Alicante vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2012

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 86-92

19-30 33-21 18-20 16-21

Position#9

Record11-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game70.0

Allowed / game70.0

Alicante

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#2

Record12-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game82.4

Allowed / game71.2

ACBRound 16

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Alicante v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alicante winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alicante

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

#15

58-55

H06/11

ACB

Baskonia

55-65

-10

A13/11

ACB

Unicaja

77-97

-20

H20/11

ACB

Gipuzkoa

71-68

A27/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

77-75

H04/12

ACB

Manresa

#12

76-62

+14

A11/12

ACB

Murcia

#13

63-62

H18/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

64-60

A29/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

84-78 OT

H03/01

ACB

Barcelona

49-65

-16

A08/01

ACB

18-13

18-15

13-20

9-7

18-20

9-10

14-18

14-17

9-26

21-27

19-24

28-20

10-15

26-20

17-20

18-13

21-14

22-23

20-15

14-23

19-12

6-11

31-20

20-19

17-21

15-17

17-14

14-10

14-19

13-18

18-10

19-13

12-19

20-18

23-15

12-15

11-15

9-16

13-15

16-19

136.1Avg total

67.4Scored

68.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	70.0	70.0	140.0	+0.0	73%
Season at home (7)	75.9	72.6	148.4	+3.3	86%
Season away (8)	64.9	67.8	132.6	-2.9	62%
Last 10 (10)	67.4	68.7	136.1	-1.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	65.4	132.6	+1.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	68.2	76.6	144.8	-8.3	25%
vs Similar (16)	72.4	70.8	143.1	+1.6	56%
vs Weaker (2)	75.0	63.5	138.5	+11.5	100%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

#20

72-65

A01/12

Euroleague

Valencia

81-64

+17

H04/12

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

88-64

+24

H08/12

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#17

85-90

-5

A11/12

ACB

Partizan

#21

101-83

101

+18

H14/12

Euroleague

Manresa

#12

83-61

+22

H18/12

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#23

75-66

A22/12

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#11

75-78

-3

A29/12

ACB

Barcelona

78-74

H04/01

ACB

Murcia

#13

91-60

+31

A08/01

ACB

20-15

16-15

17-17

19-18

16-12

22-20

20-9

23-23

22-15

26-25

18-11

22-13

29-16

16-22

18-23

22-29

27-15

25-22

24-19

25-27

22-13

24-14

19-18

18-16

15-21

21-22

21-13

18-10

17-22

19-17

21-22

18-17

18-16

30-20

14-22

16-16

23-16

18-14

29-14

21-16

153.4Avg total

82.9Scored

70.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	82.4	71.2	153.6	+11.2	80%
Season at home (7)	81.6	67.9	149.4	+13.7	100%
Season away (8)	83.1	74.1	157.2	+9.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	70.5	153.4	+12.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	67.8	148.2	+12.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	69.0	72.0	141.0	-3.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	84.9	73.6	158.5	+11.2	79%

This opponent (Alicante) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlicanteReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	19.0	35.9	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	18.3	35.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	19.7	36.1	-3.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	17.4	32.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	17.2	31.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.2	19.9	36.2	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.2	18.5	35.7	-1.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	16.1	37.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.5	18.0	38.6	+2.5	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	18.3	35.5	-1.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.3	37.1	+0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.8	18.2	34.1	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	17.5	33.4	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.6	16.0	28.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.6	19.1	35.7	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	14.0	30.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	75%	-

AlicanteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

#15

36-28

H06/11

ACB

Baskonia

27-30

-3

A13/11

ACB

Unicaja

30-53

-23

H20/11

ACB

Gipuzkoa

36-35

A27/11

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

43-37

H04/12

ACB

Manresa

#12

25-23

A11/12

ACB

Murcia

#13

32-38

-6

H18/12

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

27-37

-10

A29/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

32-37

-5

H03/01

ACB

Barcelona

20-31

-11

A08/01

ACB

65.7Avg total

30.8Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.1	37.3	71.4	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.2	36.6	72.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.2	37.9	70.2	-5.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.8	34.9	65.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	33.2	60.4	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	32.8	39.0	71.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	35.0	36.7	71.7	-1.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	34.5	32.0	66.5	+2.5	50%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

#20

36-30

A01/12

Euroleague

Valencia

38-32

H04/12

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

48-40

H08/12

Euroleague

Estudiantes

#17

45-38

A11/12

ACB

Partizan

#21

52-37

+15

H14/12

Euroleague

Manresa

#12

46-27

+19

H18/12

ACB

Anadolu Efes

#23

36-43

-7

A22/12

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#11

36-39

-3

A29/12

ACB

Barcelona

48-36

+12

H04/01

ACB

Murcia

#13

41-30

+11

A08/01

ACB

77.8Avg total

42.6Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	36.4	76.6	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	35.9	78.6	+6.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	36.8	74.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	35.2	77.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	35.0	76.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	34.4	36.0	70.4	-1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	41.7	36.5	78.2	+5.1	67%	-

This opponent (Alicante) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	17.3	35.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	16.8	34.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	14.8	35.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.7	19.4	36.1	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.0	15.9	33.9	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	15.0	36.5	+6.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.0	39.7	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	17.7	40.4	+5.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	16.8	36.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.2	15.6	32.8	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.6	18.5	41.1	+4.1	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.1	38.1	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	16.0	33.1	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	15.6	32.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.2	31.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.8	18.2	36.9	+0.6	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.3	17.4	35.8	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	11.0	13.0	24.0	-2.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.0	33.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	34.7	70.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.3	36.9	73.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.2	32.8	68.0	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	32.7	67.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	30.0	66.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.4	37.6	73.0	-2.2	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.3	33.4	69.7	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	28.0	60.5	+4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	37.0	78.5	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	36.3	78.4	+5.8	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	37.6	78.7	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	35.3	75.6	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	32.8	71.8	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	34.6	36.0	70.6	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.2	37.1	80.3	+6.1	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alicante wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
13/03/11	Real Madrid v Alicante	80-62
30/10/10	Alicante v Real Madrid	78-67
27/02/10	Alicante v Real Madrid	55-95
08/11/09	Real Madrid v Alicante	78-68

Alicantelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/12	A	Barcelona	49-65
03/01/12	H	Joventut Badalona	84-78 OT
29/12/11	A	Fuenlabrada	64-60
18/12/11	H	Murcia	63-62
11/12/11	A	Manresa	76-62
04/12/11	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	77-75
27/11/11	A	Gipuzkoa	71-68
20/11/11	H	Unicaja	77-97
13/11/11	A	Baskonia	55-65
06/11/11	H	Gran Canaria	58-55

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/12	A	Murcia	91-60
04/01/12	H	Barcelona	78-74
29/12/11	A	Joventut Badalona	75-78
22/12/11	A	Anadolu Efes	75-66
18/12/11	H	Manresa	83-61
14/12/11	H	Partizan	101-83
11/12/11	A	Estudiantes	85-90
08/12/11	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	88-64
04/12/11	H	Valencia	81-64
01/12/11	A	Olimpia Milano	72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alicante

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	73%
Home	WLWWW	86%
Away	LWWWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	73%	86%	62%
Points / game	70.0	75.9	64.9
Allowed / game	70.0	72.6	67.8
Point differential	+0.0	+3.3	-2.9
Avg total	140.0	148.4	132.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	14%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (8)	100% (4)	100% (4)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	80%	100%	62%
Points / game	82.4	81.6	83.1
Allowed / game	71.2	67.9	74.1
Point differential	+11.2	+13.7	+9.0
Avg total	153.6	149.4	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	71%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	16	13	3	81%	74.5	64.2	+10.2
2	Real Madrid	15	12	3	80%	82.4	71.2	+11.2
3	Unicaja	16	12	4	75%	80.2	74.2	+5.9
4	Baskonia	16	12	4	75%	72.1	66.6	+5.5
5	Alicante	15	11	4	73%	70.0	70.0	+0.0
6	Real Betis	16	9	7	56%	75.6	72.1	+3.6
7	Valencia	16	8	8	50%	74.4	73.6	+0.8
8	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	16	8	8	50%	73.2	73.8	-0.6
9	Fuenlabrada	16	8	8	50%	73.9	75.6	-1.6
10	Gipuzkoa	16	7	9	44%	77.9	75.6	+2.4
11	Bilbao	16	7	9	44%	76.9	77.8	-0.8
12	Manresa	16	7	9	44%	70.6	73.1	-2.4
13	Gran Canaria	16	6	10	38%	66.2	69.2	-2.9
14	Estudiantes	16	6	10	38%	68.2	75.4	-7.2
15	Joventut Badalona	16	5	11	31%	71.6	77.9	-6.2
16	Obradoiro CAB	16	4	12	25%	69.6	73.5	-3.9
17	Murcia	16	4	12	25%	68.4	74.5	-6.1
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	16	4	12	25%	70.7	77.8	-7.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alicante	19	33	18	16	86
Real Madrid	30	21	20	21	92

← all games of the day

Alicante vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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