Almaty vs Astana Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	83.0	79.3	162.4	+3.7	53%
Season at home (14)	82.5	78.1	160.6	+4.4	50%
Season away (16)	83.5	80.4	163.9	+3.1	56%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	78.4	154.9	-1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	73.2	148.6	+2.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	71.7	86.0	157.7	-14.3	33%
vs Similar (16)	79.1	82.8	161.9	-3.7	44%
vs Weaker (8)	99.4	67.4	166.8	+32.0	88%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

119-64

119

+55

119avg 86

A26/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

88-73

+15

77avg 86

A27/01

National League

Atyrau

85-69

+16

86avg 86

H25/02

National League

Atyrau

79-72

76avg 86

H26/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

75-53

+22

81avg 86

A02/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

68-73

-5

66avg 86

A03/03

National League

Almaty

77-86

-9

74avg 86

H07/03

National League

Almaty

69-72

-3

59avg 86

H08/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

88-73

+15

86avg 86

H15/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

101-48

101

+53

99avg 86

H16/03

National League

30-17

29-20

29-12

31-15

27-20

20-18

18-19

23-16

20-17

19-15

23-21

20-15

22-10

16-24

21-23

21-17

25-12

19-14

10-10

12-22

22-14

10-20

24-17

23-24

21-20

18-19

15-23

6-12

24-23

20-18

19-19

27-22

19-23

21-19

21-9

23-21

26-5

27-9

25-13

153.2Avg total

84.9Scored

68.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	88.6	65.7	154.3	+23.0	89%
Season at home (14)	86.4	68.8	155.1	+17.6	86%
Season away (14)	90.9	62.6	153.5	+28.4	93%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	68.3	153.2	+16.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	70.4	151.0	+10.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	83.0	96.0	179.0	-13.0	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	88.6	65.7	154.3	+23.0	89%

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmatyAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.1	42.5	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.4	23.1	43.5	-2.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (8)	27.2	17.1	44.4	+10.1	88%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.1	40.9	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	17.3	40.9	+6.2	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	26.0	49.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.8	17.5	40.3	+5.3	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.9	40.2	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.1	39.9	+3.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.3	41.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.2	22.7	41.8	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.6	15.1	40.8	+10.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	16.1	38.5	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	15.5	37.4	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	16.7	39.7	+6.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	16.2	39.0	+6.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	24.5	43.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.7	15.5	38.2	+7.2	86%	-

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

47-51

-4

A03/02

National League

Atyrau

48-37

+11

A04/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-58

-22

H21/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

31-52

-21

H22/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

39-41

-2

A27/02

National League

Tobol Kostanay

38-42

-4

A28/02

National League

Astana

44-44

A07/03

National League

Astana

35-30

A08/03

National League

Atyrau

46-37

H14/03

National League

Atyrau

45-30

+15

H15/03

National League

83.1Avg total

40.9Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	40.0	82.7	+2.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	39.0	82.6	+4.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	40.9	82.8	+1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.6	78.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.7	43.7	79.3	-8.0	17%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.2	42.5	82.8	-2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	52.9	32.2	85.1	+20.6	75%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

59-37

+22

A26/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-38

A27/01

National League

Atyrau

43-33

+10

H25/02

National League

Atyrau

42-25

+17

H26/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

46-29

+17

A02/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

34-36

-2

A03/03

National League

Almaty

44-44

H07/03

National League

Almaty

30-35

-5

H08/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

46-45

H15/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

49-26

+23

H16/03

National League

78.8Avg total

44.0Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	34.2	79.5	+11.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	34.3	78.4	+9.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.5	34.0	80.5	+12.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	34.8	78.8	+9.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	37.2	77.8	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	50.5	92.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	45.5	33.0	78.5	+12.5	82%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.9	40.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.7	21.2	37.8	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.2	21.5	45.8	+2.8	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	17.3	39.2	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	17.6	38.8	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	17.1	39.5	+5.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.9	16.9	38.8	+5.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.6	39.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.2	13.6	35.9	+8.6	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	16.2	37.3	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	14.9	36.7	+7.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.5	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.1	79.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	39.1	78.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	39.1	80.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	36.2	71.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	36.6	70.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.0	42.3	78.3	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	38.4	39.9	78.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	46.5	35.1	81.6	+11.4	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	33.5	76.5	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	35.1	76.7	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	31.9	76.3	+12.4	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	33.5	74.4	+7.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	33.2	73.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	45.5	86.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	43.1	32.7	75.8	+10.4	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Almaty: 76.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	20.0	48.2%	50.5%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	7.7	27.9%	30.4%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	20.8	13.3	63.9%	69.6%	13.3

They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 84.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.5	58.3%	50.5%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	9.2	30.2%	30.4%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.3	68.4%	69.6%	14.3

They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	21.3	55.0%	50.5%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.0	8.3	26.8%	30.4%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	19.4	12.7	65.5%	69.6%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	17.0	43.8%	50.5%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.0	28.0%	30.4%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.3	66.8%	69.6%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	22.0	50.6%	50.5%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	8.4	30.0%	30.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	20.8	13.6	65.2%	69.6%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	18.1	52.3%	50.5%	36.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	8.8	31.4%	30.4%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	16.5	11.5	69.6%	69.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	20.7	53.4%	50.5%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	8.7	28.6%	30.4%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	18.1	11.6	64.1%	69.6%	11.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.8	51.6%	50.5%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	9.0	33.8%	30.4%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.9	71.5%	69.6%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Almaty

WWWWLWLLLL

Astana

WWLLLWWWWW

League position

-4.9

Net rating

+22.3

97.6

Offensive rating

113.8

102.5

Defensive rating

91.6

45.7%

Effective FG%

52.4%

48.4%

Opp. effective FG%

43.1%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.31

27.9%

3-point %

30.2%

59.6%

Assist %

66.8%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Almaty ■ Astana

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almaty wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
08/03/26	Astana v Almaty	69-72
07/03/26	Astana v Almaty	77-86
23/12/25	Astana v Almaty	90-74
22/12/25	Astana v Almaty	82-72
09/11/25	Almaty v Astana	73-106
08/11/25	Almaty v Astana	53-92
27/01/21	Astana v Almaty	98-61
26/01/21	Astana v Almaty	109-41
09/12/20	Almaty v Astana	66-90
08/12/20	Almaty v Astana	67-107

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/26	H	Atyrau	74-72
14/03/26	H	Atyrau	72-69
08/03/26	A	Astana	72-69
07/03/26	A	Astana	86-77
28/02/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	73-79
27/02/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	84-72
22/02/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	71-83
21/02/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	79-95
04/02/26	A	Atyrau	75-78
03/02/26	A	Atyrau	79-90

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	101-48
15/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	88-73
08/03/26	H	Almaty	69-72
07/03/26	H	Almaty	77-86
03/03/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	68-73
02/03/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	75-53
26/02/26	H	Atyrau	79-72
25/02/26	H	Atyrau	85-69
27/01/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	88-73
26/01/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	119-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty

National League 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	53%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	LWLWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	53%	50%	56%
Points / game	83.0	82.5	83.5
Allowed / game	79.3	78.1	80.4
Point differential	+3.7	+4.4	+3.1
Avg total	162.4	160.6	163.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	29%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	89%
Home	WLLWW	86%
Away	WWWWL	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	89%	86%	93%
Points / game	88.6	86.4	90.9
Allowed / game	65.7	68.8	62.6
Point differential	+23.0	+17.6	+28.4
Avg total	154.3	155.1	153.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	86%	79%	93%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	28	25	3	89%	88.6	65.7	+23.0
2	Kaspiy Aktau	28	16	12	57%	81.9	75.6	+6.3
3	Almaty	30	16	14	53%	83.0	79.3	+3.7
4	Atyrau	28	12	16	43%	78.7	81.8	-3.1
5	Tobol Kostanay	30	3	27	10%	67.5	95.6	-28.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Almaty	17	15	15	21	68
Astana	16	18	24	24	82

← all games of the day

Almaty vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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