Alkar vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 102-109 (OT)

18-19 24-28 22-19 16-14 22-29

Position#12

Record8-20

FormLLWWL

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game84.3

Alkar

Gorica 🏆

Position#13

Record8-20

FormWLWLL

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game85.2

Premijer ligaRound 7

Other2022-23

Meetings · Alkar v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

86-78

H04/02

Premijer liga

Split

67-91

-24

A13/02

Premijer liga

Zadar

83-100

100

-17

H06/03

Premijer liga

Cedevita Junior

87-100

100

-13

A10/03

Premijer liga

Bosco

#11

72-80

-8

H18/03

Premijer liga

Gorica

#13

81-92

-11

A25/03

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

75-85

-10

H29/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

88-63

+25

A01/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

89-74

+15

H12/04

Premijer liga

Bosco

#11

78-84

-6

A15/04

Premijer liga

25-18

18-18

24-21

19-21

22-21

21-28

13-19

11-23

20-21

17-28

22-21

24-30

21-24

15-29

17-29

34-18

23-14

12-31

19-13

18-22

16-22

22-20

23-24

20-26

15-19

22-19

12-14

26-33

21-13

28-14

26-13

13-23

27-19

18-17

19-13

25-25

12-21

21-24

15-21

30-18

165.3Avg total

80.6Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	78.2	84.3	162.6	-6.1	29%
Season at home (14)	78.4	84.0	162.4	-5.6	29%
Season away (14)	78.1	84.6	162.8	-6.5	29%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	84.7	165.3	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	79.6	161.8	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	76.0	93.8	169.8	-17.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	79.9	80.9	160.9	-1.0	44%
vs Weaker (5)	78.0	81.2	159.2	-3.2	20%

This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dinamo Zagreb

87-75

+12

H04/03

Premijer liga

TFT Skopje

#11

83-64

+19

H06/03

ABA League 2

Sencur

#10

72-74

-2

A08/03

ABA League 2

Siroki Brijeg

78-88

-10

H11/03

ABA League 2

Zabok

#10

86-77

A19/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

92-81

+11

H25/03

Premijer liga

Bosco

#11

80-107

107

-27

A29/03

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

71-69

A31/03

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

83-84

-1

H12/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

88-93 OT

-5

H16/04

Premijer liga

23-20

15-18

26-16

23-21

21-23

29-9

21-22

12-10

17-18

20-19

20-21

15-16

16-22

18-26

24-22

20-18

25-17

16-23

20-9

25-28

22-16

20-22

24-23

26-20

23-14

28-25

11-36

18-32

13-22

17-19

18-16

23-12

17-18

28-30

15-21

23-15

19-12

24-16

22-31

7-13

163.2Avg total

82.0Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.1	85.2	164.3	-6.1	29%
Season at home (14)	81.7	84.6	166.3	-2.9	29%
Season away (14)	76.4	85.9	162.3	-9.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	81.2	163.2	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	86.8	169.6	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	76.8	91.4	168.2	-14.6	8%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	80.6	79.5	160.1	+1.1	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlkarGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.1	41.0	-3.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.5	39.7	-3.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	23.2	43.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	20%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.3	39.9	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.0	40.2	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	24.8	42.2	-7.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	69%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.5	42.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.8	23.1	42.8	-3.3	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Skrljevo

43-36

H04/02

Premijer liga

Split

43-49

-6

A13/02

Premijer liga

Zadar

37-49

-12

H06/03

Premijer liga

Cedevita Junior

36-53

-17

A10/03

Premijer liga

Bosco

#11

35-45

-10

H18/03

Premijer liga

Gorica

#13

38-42

-4

A25/03

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

37-38

-1

H29/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

49-27

+22

A01/04

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

45-36

H12/04

Premijer liga

Bosco

#11

33-45

-12

A15/04

Premijer liga

81.6Avg total

39.6Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	43.1	81.2	-5.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.8	43.7	82.5	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	42.5	80.0	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.0	81.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.6	78.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.0	48.0	86.0	-10.0	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.4	39.8	79.1	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.6	45.4	81.0	-9.8	0%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dinamo Zagreb

38-38

H04/03

Premijer liga

TFT Skopje

#11

50-32

+18

H06/03

ABA League 2

Sencur

#10

37-37

A08/03

ABA League 2

Siroki Brijeg

34-48

-14

H11/03

ABA League 2

Zabok

#10

41-40

A19/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

42-38

H25/03

Premijer liga

Bosco

#11

51-39

+12

A29/03

Premijer liga

Skrljevo

30-41

-11

A31/03

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

45-48

-3

H12/04

Premijer liga

Zabok

#10

43-28

+15

H16/04

Premijer liga

80.0Avg total

41.1Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.5	80.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	39.8	82.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	41.2	79.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.9	80.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.8	81.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.2	44.3	83.5	-5.2	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	40.7	37.8	78.5	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	23.1	41.1	-5.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.3	40.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	23.4	42.3	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.4	43.4	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	24.9	44.1	-5.8	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.9	45.9	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.0	47.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	21.8	40.8	-2.7	25%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.9	40.5	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.5	22.2	40.6	-3.7	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	41.3	80.8	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	42.2	82.6	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	42.7	83.7	-1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	42.0	83.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.0	45.8	83.8	-7.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.4	40.2	79.6	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.4	35.8	78.2	+6.6	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	43.1	80.9	-5.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	40.9	79.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	45.3	82.8	-7.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	40.2	79.5	-0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	43.8	81.2	-6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.6	47.1	84.7	-9.5	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.6	39.6	78.2	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alkar wins

Gorica wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/23	Gorica v Alkar	92-81
07/01/23	Gorica v Alkar	93-101 OT
08/10/22	Alkar v Gorica	77-75
08/12/21	Alkar v Gorica	71-76
25/09/21	Gorica v Alkar	90-73
02/05/21	Gorica v Alkar	91-81
09/01/21	Alkar v Gorica	73-74
28/12/20	Gorica v Alkar	98-75
21/12/19	Alkar v Gorica	77-84
05/10/19	Gorica v Alkar	91-74

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/23	A	Bosco	78-84
12/04/23	H	Skrljevo	89-74
01/04/23	A	Zabok	88-63
29/03/23	H	Dinamo Zagreb	75-85
25/03/23	A	Gorica	81-92
18/03/23	H	Bosco	72-80
10/03/23	A	Cedevita Junior	87-100
06/03/23	H	Zadar	83-100
13/02/23	A	Split	67-91
04/02/23	H	Skrljevo	86-78

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/23	H	Zabok	88-93 OT
12/04/23	H	Dinamo Zagreb	83-84
31/03/23	A	Skrljevo	71-69
29/03/23	A	Bosco	80-107
25/03/23	H	Alkar	92-81
19/03/23	A	Zabok	86-77
11/03/23	H	Siroki Brijeg	78-88
08/03/23	A	Sencur	72-74
06/03/23	H	TFT Skopje	83-64
04/03/23	H	Dinamo Zagreb	87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar

Premijer liga 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	29%
Home	WLLLW	29%
Away	LLLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	29%	29%	29%
Points / game	78.2	78.4	78.1
Allowed / game	84.3	84.0	84.6
Point differential	-6.1	-5.6	-6.5
Avg total	162.6	162.4	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	7%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Gorica

Premijer liga 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	29%
Home	LWWLL	29%
Away	LWWLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	29%	29%	29%
Points / game	79.1	81.7	76.4
Allowed / game	85.2	84.6	85.9
Point differential	-6.1	-2.9	-9.4
Avg total	164.3	166.3	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	29%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	0% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cibona	29	24	5	83%	88.2	75.0	+13.1
2	Zadar	29	23	6	79%	85.9	73.9	+12.0
3	Split	29	23	6	79%	88.4	76.8	+11.6
4	Cedevita Junior	29	21	8	72%	83.1	76.8	+6.3
5	Dubrava	29	13	16	45%	77.9	80.1	-2.2
6	GKK Sibenka	29	13	16	45%	72.0	76.3	-4.3
7	Dinamo Zagreb	28	11	17	39%	79.4	83.6	-4.2
8	Bosco	29	10	19	34%	79.8	89.1	-9.3
9	Zabok	28	9	19	32%	76.9	83.8	-6.9
10	Skrljevo	29	9	20	31%	77.1	81.8	-4.7
11	Alkar	28	8	20	29%	78.2	84.3	-6.1
12	Gorica	28	8	20	29%	79.1	85.2	-6.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Alkar	18	24	22	16	22	102
Gorica	19	28	19	14	29	109

← all games of the day

Alkar vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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