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Alstom Krakow vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-99
12-30 24-29 17-16 25-24
Position#16
Record8-24
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game87.1
Alstom Krakow
Poland
vs
Starogard Gdanski 🏆
Poland
Position#6
Record20-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game75.4
Poland1 LigaRound 33· AGH Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alstom Krakow v Starogard Gdanski
07 Apr 2024
ALST78
STAR99
14 Dec 2022
ALST61
STAR66
11 Dec 2021
ALST76
STAR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alstom Krakow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alstom KrakowPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrakow
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
83-108
83
108
-25
65avg 65
A31/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
93-85
93
85
+8
86avg 65
H04/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 65
A10/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
71-96
71
96
-25
50avg 65
A14/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 65
A18/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
72-106
72
106
-34
65avg 65
H24/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
84-92
84
92
-8
65avg 65
A02/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
82-74
82
74
+8
77avg 65
H10/03
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
60-86
60
86
-26
45avg 65
A20/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
96-80
96
80
+16
91avg 65
H23/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-34
18-31
20-21
33-22
31-19
23-27
13-24
26-15
21-26
16-25
20-19
21-15
14-18
15-22
19-34
23-22
25-24
26-24
21-23
16-24
18-30
22-30
12-26
20-20
18-29
22-18
23-22
21-23
24-13
21-31
19-16
18-14
19-9
15-23
10-33
16-21
23-28
21-19
28-19
24-14
171.4Avg total
80.7Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.087.1165.1-9.125%
Season at home (15)81.185.4166.5-4.340%
Season away (17)75.388.6163.9-13.412%
Last 10 (10)80.790.7171.4-10.030%
Last 5 (5)78.887.6166.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.387.6164.9-10.323%
vs Similar (4)86.086.0172.0+0.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 79
H07/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
79avg 79
A11/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 79
A17/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 79
H24/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
72avg 79
A28/02
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
88avg 79
A03/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
117-92
117
92
+25
114avg 79
H09/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
81avg 79
H16/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
99-70
99
70
+29
100avg 79
H24/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
W
95-65
95
65
+30
92avg 79
H29/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
19-26
23-20
14-13
19-30
24-18
23-21
26-15
13-19
24-20
17-24
23-20
26-20
18-21
22-19
11-21
14-12
20-25
22-25
20-23
25-29
15-23
24-21
23-12
37-17
37-29
23-30
20-16
17-15
22-12
27-25
16-18
27-25
30-12
19-19
23-14
37-16
13-19
18-11
27-19
166.3Avg total
87.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.275.4157.5+6.862%
Season at home (17)84.674.1158.6+10.571%
Season away (15)79.476.9156.3+2.553%
Last 10 (10)87.079.3166.3+7.760%
Last 5 (5)96.076.4172.4+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
vs Similar (9)77.981.4159.3-3.622%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.074.3160.3+11.774%
This opponent (Alstom Krakow) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +3.2+3.2
Alstom KrakowStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alstom KrakowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#13
L
30-65
30
65
-35
A31/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H04/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A10/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A18/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H24/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/03
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A20/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/03
1 Liga
88.4Avg total
40.4Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.183.4-4.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.744.287.8-0.562%-
Last 30 away (17)36.044.180.1-8.118%-
Last 10 (10)40.448.088.4-7.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.086.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.543.782.2-5.235%-
vs Similar (4)44.847.091.8-2.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A11/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/02
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
74-46
74
46
+28
H09/03
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H16/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H24/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#11
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H29/03
1 Liga
85.6Avg total
44.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.979.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.738.681.3+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)37.639.276.9-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.785.6+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)52.039.491.4+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.043.576.5-10.50%-
vs Similar (9)35.440.275.7-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.437.881.2+5.663%-
This opponent (Alstom Krakow) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alstom Krakowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alstom Krakow: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.7
50.1%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.714.8
62.4%
69.4%14.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.4
56.6%
51.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.8
36.4%
32.7%35.4
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
69.4%12.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alstom Krakow
WLWLLLLLWL
Starogard Gdanski
WWWWWLLLWL
#16
League position
#6
-13.2
Net rating
+10.4
102.8
Offensive rating
110.2
115.9
Defensive rating
99.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.6%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.1%
3-point %
36.4%
59.2%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 110.2Defence115.9 · 99.8Shooting50.5% · 55.6%3-point %34.1% · 36.4%Ball care14.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds23.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Alstom Krakow   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alstom Krakow wins
5
Starogard Gdanski wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Starogard Gdanski v Alstom Krakow86-63
25/03/23Starogard Gdanski v Alstom Krakow88-83 OT
14/12/22Alstom Krakow v Starogard Gdanski61-66
26/03/22Starogard Gdanski v Alstom Krakow75-65
11/12/21Alstom Krakow v Starogard Gdanski76-86
Alstom Krakowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HAWF Katowice96-80
20/03/24AGornik Walbrzych60-86
10/03/24HKrosno82-74
02/03/24AGKS Tychy84-92
24/02/24HPelplin72-106
18/02/24ASokol Miedzychod88-95
14/02/24AWKK Wroclaw71-96
10/02/24APoznan78-85
04/02/24HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl93-85
31/01/24APolonia Warszawa83-108
Starogard Gdanskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24HPelplin95-65
24/03/24HSlask Wroclaw II99-70
16/03/24HBydgoszcz82-70
09/03/24HAWF Katowice117-92
03/03/24AGornik Walbrzych87-85
28/02/24APoznan76-85
24/02/24HKrosno77-81
17/02/24AGKS Tychy77-83
11/02/24ASokol Miedzychod92-84
07/02/24HWKK Wroclaw68-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alstom Krakow
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW25%
HomeWWLWW40%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %25%40%12%
Points / game78.081.175.3
Allowed / game87.185.488.6
Point differential-9.1-4.3-13.4
Avg total165.1166.5163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %62%71%53%
Points / game82.284.679.4
Allowed / game75.474.176.9
Point differential+6.8+10.5+2.5
Avg total157.5158.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gornik Walbrzych3325876%82.371.2+11.1
2 Krosno3325876%84.377.1+7.2
3 Slask Wroclaw II3324973%89.487.8+1.5
4 Bydgoszcz33221167%80.072.4+7.6
5 Poli. Opolska33221167%86.781.5+5.1
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg33211264%85.181.9+3.2
7 Starogard Gdanski32201262%82.275.4+6.8
8 GKS Tychy33191458%82.681.2+1.4
9 HydroTruck Radom33181555%80.381.2-0.9
10 Poznan33171652%84.881.2+3.6
11 Pelplin33161748%80.680.9-0.3
12 MKKS Koszalin33141942%81.885.2-3.5
13 Polonia Warszawa33122136%79.383.2-3.8
14 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl33102330%80.984.7-3.8
15 WKK Wroclaw33102330%78.784.1-5.4
16 Alstom Krakow3282425%78.087.1-9.1
17 Sokol Miedzychod3372621%81.292.0-10.8
18 AWF Katowice3362718%77.887.8-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alstom Krakow1224172578
Starogard Gdanski3029162499
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