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Osaka vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 78-103
17-26 21-25 19-27 21-25
Position#26
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game86.0
JapanB League· Ookini Arena Maishima
Other2026-27
Meetings · Osaka v Alvark
12 Oct 2026
OSAK78
ALVA103
25 Jan 2026
OSAK88
ALVA105
24 Jan 2026
OSAK76
ALVA91
25 Oct 2020
OSAK77
ALVA85
24 Oct 2020
OSAK69
ALVA97
30 Dec 2019
OSAK55
ALVA62
29 Dec 2019
OSAK66
ALVA67
01 Oct 2017
OSAK65
ALVA68
30 Sep 2017
OSAK60
ALVA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A25/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A02/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A03/05
B League
Kobe
#24
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A26/09
B League
Kobe
#24
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A27/09
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H03/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
57-101
57
101
-44
H04/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H07/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A09/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
27-19
26-24
8-20
27-22
28-20
21-23
16-18
23-24
27-20
7-22
24-21
19-25
23-25
21-24
16-17
30-12
15-29
20-15
14-13
24-19
26-22
12-23
16-20
17-14
21-25
4-22
15-15
6-17
19-25
11-29
21-30
18-18
10-18
13-12
16-18
20-32
14-20
26-12
30-33
159.0Avg total
74.8Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.782.2151.8-12.517%
Season at home (3)57.081.0138.0-24.00%
Season away (3)82.383.3165.7-1.033%
Last 10 (10)74.884.2159.0-9.420%
Last 5 (5)67.884.8152.6-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.883.0155.8-10.28%
vs Similar (7)84.086.3170.3-2.343%
vs Weaker (10)85.586.1171.6-0.650%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
W
111-104
111
104
+7
A02/05
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A07/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
A08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H22/09
B League
Ryukyu
#11
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H23/09
B League
Chiba
#20
W
138-131 OT
138
131
+7
A02/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A04/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H08/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A10/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
32-29
20-19
36-26
17-23
26-34
28-18
25-22
20-22
22-14
15-30
21-27
15-23
12-22
17-25
12-26
23-30
27-21
22-12
12-10
25-23
16-28
17-16
16-18
26-26
21-29
24-18
26-24
22-18
25-21
27-14
22-18
29-15
15-19
22-22
24-18
17-19
26-24
30-21
21-18
182.3Avg total
91.7Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.086.0182.0+10.083%
Season at home (3)82.777.3160.0+5.367%
Season away (3)109.394.7204.0+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)91.790.6182.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)98.488.6187.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.288.5158.7-18.317%
vs Similar (7)89.190.6179.7-1.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.376.4163.7+10.988%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
OsakaAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A25/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A02/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A03/05
B League
Kobe
#24
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A26/09
B League
Kobe
#24
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A27/09
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H03/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H04/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H07/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A09/10
B League
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.584.6-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.144.585.6-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.583.7-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.077.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.843.180.8-5.323%-
vs Similar (7)42.945.388.1-2.429%-
vs Weaker (10)44.242.987.1+1.350%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A02/05
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A07/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H22/09
B League
Ryukyu
#11
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H23/09
B League
Chiba
#20
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A02/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H08/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/10
B League
90.9Avg total
43.9Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.784.6+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.439.283.6+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.385.5-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)43.947.090.9-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.444.488.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.345.583.8-7.250%-
vs Similar (7)45.645.791.3-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.338.882.1+4.553%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.6
48.9%
53.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.5
29.2%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
73.7%12.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 91.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.824.0
58.8%
53.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
32.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
73.7%15.0
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LLLLLWLLWL
Alvark
WWWWLWLLLW
#26
League position
#5
-10.8
Net rating
+0.9
85.7
Offensive rating
100.8
96.5
Defensive rating
99.9
46.7%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
11.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.2%
3-point %
32.2%
70.5%
Assist %
68.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.7 · 100.8Defence96.5 · 99.9Shooting46.7% · 54.4%3-point %29.2% · 32.2%Ball care14.1% · 11.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Osaka   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Osaka wins
9
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Osaka v Alvark88-105
24/01/26Osaka v Alvark76-91
13/04/25Alvark v Osaka82-47
12/04/25Alvark v Osaka66-68
28/01/24Alvark v Osaka83-81
27/01/24Alvark v Osaka77-68
05/02/23Alvark v Osaka68-61
04/02/23Alvark v Osaka74-66
23/01/22Alvark v Osaka99-71
22/01/22Alvark v Osaka90-77
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/26AAltiri Chiba90-97
07/10/26HYokohama57-66
04/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa57-101
03/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa57-76
27/09/26AKobe78-84
26/09/26AKobe79-69
03/05/26AIbaraki Robots79-91
02/05/26AIbaraki Robots81-87
26/04/26AKyoto92-83
25/04/26AKyoto78-88
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ABrave Thunders94-82
08/10/26HSaga90-74
04/10/26AChiba96-71
02/10/26AChiba138-131 OT
23/09/26HRyukyu74-85
22/09/26HRyukyu84-73
08/05/26ANagasaki56-96
07/05/26ANagasaki78-93
03/05/26AHokkaido96-97
02/05/26AHokkaido111-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game69.757.082.3
Allowed / game82.281.083.3
Point differential-12.5-24.0-1.0
Avg total151.8138.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game96.082.7109.3
Allowed / game86.077.394.7
Point differential+10.0+5.3+14.7
Avg total182.0160.0204.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins550100%89.674.4+15.2
2 Hiroshima D.660100%94.880.7+14.2
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Alvark65183%96.086.0+10.0
5 Gunma65183%76.769.3+7.3
6 Kyoto75271%83.179.3+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%88.580.5+8.0
8 Tokyo Sunrockers74357%87.680.9+6.7
9 Sendai74357%86.381.4+4.9
10 Toyama74357%85.985.0+0.9
11 Utsunomiya Brex63350%81.077.8+3.2
12 Levanga Hokkaido63350%96.295.5+0.7
13 Yokohama63350%76.776.2+0.5
14 Shimane63350%81.881.7+0.2
15 Ryukyu63350%79.881.3-1.5
16 Shiga62433%91.790.2+1.5
17 Shinshu62433%83.884.3-0.5
18 Kobe62433%78.284.3-6.2
19 Chiba62433%95.5103.0-7.5
20 Brave Thunders62433%80.388.5-8.2
21 Nagasaki62433%71.279.7-8.5
22 Akita62433%72.081.3-9.3
23 Altiri Chiba72529%78.786.3-7.6
24 Osaka61517%69.782.2-12.5
25 Saga61517%76.091.0-15.0
26 Ibaraki Robots7070%78.385.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka1721192178
Alvark26252725103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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