3-15.0
15 Melbourne Tigers61517%64.780.3-15.7
16 BA CoE2020%68.582.0-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong1433231787
Geelong1931191685
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