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Albury W vs Maitland Mustangs W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 71-67
19-10 18-22 19-21 15-14
Position#8
Record11-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#6
Record14-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game64.1
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2023
Meetings · Albury W v Maitland Mustangs W
04 May 2024
ALBU99
MAIT65
22 Jul 2023
ALBU71
MAIT67
23 Jul 2022
ALBU101
MAIT43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albury W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland Mustangs W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Albury WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland Mustangs W
#6
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A20/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A21/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H03/06
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H17/06
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#9
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H24/06
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A01/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A02/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
94-100
94
100
-6
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A15/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
H21/07
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
25-10
10-20
12-17
20-18
17-11
16-25
13-26
19-18
22-17
18-18
12-21
22-20
21-25
16-20
24-14
23-18
26-24
18-13
23-5
18-17
14-18
14-24
11-11
25-22
22-27
14-17
20-13
25-21
19-30
26-25
24-24
17-16
19-5
12-15
25-23
25-25
18-22
20-21
28-23
154.3Avg total
77.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.171.9151.0+7.252%
Season at home (10)88.273.4161.6+14.860%
Season away (11)70.870.5141.3+0.445%
Last 10 (10)77.876.5154.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)80.081.8161.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.484.4150.8-18.010%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.676.6157.2+4.080%
vs Weaker (15)89.766.0155.7+23.780%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S. W
#16
W
90-48
90
48
+42
A21/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
55-92
55
92
-37
A27/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#9
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H03/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A17/06
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#11
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H24/06
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H01/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H02/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#13
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#14
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A09/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A15/07
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
22-14
16-13
23-8
12-27
18-22
14-21
11-22
28-17
15-15
16-13
16-16
20-23
17-19
19-11
14-17
16-8
19-21
23-20
19-18
22-25
16-10
24-19
19-14
16-15
12-16
14-26
16-12
27-5
14-7
12-19
16-13
20-15
12-18
16-9
6-6
17-12
12-17
19-24
24-16
134.8Avg total
70.7Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.964.1133.0+4.867%
Season at home (11)70.462.6133.0+7.764%
Season away (10)67.365.8133.1+1.570%
Last 10 (10)70.764.1134.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)66.859.6126.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)63.081.0144.0-18.024%
vs Similar ◀ (2)61.069.5130.5-8.50%
vs Weaker (11)75.255.8131.0+19.4100%
This opponent (Albury W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
Albury WMaitland Mustangs W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Albury WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland Mustangs W
#6
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A20/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A21/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H03/06
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/06
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H24/06
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/07
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#10
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A15/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/07
NBL1 East Women
79.8Avg total
41.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.978.8+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.640.083.6+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.935.473.4+2.557%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.079.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.681.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.342.576.8-8.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.038.281.2+4.840%-
vs Weaker (15)44.734.779.3+10.080%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S. W
#16
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A21/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A27/05
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/06
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A17/06
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#11
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/06
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H02/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#13
W
41-12
41
12
+29
H08/07
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#14
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A09/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A15/07
NBL1 East Women
68.3Avg total
36.4Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.867.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.834.468.2-0.547%-
Last 30 away (13)32.235.367.5-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)36.431.968.3+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.628.061.6+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.840.168.8-11.312%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)27.542.069.5-14.50%-
vs Weaker (11)40.825.366.1+15.591%-
This opponent (Albury W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Albury W wins
0
Maitland Mustangs W wins
Albury Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/07/23HSydney Comets W95-101 OT
15/07/23ACanberra W73-59
08/07/23HSutherland Sharks W94-100
02/07/23ASydney Comets W81-79
01/07/23ANorths Bears W57-70
24/06/23HBankstown Bruins W90-60
17/06/23HCentral Coast W83-79
03/06/23HBA CoE W71-74
21/05/23ANewcastle Falcons W66-80
20/05/23AMaitland Mustangs W68-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23ANewcastle Falcons W72-69
09/07/23APenrith P. W54-48
08/07/23HIllawarra Hawks W69-44
02/07/23HManly W. W58-69
01/07/23HSutherland Sharks W81-68
24/06/23HCentral Coast W77-67
17/06/23ASydney Comets W76-75 OT
03/06/23HBankstown Bruins W75-61
27/05/23AManly W. W55-92
21/05/23AHornsby S. W90-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albury W
NBL1 East Women 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%60%45%
Points / game79.188.270.8
Allowed / game71.973.470.5
Point differential+7.2+14.8+0.4
Avg total151.0161.6141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%64%70%
Points / game68.970.467.3
Allowed / game64.162.665.8
Point differential+4.8+7.7+1.5
Avg total133.0133.0133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Manly W. W2220291%83.559.2+24.3
2 Newcastle Falcons W2118386%77.258.0+19.3
3 Norths Bears W2016480%87.760.1+27.6
4 BA CoE W2216673%82.768.6+14.1
5 Sutherland Sharks W2114767%82.169.9+12.2
6 Maitland Mustangs W2114767%68.964.1+4.8
7 Sydney Comets W2113862%82.771.0+11.7
8 Albury W21111052%79.171.9+7.2
9 Bankstown Bruins W21111052%69.072.2-3.2
10 Canberra W2091145%73.067.0+6.0
11 Central Coast W2281436%71.075.0-4.0
12 Inner West Bulls W2051525%64.678.3-13.7
13 Illawarra Hawks W2151624%63.378.8-15.5
14 Penrith P. W2141719%60.477.7-17.3
15 Hills Hornets W2241818%51.776.6-25.0
16 Hornsby S. W221215%53.499.3-45.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Albury W1918191571
Maitland Mustangs W1022211467
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