Almaty vs Turan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 May 2026

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 95-65

22-12 24-17 19-10 30-26

Position#3

Record16-16

FormWWWLL

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game79.5

Almaty 🏆

Turan

Position#6

Record-

FormWWWWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

National LeagueNational League - Quarter-finals

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Turan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

79-95

-16

H21/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

71-83

-12

H22/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

84-72

+12

A27/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

73-79

-6

A28/02

National League

Astana

86-77

A07/03

National League

Astana

72-69

A08/03

National League

Atyrau

72-69

H14/03

National League

Atyrau

74-72

H15/03

National League

Astana

68-82

-14

H21/03

National League

Astana

54-81

-27

H22/03

National League

18-28

18-30

17-16

26-21

17-24

14-28

15-14

25-17

20-17

19-24

21-18

24-13

21-18

17-24

20-23

15-14

24-23

20-21

19-18

23-15

12-6

23-24

18-20

19-19

29-22

17-15

17-14

9-18

22-12

23-18

14-18

15-24

17-16

15-18

15-24

21-24

17-18

14-24

15-21

8-18

151.2Avg total

73.3Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	81.7	79.5	161.1	+2.2	50%
Season at home (16)	79.8	78.6	158.4	+1.2	44%
Season away (16)	83.5	80.4	163.9	+3.1	56%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	77.9	151.2	-4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	68.0	74.6	142.6	-6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	69.0	84.9	153.9	-15.9	25%
vs Similar (16)	79.1	82.8	161.9	-3.7	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	99.2	70.2	169.3	+29.0	83%

This opponent (Turan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Turan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AiRom

#13

83-56

+27

A12/03

Higher League

Atyrau 2

71-67

A13/04

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

88-52

+36

H14/04

Higher League

Atyrau 2

68-54

+14

A15/04

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

66-55

+11

H16/04

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

104-51

104

+53

H26/04

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

71-50

+21

A27/04

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

76-63

+13

H29/04

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

84-72

+12

A30/04

Higher League

Shymkent

87-64

+23

H02/05

Higher League

23-11

16-13

25-17

19-15

15-17

21-15

23-16

12-19

21-20

26-10

27-12

14-10

11-12

16-15

21-12

20-15

21-18

14-17

16-10

15-10

26-20

32-8

22-12

24-11

24-13

14-10

16-14

17-13

16-12

17-17

17-15

26-19

21-16

25-10

19-24

19-22

31-12

16-12

26-17

14-23

138.2Avg total

79.8Scored

58.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	79.8	58.4	138.2	+21.4	100%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	60.0	144.4	+24.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (3)	85.0	68.3	153.3	+16.7	100%
vs Weaker (27)	87.2	59.3	146.5	+28.0	100%

This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmatyTuran

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.3	42.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.8	34.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.4	23.1	43.5	-2.6	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	26.5	18.5	45.0	+8.0	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	15.4	39.6	+8.7	90%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	15.8	40.1	+8.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	15.1	39.1	+8.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	15.1	36.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	14.6	38.2	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (3)	26.0	18.0	44.0	+8.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	24.0	15.1	39.1	+8.8	93%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	12%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.0	17.5	41.5	+6.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	13.8	34.4	+6.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	13.0	33.1	+7.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	14.6	35.7	+6.5	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	12.7	32.4	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	11.4	32.2	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	14.7	34.0	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	20.7	13.7	34.4	+7.0	85%	-

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

36-58

-22

H21/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

31-52

-21

H22/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

39-41

-2

A27/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

38-42

-4

A28/02

National League

Astana

44-44

A07/03

National League

Astana

35-30

A08/03

National League

Atyrau

46-37

H14/03

National League

Atyrau

45-30

+15

H15/03

National League

Astana

32-34

-2

H21/03

National League

Astana

31-42

-11

H22/03

National League

78.7Avg total

37.7Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	41.1	81.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	41.4	81.0	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	40.9	82.8	+1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	41.0	78.7	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	34.6	72.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.6	42.2	76.9	-7.6	12%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.2	42.5	82.8	-2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	50.5	36.0	86.5	+14.5	67%	-

This opponent (Turan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TuranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AiRom

#13

39-24

+15

A12/03

Higher League

Atyrau 2

36-32

A13/04

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

47-30

+17

H14/04

Higher League

Atyrau 2

27-27

A15/04

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau 2

#15

35-35

H16/04

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

58-28

+30

H26/04

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

38-23

+15

A27/04

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

33-29

H29/04

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

46-26

+20

A30/04

Higher League

Shymkent

47-24

+23

H02/05

Higher League

68.4Avg total

40.6Scored

27.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	29.2	74.0	+15.5	90%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	28.8	73.2	+15.6	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	29.7	74.7	+15.4	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	27.8	68.4	+12.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	26.0	70.4	+18.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.3	32.7	78.0	+12.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (27)	44.7	28.9	73.5	+15.8	89%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.5	39.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	19.1	37.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.9	40.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.4	35.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.2	21.5	37.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.2	21.2	45.3	+3.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	15.6	37.7	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	15.5	37.5	+6.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	15.6	37.9	+6.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	14.9	36.1	+6.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.7	14.3	35.0	+6.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	22.3	15.7	38.0	+6.6	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	20.6	35.0	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.9	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.5	13.0	37.5	+11.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	15.4	35.5	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	14.7	34.1	+4.8	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	16.1	36.9	+4.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.7	33.7	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	20.3	14.7	35.0	+5.6	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.5	78.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	39.9	77.3	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	39.1	80.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	36.9	72.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	40.0	70.2	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.4	42.6	77.0	-8.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.4	39.9	78.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	48.7	34.2	82.8	+14.5	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	30.9	73.2	+11.3	87%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	30.2	71.7	+11.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	31.7	74.7	+11.4	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	30.6	69.8	+8.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.0	74.0	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.7	35.7	75.3	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	42.6	30.4	73.0	+12.1	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Almaty: 73.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	19.0	47.7%	50.5%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	7.1	27.4%	30.4%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	14.0	66.0%	69.6%	14.0

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Turantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turan: 79.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 10% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.6	22.4	55.2%	50.5%	44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.0	9.1	27.6%	30.4%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.7	70.0%	69.6%	7.7

They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	19.6	55.1%	50.5%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	8.7	27.5%	30.4%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	19.2	12.6	65.6%	69.6%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	17.3	45.1%	50.5%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	6.0	25.2%	30.4%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	9.5	5.8	61.1%	69.6%	5.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	21.1	49.6%	50.5%	42.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	7.9	29.0%	30.4%	23.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	14.0	66.0%	69.6%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	23.1	56.6%	50.5%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.6	9.2	27.5%	30.4%	27.8
🏀 Free throws	11.5	7.9	68.8%	69.6%	7.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	19.9	53.1%	50.5%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	9.1	29.4%	30.4%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	12.1	65.1%	69.6%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	17.4	45.5%	50.5%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	5.9	24.7%	30.4%	17.8
🏀 Free throws	11.2	6.7	60.4%	69.6%	6.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Almaty

LLWWWWLWLL

Turan

WWWWWWWWWW

League position

-6.1

Net rating

+29.6

97.3

Offensive rating

110.2

103.4

Defensive rating

80.7

45.1%

Effective FG%

49.0%

48.6%

Opp. effective FG%

42.3%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.15

27.4%

3-point %

27.6%

54.0%

Assist %

76.5%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

100%

Profile

■ Almaty ■ Turan

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almaty wins

Turan wins

No previous meetings.

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/26	H	Astana	54-81
21/03/26	H	Astana	68-82
15/03/26	H	Atyrau	74-72
14/03/26	H	Atyrau	72-69
08/03/26	A	Astana	72-69
07/03/26	A	Astana	86-77
28/02/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	73-79
27/02/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	84-72
22/02/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	71-83
21/02/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	79-95

Turanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/26	H	Shymkent	87-64
30/04/26	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	84-72
29/04/26	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	76-63
27/04/26	A	CHAMP1ON	71-50
26/04/26	H	CHAMP1ON	104-51
16/04/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau 2	66-55
15/04/26	A	Atyrau 2	68-54
14/04/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau 2	88-52
13/04/26	A	Atyrau 2	71-67
12/03/26	A	AiRom	83-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty

National League 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	50%
Home	LWWLL	44%
Away	LWLWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	50%	44%	56%
Points / game	81.7	79.8	83.5
Allowed / game	79.5	78.6	80.4
Point differential	+2.2	+1.2	+3.1
Avg total	161.1	158.4	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Turan

National League 2025-26

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	32	28	4	88%	87.8	65.9	+22.0
2	Kaspiy Aktau	32	18	14	56%	81.4	76.5	+4.8
3	Almaty	32	16	16	50%	81.7	79.5	+2.2
4	Atyrau	34	17	17	50%	81.7	80.8	+0.9
5	Tobol Kostanay	34	3	31	9%	68.2	96.4	-28.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Almaty	22	24	19	30	95
Turan	12	17	10	26	65

← all games of the day

Almaty vs Turan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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