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Albury W vs Maitland Mustangs W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 99-65
23-8 22-27 31-15 23-15
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game59.3
vs
Position#13
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game69.8
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2024
Meetings · Albury W v Maitland Mustangs W
04 May 2024
ALBU99
MAIT65
22 Jul 2023
ALBU71
MAIT67
23 Jul 2022
ALBU101
MAIT43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albury W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland Mustangs W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Albury WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra W
#10
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A15/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
H21/07
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#6
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H22/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A29/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
W
99-66
99
66
+33
A06/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
107-50
107
50
+57
A07/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
103-53
103
53
+50
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#7
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H19/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H20/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
W
88-52
88
52
+36
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
19-5
12-15
25-23
25-25
18-22
20-21
28-23
19-10
18-22
19-21
15-14
24-22
13-24
18-16
17-18
22-12
28-24
24-8
25-22
32-10
30-18
17-14
28-8
19-8
22-9
31-19
31-17
25-22
25-20
23-17
20-16
16-27
23-11
17-15
19-7
27-21
15-17
21-8
25-6
153.9Avg total
87.6Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.259.3153.5+34.8100%
Season at home (4)89.860.0149.8+29.8100%
Season away (2)103.058.0161.0+45.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.666.3153.9+21.380%
Last 5 (5)93.258.0151.2+35.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.484.4151.9-17.00%
vs Similar (6)79.075.0154.0+4.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.560.7151.2+29.787%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P. W
#14
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A09/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A15/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A29/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H06/04
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H07/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
73-78 OT
73
78
-5
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
12-18
16-9
6-6
17-12
12-17
19-24
24-16
10-19
22-18
21-19
14-15
15-26
16-18
15-15
11-22
13-19
10-18
20-24
20-15
22-20
15-4
22-11
22-14
22-20
20-13
9-11
20-24
17-16
24-20
22-23
21-15
8-19
16-14
16-21
22-20
15-14
15-25
22-20
15-8
137.2Avg total
68.4Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.369.8142.2+2.550%
Season at home (4)69.266.8136.0+2.550%
Season away (2)78.576.0154.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)68.468.8137.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)74.268.6142.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)66.975.9142.7-9.040%
vs Similar (3)63.070.0133.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (12)73.855.7129.5+18.292%
This opponent (Albury W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +7.9+7.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +7.9+7.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
Albury WMaitland Mustangs W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Albury WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra W
#10
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A15/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/07
NBL1 East Women
Maitland Mustangs W
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H22/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A29/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A06/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
W
62-28
62
28
+34
A07/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H19/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H20/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
78.2Avg total
43.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.079.0+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.982.7+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.934.874.7+5.157%-
Last 10 (10)43.734.578.2+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.832.679.4+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.743.378.0-8.722%-
vs Similar (6)42.037.279.2+4.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.433.179.5+13.387%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P. W
#14
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A09/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A15/07
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A22/07
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A29/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H06/04
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#16
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H07/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#14
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
66.6Avg total
32.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.967.3+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.831.266.1+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)33.934.968.8-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)32.134.566.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.067.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.837.269.0-5.427%-
vs Similar (3)29.040.369.3-11.30%-
vs Weaker (12)39.025.864.8+13.283%-
This opponent (Albury W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Albury W wins
0
Maitland Mustangs W wins
Albury Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HIllawarra Hawks W88-52
20/04/24HNorths Bears W75-60
19/04/24HBA CoE W93-75
13/04/24HSutherland Sharks W103-53
07/04/24AHornsby S. W107-50
06/04/24ASydney Comets W99-66
29/07/23AManly W. W72-80
22/07/23HMaitland Mustangs W71-67
21/07/23HSydney Comets W95-101 OT
15/07/23ACanberra W73-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ACentral Coast W73-78 OT
25/04/24HHornsby S. W62-74
20/04/24ASutherland Sharks W84-74
13/04/24HCanberra W71-68
07/04/24HInner West Bulls W81-49
06/04/24HNewcastle Falcons W63-76
29/07/23ANorths Bears W57-81
22/07/23AAlbury W67-71
15/07/23ANewcastle Falcons W72-69
09/07/23APenrith P. W54-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albury W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.289.8103.0
Allowed / game59.360.058.0
Point differential+34.8+29.8+45.0
Avg total153.5149.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game72.369.278.5
Allowed / game69.866.876.0
Point differential+2.5+2.5+2.5
Avg total142.2136.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury W660100%94.259.3+34.8
2 Manly W. W440100%89.258.5+30.8
3 Newcastle Falcons W770100%80.461.3+19.1
4 Norths Bears W65183%74.859.0+15.8
5 Central Coast W75271%80.971.6+9.3
6 BA CoE W53260%74.872.4+2.4
7 Maitland Mustangs W63350%72.369.8+2.5
8 Illawarra Hawks W63350%66.065.7+0.3
9 Canberra W63350%72.877.5-4.7
10 Sutherland Sharks W63350%72.579.8-7.3
11 Bankstown Bruins W72529%75.377.7-2.4
12 Sydney Comets W72529%65.076.1-11.1
13 Hills Hornets W51420%66.474.0-7.6
14 Penrith P. W61517%69.085.8-16.8
15 Hornsby S. W81712%66.586.4-19.9
16 Inner West Bulls W81712%55.479.1-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Albury W2322312399
Maitland Mustangs W827151565
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