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Starogard Gdanski vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-70
17-15 22-12 27-25 16-18
Position#6
Record17-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#5
Record21-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game71.7
Poland1 LigaRound 31· Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby
Other2023-24
Meetings · Starogard Gdanski v Bydgoszcz
10 May 2026
STAR70
BYDG72
09 May 2026
STAR103
BYDG82
11 Apr 2026
STAR74
BYDG78
29 Dec 2024
STAR77
BYDG103
16 Mar 2024
STAR82
BYDG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 78
H17/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
97-73
97
73
+24
95avg 78
A20/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
91avg 78
H26/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 78
H07/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
79avg 78
A11/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 78
A17/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 78
H24/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
72avg 78
A28/02
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
88avg 78
A03/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
117-92
117
92
+25
114avg 78
H09/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
21-24
25-26
29-29
22-19
19-15
27-22
29-17
25-21
17-25
22-17
29-24
12-19
19-26
23-20
14-13
19-30
24-18
23-21
26-15
13-19
24-20
17-24
23-20
26-20
18-21
22-19
11-21
14-12
20-25
22-25
20-23
25-29
15-23
24-21
23-12
37-17
37-29
23-30
20-16
173.8Avg total
88.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.176.1157.2+5.059%
Season at home (14)83.075.3158.3+7.764%
Season away (15)79.476.9156.3+2.553%
Last 10 (10)88.385.5173.8+2.850%
Last 5 (5)86.885.2172.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.080.2154.2-6.220%
vs Weaker (18)84.174.6158.7+9.472%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#11
W
67-48
67
48
+19
67avg 76
A20/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
93-64
93
64
+29
98avg 76
H28/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 76
A31/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
81avg 76
H03/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
61-69
61
69
-8
54avg 76
H10/02
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
83-75
83
75
+8
85avg 76
A18/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
73avg 76
H25/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 76
H28/02
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
82-70
82
70
+12
85avg 76
A03/03
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
78-75
78
75
+3
71avg 76
H08/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
10-6
26-14
11-16
28-17
23-20
21-14
21-13
15-23
21-22
22-17
20-23
21-14
19-19
19-16
22-10
17-14
14-24
12-17
18-14
13-11
26-23
20-25
24-16
22-19
19-16
17-10
17-19
18-21
26-21
20-28
15-16
25-18
25-17
20-17
12-18
19-26
14-17
25-16
20-16
147.2Avg total
77.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.371.7152.0+8.670%
Season at home (15)81.568.7150.2+12.987%
Season away (15)79.174.7153.8+4.353%
Last 10 (10)77.769.5147.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)79.474.0153.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.561.5132.0+9.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.073.0146.0+0.033%
vs Weaker (22)83.272.3155.5+10.977%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
Starogard GdanskiBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H17/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A20/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H26/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A11/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
1 Liga
Poznan
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/02
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/03
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
74-46
74
46
+28
H09/03
1 Liga
87.1Avg total
43.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.578.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.179.9+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.639.976.5-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.087.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.088.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.043.576.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.642.075.6-8.430%-
vs Weaker (18)42.037.779.7+4.361%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#11
W
30-18
30
18
+12
A20/01
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H28/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A31/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H10/02
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H28/02
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A03/03
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H08/03
1 Liga
75.5Avg total
39.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.077.7+3.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.836.578.3+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.477.1+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.075.5+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.879.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.526.063.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.337.571.8-3.233%-
vs Weaker (22)42.837.880.6+5.082%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.9
56.1%
51.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.1
36.0%
32.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.2
70.3%
69.4%14.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.4
52.7%
51.8%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.4
28.8%
32.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.618.2
77.1%
69.4%18.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Starogard Gdanski
WWLLLWLWWL
Bydgoszcz
WWLWWLWLWW
#6
League position
#5
+3.3
Net rating
+11.7
111.1
Offensive rating
106.2
107.8
Defensive rating
94.5
55.1%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.0%
3-point %
28.8%
67.1%
Assist %
78.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 106.2Defence107.8 · 94.5Shooting55.1% · 48.7%3-point %36.0% · 28.8%Ball care16.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds25.3% · 29.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Starogard Gdanski   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Starogard Gdanski wins
1
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Bydgoszcz v Starogard Gdanski73-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HAWF Katowice117-92
03/03/24AGornik Walbrzych87-85
28/02/24APoznan76-85
24/02/24HKrosno77-81
17/02/24AGKS Tychy77-83
11/02/24ASokol Miedzychod92-84
07/02/24HWKK Wroclaw68-78
26/01/24HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl93-87
20/01/24APolonia Warszawa97-73
17/01/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg99-107
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl78-75
03/03/24AAWF Katowice82-70
28/02/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg79-86
25/02/24HPolonia Warszawa75-64
18/02/24AGornik Walbrzych83-75
10/02/24HKrosno61-69
03/02/24HPoli. Opolska81-59
31/01/24AGKS Tychy78-85
28/01/24HHydroTruck Radom93-64
20/01/24APelplin67-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW59%
HomeLWLLW64%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%64%53%
Points / game81.183.079.4
Allowed / game76.175.376.9
Point differential+5.0+7.7+2.5
Avg total157.2158.3156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLWLW87%
AwayLWLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%87%53%
Points / game80.381.579.1
Allowed / game71.768.774.7
Point differential+8.6+12.9+4.3
Avg total152.0150.2153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gornik Walbrzych3022873%82.271.2+11.0
2 Krosno3022873%84.177.4+6.7
3 Slask Wroclaw II2921872%89.788.2+1.5
4 Bydgoszcz3021970%80.371.7+8.6
5 Poli. Opolska30201067%87.082.2+4.8
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg29181162%83.380.9+2.5
7 GKS Tychy30181260%83.081.3+1.7
8 Starogard Gdanski29171259%81.176.1+5.0
9 Pelplin28161257%81.479.0+2.4
10 HydroTruck Radom30171357%80.882.3-1.4
11 Poznan29151452%84.780.8+3.9
12 MKKS Koszalin29131645%82.184.5-2.4
13 Polonia Warszawa30102033%78.883.0-4.2
14 WKK Wroclaw2891932%79.684.5-4.9
15 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl3082227%80.485.3-4.8
16 Alstom Krakow3072323%78.087.4-9.4
17 Sokol Miedzychod3062420%80.491.3-10.9
18 AWF Katowice2952417%77.487.6-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Starogard Gdanski1722271682
Bydgoszcz1512251870
← all games of the day
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