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Poznan vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-76
12-14 25-20 25-22 23-20
Position#10
Record13-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.2
Poznan 🏆
Poland
vs
Starogard Gdanski
Poland
Position#6
Record15-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game74.8
Poland1 LigaRound 23· Cityzen hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Poznan v Starogard Gdanski
05 Dec 2026
POZN v STAR
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
POZN63
STAR70
25 Jan 2025
POZN73
STAR85
28 Feb 2024
POZN85
STAR76
03 Dec 2022
POZN80
STAR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 78
A07/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
80avg 78
H13/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 78
A17/01
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
W
92-88
92
88
+4
80avg 78
H20/01
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
88avg 78
A26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
95-98
95
98
-3
80avg 78
A07/02
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 78
H10/02
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 78
A14/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 78
H17/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
L
88-89
88
89
-1
79avg 78
A25/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
21-22
18-20
25-22
23-19
15-20
24-19
19-31
20-21
16-20
18-18
15-21
21-20
16-20
31-21
24-27
22-24
21-15
18-14
27-14
22-21
26-30
25-28
22-19
26-21
25-16
19-20
15-21
10-22
23-19
25-21
28-23
21-15
22-16
22-21
9-19
26-26
24-16
15-21
23-26
166.3Avg total
83.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.081.2165.2+2.948%
Season at home (13)82.379.8162.2+2.554%
Season away (14)85.682.4168.1+3.243%
Last 10 (10)83.682.7166.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)85.684.2169.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.577.0154.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.584.1168.6+0.443%
vs Weaker (14)82.979.1162.0+3.757%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 76
H29/12
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
95-70
95
70
+25
91avg 76
H06/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
88-76
88
76
+12
179avg 76
A12/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 76
H17/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
97-73
97
73
+24
95avg 76
A20/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
91avg 76
H26/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 76
H07/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
79avg 76
A11/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 76
A17/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
76avg 76
H24/02
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
25-20
17-17
22-23
24-18
18-21
33-14
20-17
28-25
14-14
28-22
18-15
24-28
21-24
25-26
29-29
22-19
19-15
27-22
29-17
25-21
17-25
22-17
29-24
12-19
19-26
23-20
14-13
19-30
24-18
23-21
26-15
13-19
24-20
17-24
23-20
26-20
18-21
22-19
11-21
169.3Avg total
86.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.774.8154.5+4.958%
Season at home (13)80.474.0154.4+6.462%
Season away (13)79.175.6154.7+3.554%
Last 10 (10)86.982.4169.3+4.550%
Last 5 (5)81.482.6164.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.383.3161.7-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.479.6157.0-2.230%
vs Weaker (17)82.173.6155.7+8.571%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
PoznanStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelplin
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/01
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H13/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A17/01
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/01
1 Liga
AWF Katowice
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A26/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A07/02
1 Liga
Alstom Krakow
#16
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H10/02
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A14/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A25/02
1 Liga
81.5Avg total
41.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.580.8-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.339.679.9+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)40.441.281.6-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.181.5+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.485.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.039.576.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.639.980.4+0.743%-
vs Weaker (14)40.641.281.9-0.643%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H29/12
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H06/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A12/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H17/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A20/01
1 Liga
Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H26/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#15
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/02
1 Liga
Sokol Miedzychod
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A11/02
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/02
1 Liga
Krosno
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/02
1 Liga
83.9Avg total
41.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.778.0-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.739.679.3+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.939.876.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.883.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.883.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.542.778.2-7.240%-
vs Weaker (17)40.137.277.3+2.959%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.6
52.4%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.018.3
79.6%
69.4%18.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.2
54.2%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.9
36.5%
32.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
69.4%15.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LWWWLWWLLL
Starogard Gdanski
LLWLWWLWWL
#10
League position
#6
+0.0
Net rating
+6.1
109.8
Offensive rating
111.3
109.8
Defensive rating
105.2
49.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.2%
3-point %
36.5%
56.5%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 111.3Defence109.8 · 105.2Shooting49.9% · 54.4%3-point %31.2% · 36.5%Ball care15.7% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 23.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Poznan   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poznan wins
2
Starogard Gdanski wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Starogard Gdanski v Poznan71-79
11/03/23Starogard Gdanski v Poznan100-82
03/12/22Poznan v Starogard Gdanski80-89
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24APoli. Opolska88-89
17/02/24HHydroTruck Radom74-71
14/02/24AMKKS Koszalin86-85
10/02/24HAlstom Krakow85-78
07/02/24ASlask Wroclaw II95-98
26/01/24AAWF Katowice88-67
20/01/24HGornik Walbrzych92-88
17/01/24AKrosno69-80
13/01/24HGKS Tychy81-89
07/01/24APelplin78-82
Starogard Gdanskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HKrosno77-81
17/02/24AGKS Tychy77-83
11/02/24ASokol Miedzychod92-84
07/02/24HWKK Wroclaw68-78
26/01/24HNiedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl93-87
20/01/24APolonia Warszawa97-73
17/01/24HKotwica Kolobrzeg99-107
12/01/24APoli. Opolska88-76
06/01/24HHydroTruck Radom95-70
29/12/23HMKKS Koszalin83-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWLWWW54%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%54%43%
Points / game84.082.385.6
Allowed / game81.279.882.4
Point differential+2.9+2.5+3.2
Avg total165.2162.2168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)40% (5)14% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLWWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%62%54%
Points / game79.780.479.1
Allowed / game74.874.075.6
Point differential+4.9+6.4+3.5
Avg total154.5154.4154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%31%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gornik Walbrzych2822679%82.270.2+12.0
2 Slask Wroclaw II2620677%90.888.2+2.6
3 Krosno2821775%84.577.6+7.0
4 Bydgoszcz2819968%80.371.6+8.7
5 Poli. Opolska28181064%85.582.0+3.5
6 Kotwica Kolobrzeg28181064%83.680.8+2.8
7 Starogard Gdanski26151158%79.774.8+4.9
8 Pelplin26151158%81.278.4+2.8
9 GKS Tychy27151256%82.182.3-0.1
10 HydroTruck Radom27151256%80.482.7-2.3
11 Poznan27131448%84.081.2+2.9
12 MKKS Koszalin27131448%82.684.1-1.4
13 Polonia Warszawa2891932%79.182.7-3.6
14 WKK Wroclaw2681831%79.784.4-4.7
15 Niedzwiadki Chemart Przemysl2772026%80.185.7-5.6
16 Sokol Miedzychod2862221%80.390.1-9.8
17 Alstom Krakow2862221%77.687.7-10.1
18 AWF Katowice2752219%77.186.7-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan1225252385
Starogard Gdanski1420222076
← all games of the day
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