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Almaty vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 90-49
26-14 12-11 29-8 23-16
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game63.5
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game75.5
KazakhstanNational League
Other2015-16
Meetings · Almaty v Pavlodar
12 Jan 2025
ALMA102
PAVL89
11 Jan 2025
ALMA90
PAVL70
31 Oct 2023
ALMA82
PAVL71
30 Oct 2023
ALMA87
PAVL66
24 Jan 2018
ALMA80
PAVL49
16 Nov 2015
ALMA90
PAVL49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University-Ugra
#5
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H16/04
Super League
University-Ugra
#5
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A18/04
Super League
Irkutsk
#13
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H21/04
Super League
Irkutsk
#13
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A23/04
Super League
MBA Moscow
#15
L
68-68
68
68
+0
H30/04
Super League
MBA Moscow
#15
W
96-84
96
84
+12
A01/05
Super League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
84-29
84
29
+55
H12/11
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
88-35
88
35
+53
A13/11
National League
Atyrau
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H14/11
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
99-106
99
106
-7
A15/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
12-26
12-21
19-18
13-28
19-7
21-21
12-18
12-20
23-18
22-24
17-23
10-18
20-17
19-22
22-15
17-13
18-17
10-28
23-10
26-12
20-16
31-31
19-25
25-8
20-6
26-10
13-5
–
–
–
–
19-29
20-21
14-20
30-14
–
–
–
–
151.9Avg total
79.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.563.5152.0+25.050%
Season at home (2)83.556.5140.0+27.050%
Season away (2)93.570.5164.0+23.050%
Last 10 (10)79.672.3151.9+7.330%
Last 5 (5)90.067.6157.6+22.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)66.886.7153.4-19.98%
vs Similar (1)99.0106.0205.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)93.254.0147.2+39.2100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#1
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A11/11
National League
Kazygurt
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A12/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H13/11
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H14/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
13-24
9-27
12-14
27-19
15-17
8-13
17-23
13-19
16-18
31-22
19-28
18-19
10-7
17-9
22-25
142.8Avg total
67.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.275.5142.8-8.225%
Season at home (2)73.073.5146.5-0.550%
Season away (2)61.577.5139.0-16.00%
Last 10 (4)67.275.5142.8-8.225%
Last 5 (4)67.275.5142.8-8.225%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)61.577.5139.0-16.00%
vs Similar (2)73.073.5146.5-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -5.0-5.0
AlmatyPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University-Ugra
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H16/04
Super League
University-Ugra
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A18/04
Super League
Irkutsk
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/04
Super League
Irkutsk
#13
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A23/04
Super League
MBA Moscow
#15
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H30/04
Super League
MBA Moscow
#15
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A01/05
Super League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
45-14
45
14
+31
H12/11
National League
Atyrau
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H14/11
National League
72.0Avg total
37.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)34.742.477.1-7.719%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.342.278.5-5.920%-
Last 30 away (11)32.542.675.2-10.118%-
Last 10 (8)37.434.672.0+2.838%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.470.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)34.343.577.8-9.216%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)45.014.059.0+31.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#1
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A11/11
National League
Kazygurt
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A12/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H13/11
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H14/11
National League
68.8Avg total
33.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)33.535.268.8-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (2)28.531.560.0-3.050%-
Last 30 away (2)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
Last 10 (4)33.535.268.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (4)33.535.268.8-1.850%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (2)28.531.560.0-3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Almaty wins
0
Pavlodar wins
No previous meetings.
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/15AKazygurt99-106
14/11/15HAtyrau83-84
13/11/15AKokshetay88-35
12/11/15HTobol Kostanay 284-29
01/05/15AMBA Moscow96-84
30/04/15HMBA Moscow68-68
23/04/15AIrkutsk71-72
21/04/15HIrkutsk74-85
18/04/15AUniversity-Ugra65-74
16/04/15HUniversity-Ugra68-86
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/15HKokshetay67-60
13/11/15HTobol Kostanay 279-87
12/11/15AKazygurt67-72
11/11/15AAtyrau56-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.583.593.5
Allowed / game63.556.570.5
Point differential+25.0+27.0+23.0
Avg total152.0140.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.273.061.5
Allowed / game75.573.577.5
Point differential-8.2-0.5-16.0
Avg total142.8146.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau550100%92.451.6+40.8
2 Kaspiy Aktau440100%81.059.0+22.0
3 Tobol Kostanay54180%85.058.2+26.8
4 Kazygurt43175%80.276.2+4.0
5 Almaty42250%88.563.5+25.0
6 Kapshagay42250%67.262.0+5.2
7 Atyrau 242250%60.075.5-15.5
8 Tobol Kostanay 252340%55.688.0-32.4
9 Pavlodar41325%67.275.5-8.2
10 Bars Petropavlovsk51420%59.872.0-12.2
11 Astana 24040%51.581.5-30.0
12 Kokshetay4040%53.885.0-31.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty2612292390
Pavlodar141181649
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