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Alkar vs Bosco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-95
16-18 25-23 18-26 24-28
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Bosco 🏆
Croatia
Position#13
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game97.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 7· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alkar v Bosco
04 Nov 2023
ALKA83
BOSC95
18 Mar 2023
ALKA72
BOSC80
28 Jan 2023
ALKA88
BOSC82
10 Nov 2018
ALKA86
BOSC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bosco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Gorica
#13
L
102-109 OT
102
109
-7
no box
H22/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
72-99
72
99
-27
no box
A25/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
114-87
114
87
+27
no box
H29/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
100-91
100
91
+9
90avg 64
A30/09
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
60avg 64
H07/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
73-106
73
106
-33
57avg 64
A11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 64
A15/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
H21/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
58-85
58
85
-27
47avg 64
A28/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
24-28
22-19
16-14
18-29
21-23
16-29
17-18
31-22
26-19
27-28
30-18
26-13
23-27
33-16
20-22
21-26
25-25
30-17
24-23
22-20
12-23
11-14
18-21
17-34
19-25
19-22
18-25
24-22
15-31
20-20
16-10
14-20
21-25
19-21
25-13
12-22
18-19
11-20
17-24
175.3Avg total
84.9Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.588.5165.0-12.033%
Season at home (2)76.583.0159.5-6.550%
Season away (4)76.591.2167.8-14.825%
Last 10 (10)84.990.4175.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)71.888.0159.8-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.693.8165.3-22.20%
vs Similar (16)85.985.2171.2+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.083.5165.5-1.550%
This opponent (Bosco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BoscoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosco
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
H29/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
55-104
55
104
-49
no box
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
91-92
91
92
-1
no box
H13/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
63avg 60
A29/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
54-101
54
101
-47
39avg 60
H07/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
61-106
61
106
-45
48avg 60
A10/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
89avg 60
H14/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
52avg 60
A22/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 60
H29/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
17-28
19-9
16-18
15-31
22-25
20-24
20-16
13-27
14-26
10-22
18-29
23-20
21-18
25-21
22-33
20-29
21-16
17-38
16-22
21-24
14-33
11-19
8-25
17-29
15-26
10-26
19-25
16-24
22-27
25-30
27-28
17-29
18-20
20-15
14-20
20-21
25-18
17-25
16-17
168.8Avg total
72.3Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.097.7168.7-26.70%
Season at home (3)74.097.0171.0-23.00%
Season away (3)68.098.3166.3-30.30%
Last 10 (10)72.396.5168.8-24.20%
Last 5 (5)70.496.2166.6-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.993.3168.3-18.422%
vs Similar (7)87.185.7172.9+1.443%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -5.7-5.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -5.7-5.7
AlkarBosco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H22/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A25/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H29/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A07/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/09
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/10
Premijer liga
87.9Avg total
40.7Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.744.383.0-5.620%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.743.382.9-3.627%-
Last 30 away (15)37.745.383.1-7.613%-
Last 10 (10)40.747.287.9-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.848.283.0-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.848.684.3-12.80%-
vs Similar (16)40.941.182.0-0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)38.047.285.2-9.20%-
This opponent (Bosco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BoscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H29/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A07/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H07/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A10/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H14/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A22/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/10
Premijer liga
87.6Avg total
37.3Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.948.187.0-9.330%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.247.286.4-8.129%-
Last 30 away (13)38.549.387.8-10.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.350.387.6-13.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.050.287.2-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.847.986.7-9.135%-
vs Similar (7)39.048.987.9-9.914%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alkar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.4
46.0%
53.6%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.6
36.2%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.216.8
75.7%
73.4%16.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boscotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bosco: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.5
45.6%
53.6%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.5%
34.6%30.5
🏀 Free throws13.28.8
67.1%
73.4%8.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLLLWWWLL
Bosco
LLLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#13
-18.8
Net rating
-33.1
93.3
Offensive rating
88.3
112.1
Defensive rating
121.3
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
22.0%
Turnover %
21.9%
17.4%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.2%
3-point %
34.5%
57.6%
Assist %
65.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 88.3Defence112.1 · 121.3Shooting49.0% · 48.4%3-point %36.2% · 34.5%Ball care22.0% · 21.9%Off. rebounds17.4% · 19.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Alkar   ■ Bosco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alkar wins
3
Bosco wins
DateGameScore
15/04/23Bosco v Alkar84-78
18/03/23Alkar v Bosco72-80
28/01/23Alkar v Bosco88-82
02/11/22Bosco v Alkar70-66
16/03/19Bosco v Alkar78-87
10/11/18Alkar v Bosco86-80
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AZabok58-85
21/10/23HSkrljevo90-88 OT
15/10/23AGKK Sibenka75-83
11/10/23AZadar73-106
07/10/23HCibona63-78
30/09/23ADubrava100-91
07/05/23ASkrljevo102-78
29/04/23HZabok114-87
25/04/23ADinamo Zagreb72-99
22/04/23HGorica102-109 OT
Boscolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HZadar78-81
22/10/23ACibona69-84
14/10/23HDubrava90-109
10/10/23ADinamo Zagreb61-106
07/10/23HDubrovnik54-101
29/09/23ACedevita Junior74-105
13/05/23HSplit91-92
10/05/23ASplit55-104
07/05/23AZabok77-96
29/04/23HDinamo Zagreb74-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game76.576.576.5
Allowed / game88.583.091.2
Point differential-12.0-6.5-14.8
Avg total165.0159.5167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%50%0%
Bosco
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.074.068.0
Allowed / game97.797.098.3
Point differential-26.7-23.0-30.3
Avg total168.7171.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.177.6+16.6
2 Dinamo Zagreb65183%88.868.5+20.3
3 Cibona65183%78.570.7+7.8
4 Split75271%79.466.9+12.6
5 Cedevita Junior64267%87.380.7+6.7
6 Dubrovnik63350%79.073.0+6.0
7 Dubrava62433%88.294.3-6.2
8 GKK Sibenka62433%78.885.3-6.5
9 Alkar62433%76.588.5-12.0
10 Zabok72529%79.483.4-4.0
11 Skrljevo71614%76.692.7-16.1
12 Bosco6060%71.097.7-26.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1625182483
Bosco1823262895
← all games of the day
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