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Almaty vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-71
23-15 14-21 18-22 27-13
Position#6
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game88.3
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#8
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game90.0
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Almaty v Pavlodar
12 Jan 2025
ALMA102
PAVL89
11 Jan 2025
ALMA90
PAVL70
31 Oct 2023
ALMA82
PAVL71
30 Oct 2023
ALMA87
PAVL66
24 Jan 2018
ALMA80
PAVL49
16 Nov 2015
ALMA90
PAVL49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
52-87
52
87
-35
no box
A27/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
H02/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
68-101
68
101
-33
no box
H03/04
National League
Aktobe
#6
L
49-85
49
85
-36
no box
H06/04
National League
Aktobe
#6
L
71-109
71
109
-38
no box
H07/04
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#7
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H23/04
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#7
W
90-76
90
76
+14
no box
H24/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
64avg 75
H18/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
74avg 75
H19/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
87-66
87
66
+21
88avg 75
H30/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
14-27
14-19
10-23
26-21
9-26
19-25
23-22
20-29
16-26
17-28
15-18
18-22
9-17
12-25
10-21
17-36
16-24
16-20
22-29
24-23
21-16
22-15
16-22
23-20
22-15
20-22
25-19
12-21
19-18
25-30
24-22
13-28
25-32
25-28
19-20
27-15
23-10
11-22
26-19
163.2Avg total
73.9Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.088.3171.3-5.333%
Season at home (3)83.088.3171.3-5.333%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.989.3163.2-15.430%
Last 5 (5)84.483.4167.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)73.693.4166.9-19.821%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)87.066.0153.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
no box
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
A11/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
68-86
68
86
-18
53avg 58
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
55avg 58
H23/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 58
A27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 58
A28/10
National League
Almaty
#6
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 58
A30/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
29-21
16-23
17-22
22-16
21-22
21-18
16-14
16-15
17-30
21-24
6-20
22-14
13-14
14-17
11-16
19-18
19-19
21-21
19-13
20-28
21-22
10-17
17-19
20-24
25-27
15-25
11-22
18-24
14-25
13-21
21-13
18-29
13-25
22-27
30-15
15-27
10-23
22-11
19-26
155.3Avg total
72.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.890.0160.8-19.20%
Season at home (2)69.592.0161.5-22.50%
Season away (3)71.788.7160.3-17.00%
Last 10 (10)72.183.2155.3-11.120%
Last 5 (5)70.890.0160.8-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.687.0158.6-15.412%
vs Similar (7)73.667.7141.3+5.971%
vs Weaker (7)82.070.6152.6+11.471%
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
AlmatyPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A27/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H02/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H03/04
National League
Aktobe
#6
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H06/04
National League
Aktobe
#6
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H07/04
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/04
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/04
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H18/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H19/10
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H30/10
National League
81.2Avg total
36.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.545.884.3-7.333%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.045.185.1-5.133%-
Last 30 away (12)36.247.083.2-10.833%-
Last 10 (10)36.844.481.2-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.681.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)38.146.684.7-8.431%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.025.075.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H23/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A28/10
National League
Almaty
#6
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A30/10
National League
82.7Avg total
37.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.177.9-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
Last 30 away (20)37.539.677.1-2.155%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.882.7-6.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.850.885.6-16.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.346.481.8-11.112%-
vs Similar (7)40.431.371.7+9.1100%-
vs Weaker (7)41.134.375.4+6.986%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Almaty wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
30/10/23Almaty v Pavlodar87-66
21/02/18Pavlodar v Almaty43-80
24/01/18Almaty v Pavlodar80-49
21/12/17Pavlodar v Almaty43-63
30/10/16Pavlodar v Almaty28-86
16/11/15Almaty v Pavlodar90-49
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23HPavlodar87-66
19/10/23HIrbis Almaty82-108
18/10/23HIrbis Almaty80-91
24/04/21HBars Petropavlovsk90-76
23/04/21HBars Petropavlovsk83-76
07/04/21HAktobe71-109
06/04/21HAktobe49-85
03/04/21HTobol Kostanay68-101
02/04/21HTobol Kostanay77-94
27/03/21AKaspiy Aktau52-87
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23AAlmaty66-87
28/10/23AIrbis Almaty83-96
27/10/23AIrbis Almaty66-83
23/10/23HTobol Kostanay71-98
22/10/23HTobol Kostanay68-86
11/04/23AGOTOBELES Astana78-71
10/04/23HKaspiy Aktau60-61
09/04/23ABars Petropavlovsk60-89
08/04/23HAtyrau 280-70
07/04/23AChelSU Kostanay89-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLLW33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game88.388.3-
Point differential-5.3-5.3-
Avg total171.3171.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.869.571.7
Allowed / game90.092.088.7
Point differential-19.2-22.5-17.0
Avg total160.8161.5160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau220100%83.064.5+18.5
2 Irbis Almaty440100%94.577.8+16.8
3 Aktobe440100%85.073.8+11.2
4 Tobol Kostanay42250%80.273.8+6.5
5 Astana 242250%75.575.8-0.2
6 Almaty31233%83.088.3-5.3
7 Kaspiy Aktau4040%69.585.0-15.5
8 Pavlodar5050%70.890.0-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty2314182782
Pavlodar1521221371
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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