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Alvark vs Altiri Chiba Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 07 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Scheduled
Position#4
Record11-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#19
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game86.2
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvark v Altiri Chiba
07 Dec 2026
ALVA v ALTI
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
ALVA87
ALTI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Altiri Chiba win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
W
94-82
94
82
+12
83avg 83
A10/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
103-78
103
78
+25
104avg 83
A12/10
B League
Xac Broncos
#12
W
113-78
113
78
+35
no box
H14/10
EASL
Gunma
#7
W
100-86
100
86
+14
93avg 83
A17/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
90-74
90
74
+16
83avg 83
H19/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#14
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 83
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 83
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 83
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 83
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
no box
H01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
26-24
30-21
21-18
26-17
25-21
27-19
25-21
35-13
12-13
26-31
40-21
33-32
19-23
25-16
23-15
23-20
21-14
24-25
22-15
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
177.3Avg total
96.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)95.483.1178.4+12.379%
Season at home (8)86.578.4164.9+8.162%
Season away (6)107.289.3196.5+17.8100%
Last 10 (10)96.680.7177.3+15.980%
Last 5 (5)93.281.8175.0+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (5)94.692.0186.6+2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.776.7166.5+13.086%
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Sendai
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
72avg 74
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
97-90
97
90
+7
96avg 74
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
74-94
74
94
-20
69avg 74
H11/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
61avg 74
H17/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
W
82-65
82
65
+17
82avg 74
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
65-94
65
94
-29
58avg 74
A21/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#14
L
87-102
87
102
-15
82avg 74
A24/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
74-85
74
85
-11
74avg 74
H26/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
89-85
89
85
+4
85avg 74
A30/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
102-83
102
83
+19
no box
A01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
24-19
14-16
21-30
32-20
20-14
12-26
33-30
21-21
21-28
18-25
14-20
21-30
17-22
21-19
12-18
15-17
27-16
18-21
22-11
21-33
16-18
13-24
15-19
36-26
19-32
16-26
16-18
21-15
15-26
21-11
17-33
28-18
16-20
20-28
25-19
34-21
24-14
20-28
24-20
168.3Avg total
81.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.186.2166.3-6.136%
Season at home (6)81.588.3169.8-6.833%
Season away (8)79.084.6163.6-5.638%
Last 10 (10)81.586.8168.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)83.489.8173.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.389.4163.7-15.17%
vs Similar (12)80.682.2162.8-1.742%
vs Weaker (3)85.076.3161.3+8.7100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.9-1.9
AlvarkAltiri Chiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#21
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A12/10
B League
Xac Broncos
#12
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H14/10
EASL
Gunma
#7
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A17/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
85.2Avg total
47.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.684.2+5.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.436.180.5+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)44.943.688.4+1.343%-
Last 10 (10)47.138.185.2+9.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.837.083.8+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (5)47.450.698.0-3.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.837.682.4+7.264%-
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H11/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H17/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#14
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A24/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H26/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A01/11
B League
86.9Avg total
44.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.783.3-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.643.281.8-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)40.644.184.6-3.525%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.686.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.044.690.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.748.387.1-9.67%-
vs Similar (12)40.039.979.9+0.142%-
vs Weaker (3)42.735.378.0+7.3100%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.1
57.8%
53.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.1
37.2%
32.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.8
74.3%
73.7%16.8
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.5
52.7%
53.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.39.6
67.1%
73.7%9.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWLLWWWWW
Altiri Chiba
WWLLLWLLWL
#4
League position
#19
+15.0
Net rating
-9.6
107.4
Offensive rating
92.0
92.4
Defensive rating
101.7
56.8%
Effective FG%
53.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
11.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.2%
3-point %
36.3%
59.9%
Assist %
66.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 92.0Defence92.4 · 101.7Shooting56.8% · 53.4%3-point %37.2% · 36.3%Ball care11.5% · 16.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Alvark   ■ Altiri Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alvark wins
0
Altiri Chiba wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Alvark v Altiri Chiba87-81
29/10/25Altiri Chiba v Alvark94-98 OT
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69
19/10/26HAkita90-74
17/10/26AGunma100-86
14/10/26HXac Broncos113-78
12/10/26AOsaka103-78
10/10/26ABrave Thunders94-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AAkita102-83
30/10/26AAkita89-85
26/10/26HGunma74-85
24/10/26AIbaraki Robots87-102
21/10/26ARyukyu65-94
19/10/26ANagasaki82-65
17/10/26HHiroshima D.71-89
11/10/26HToyama74-94
09/10/26HOsaka97-90
07/10/26ASendai74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW79%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%62%100%
Points / game95.486.5107.2
Allowed / game83.178.489.3
Point differential+12.3+8.1+17.8
Avg total178.4164.9196.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%62%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%0%17%
Altiri Chiba
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game80.181.579.0
Allowed / game86.288.384.6
Point differential-6.1-6.8-5.6
Avg total166.3169.8163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins10100100%92.573.6+18.9
2 Hiroshima D.1312192%91.279.6+11.5
3 SeaHorses Mikawa108280%90.578.2+12.3
4 Alvark1411379%95.483.1+12.3
5 NeoPhoenix97278%87.380.7+6.7
6 Sendai1410471%85.680.0+5.6
7 Gunma139469%81.872.8+8.9
8 Kyoto128467%84.676.8+7.8
9 Tokyo Sunrockers149564%89.479.3+10.1
10 Toyama138562%83.785.7-2.0
11 Levanga Hokkaido127558%95.294.0+1.2
12 Ryukyu137654%85.182.2+2.8
13 Yokohama147750%79.183.1-4.1
14 Ibaraki Robots146843%83.679.6+4.0
15 Nagasaki146843%77.080.3-3.3
16 Shiga125742%85.589.3-3.8
17 Utsunomiya Brex135838%81.285.2-4.0
18 Shinshu145936%83.285.9-2.7
19 Altiri Chiba145936%80.186.2-6.1
20 Shimane124833%81.282.8-1.6
21 Brave Thunders134931%79.384.2-4.8
22 Chiba134931%90.597.0-6.5
23 Akita134931%78.986.7-7.8
24 Kobe1331023%78.986.1-7.2
25 Saga131128%76.394.0-17.7
26 Osaka131128%67.890.2-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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