Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Alvark host Utsunomiya Brex in the B League. Pythia makes Alvark the favourite at 74% and projects 90-82, about 172 points in all (over 168.5: 58%). On the market's main spread (Alvark -8) Pythia gives Alvark 48% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Alvark are 9-3 this season (94.1 scored, 83.5 allowed a game), form WWLLW; Utsunomiya Brex are 5-6 this season (81.4 scored, 82.0 allowed a game), form LWLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

73.9%fair 1.35

Best odds1.29

Implied73.6%

Edge+0.3pp

Utsunomiya Brex winLost

26.1%fair 3.84

Best odds3.54

Implied26.4%

Edge-0.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlvark

Date

Competition

Chiba

#19

96-71

+25

86avg 80

A04/10

B League

Saga

#25

90-74

+16

92avg 80

H08/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

94-82

+12

83avg 80

A10/10

B League

Osaka

#26

103-78

103

+25

104avg 80

A12/10

B League

Xac Broncos

#12

113-78

113

+35

no box

H14/10

EASL

Gunma

100-86

100

+14

93avg 80

A17/10

B League

Akita

#24

90-74

+16

83avg 80

H19/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#13

66-69

-3

60avg 80

H22/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

82-91

-9

72avg 80

H24/10

B League

Saga

#25

112-88

112

+24

116avg 80

A26/10

B League

22-18

25-21

27-14

22-18

29-15

15-19

22-22

24-18

17-19

26-24

30-21

21-18

26-17

25-21

27-19

25-21

35-13

12-13

26-31

40-21

33-32

19-23

25-16

23-15

23-20

21-14

24-25

22-15

19-19

22-21

14-15

11-14

19-23

18-21

18-15

27-32

33-13

28-17

21-30

30-28

173.7Avg total

94.6Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	94.1	83.5	177.6	+10.6	75%
Season at home (6)	81.0	77.7	158.7	+3.3	50%
Season away (6)	107.2	89.3	196.5	+17.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	94.6	79.1	173.7	+15.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	81.6	171.6	+8.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	67.0	94.5	161.5	-27.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	92.4	91.6	184.0	+0.9	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	88.4	76.3	164.8	+12.1	85%

This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Utsunomiya Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBrex

Date

Competition

Yokohama

#14

71-74

-3

63avg 81

H27/09

B League

Toyama

#11

67-77

-10

58avg 81

A03/10

B League

Toyama

#11

99-77

+22

94avg 81

A04/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#13

90-79

+11

88avg 81

A09/10

B League

Akita

#24

71-82

-11

62avg 81

H11/10

B League

Sendai

81-85

-4

78avg 81

A17/10

B League

Gunma

83-80

79avg 81

H19/10

B League

Diamond Dolphins

69-98

-29

62avg 81

H21/10

B League

Shinshu

#17

87-80

76avg 81

H24/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

89-92

-3

81avg 81

H26/10

B League

14-24

23-12

19-13

15-25

26-23

16-16

12-23

13-15

17-22

26-16

37-18

19-21

22-20

22-23

18-19

28-17

18-21

16-18

15-17

22-26

23-14

22-20

13-27

23-24

16-27

21-14

19-19

27-20

19-24

26-24

15-31

9-19

22-12

28-28

10-21

27-19

26-17

20-24

25-22

18-29

163.1Avg total

80.7Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	81.4	82.0	163.4	-0.6	45%
Season at home (7)	79.7	83.4	163.1	-3.7	43%
Season away (4)	84.2	79.5	163.8	+4.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	82.4	163.1	-1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	87.0	168.8	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	79.2	83.0	162.2	-3.8	50%
vs Similar (17)	83.2	83.1	166.4	+0.1	47%
vs Weaker (7)	87.9	74.1	162.0	+13.7	100%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 163.5Actual: Over 163.5

Over 163.5

69.3%

@ 1.50+7.2pp

Under 163.5

30.7%

@ 2.45-7.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.50

Betano

1.47

Under

BetVictor

2.45

Betano

2.42

Over/Under 168.5 · main lineActual: Over 168.5

Over 168.5

57.8%

@ 1.88+7.5pp

Under 168.5

42.2%

@ 1.95-7.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

WilliamHill

1.80

Marathon Be

1.77

Under

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.91

WilliamHill

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.87

Over/Under 173.5Actual: Over 173.5

Over 173.5

45.8%

@ 2.35+5.8pp

Under 173.5

54.2%

@ 1.57-5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.35

BetVictor

2.30

Bet365

2.25

Under

Bet365

1.57

Marathon Be

1.54

BetVictor

1.53

Betano

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Alvark total 85.5Actual: Alvark over 85.5

Over 85.5

66.0%

@ 1.52+6.3pp

Under 85.5

34.0%

@ 2.30-6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.47

Under

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.13

Alvark total 89.5 · main lineActual: Alvark over 89.5

Over 89.5

50.6%

@ 1.98+3.5pp

Under 89.5

49.4%

@ 1.83-3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.98

Marathon Be

1.90

1xBet

1.89

BetVictor

1.83

Under

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.75

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.59

Alvark total 93.5Actual: Alvark over 93.5

Over 93.5

35.2%

Under 93.5

64.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Utsunomiya Brex total 77.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex over 77.5

Over 77.5

67.8%

@ 1.52+7.4pp

Under 77.5

32.2%

@ 2.30-7.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.44

Under

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.21

Utsunomiya Brex total 81.5 · main lineActual: Utsunomiya Brex over 81.5

Over 81.5

52.8%

@ 2.00+4.5pp

Under 81.5

47.2%

@ 1.83-4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.00

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.86

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Under

BetVictor

1.83

Bet365

1.80

Marathon Be

1.76

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.64

Utsunomiya Brex total 85.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex over 85.5

Over 85.5

37.6%

@ 2.70+2.9pp

Under 85.5

62.4%

@ 1.39-2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.70

1xBet

2.48

Under

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Alvark -11Actual: Utsunomiya Brex +11

ALVA -11

36.4%

@ 2.40-5.2pp

UTSU +11

63.6%

@ 1.61+5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

ALVA

Bet365

2.40

Pinnacle

2.26

UTSU

Pinnacle

1.61

Marathon Be

1.56

Bet365

1.52

Spread Alvark -8 · main lineActual: Alvark -8

ALVA -8

47.5%

@ 1.90-2.2pp

UTSU +8

52.5%

@ 1.93+2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

ALVA

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.84

SBO

1.73

UTSU

SBO

1.93

Pinnacle

1.88

1xBet

1.81

Bet365

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

Spread Alvark -5Actual: Alvark -5

ALVA -5

59.3%

@ 1.58-1.7pp

UTSU +5

40.7%

@ 2.40+1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

ALVA

Bet365

1.58

Marathon Be

1.55

Pinnacle

1.54

UTSU

Pinnacle

2.40

Bet365

2.22

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkUtsunomiya Brex

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	23.7	20.4	44.0	+3.3	57%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	24.6	18.5	43.1	+6.1	73%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.5	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	25.6	18.9	44.5	+6.7	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.4	46.8	+4.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	22.5	40.0	-5.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (7)	22.6	24.7	47.3	-2.1	29%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.1	19.0	43.1	+5.1	70%	65%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	25.7	19.3	44.9	+6.4	73%	53%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.5	22.2	43.7	-0.7	50%	67%
vs Similar (17)	23.1	18.6	41.6	+4.5	65%	41%
vs Weaker (7)	24.3	19.9	44.1	+4.4	57%	57%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.2	57%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	53%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.7	43.1	+1.6	60%	47%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	50%	0%
vs Similar (7)	23.9	23.1	47.0	+0.7	43%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	65%	45%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	43%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.5	41.1	+2.0	47%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.1	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	67%	33%
vs Similar (17)	20.6	20.4	41.1	+0.2	29%	41%
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	57%	43%

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

#19

47-39

A04/10

B League

Saga

#25

44-34

+10

H08/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

43-43

A10/10

B League

Osaka

#26

51-38

+13

A12/10

B League

Xac Broncos

#12

47-26

+21

H14/10

EASL

Gunma

52-55

-3

A17/10

B League

Akita

#24

44-34

+10

H19/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#13

41-40

H22/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-44

-7

H24/10

B League

Saga

#25

61-30

+31

A26/10

B League

85.0Avg total

46.7Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	44.4	39.9	84.3	+4.5	57%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	36.9	80.6	+6.9	67%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	45.1	43.0	88.1	+2.1	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	46.7	38.3	85.0	+8.4	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	47.0	40.6	87.6	+6.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	40.5	75.0	-6.0	50%	0%
vs Similar (7)	46.4	47.9	94.3	-1.4	29%	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.5	37.8	82.3	+6.8	65%	40%

This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yokohama

#14

37-36

H27/09

B League

Toyama

#11

42-39

A03/10

B League

Toyama

#11

43-38

A04/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#13

44-43

A09/10

B League

Akita

#24

34-39

-5

H11/10

B League

Sendai

45-34

+11

A17/10

B League

Gunma

37-41

-4

H19/10

B League

Diamond Dolphins

45-48

-3

H21/10

B League

Shinshu

#17

50-40

+10

H24/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

46-41

H26/10

B League

82.2Avg total

42.3Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	44.0	39.5	83.5	+4.5	70%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	39.5	81.4	+2.5	60%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	46.0	39.5	85.5	+6.5	80%	47%
Last 10 (10)	42.3	39.9	82.2	+2.4	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.8	85.4	+3.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	42.5	41.7	84.2	+0.8	50%	50%
vs Similar (17)	43.7	39.0	82.7	+4.7	71%	47%
vs Weaker (7)	45.9	38.9	84.7	+7.0	86%	57%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Utsunomiya Brex win

ALVA win

no forecast

@ 1.43

UTSU win

no forecast

@ 3.02

1st half Spread Alvark -4 · main lineActual: Utsunomiya Brex +4

ALVA -4

no forecast

@ 1.86

UTSU +4

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 84 · main lineActual: Over 84

Over

no forecast

@ 1.89

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Alvark 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Alvark under 44.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.92

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Utsunomiya Brex 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Utsunomiya Brex over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.93

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: ALVA + total 84.5

ALVA & over

no forecast

@ 2.80

ALVA & under

no forecast

@ 2.90

1st half: Draw + total 84.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: UTSU + total 84.5

UTSU & over

no forecast

@ 5.25

UTSU & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half Over/Under 82.75Actual: Over 82.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.05

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Alvark -5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex +5

ALVA -5

no forecast

@ 2.05

UTSU +5

no forecast

@ 1.82

1st half Spread Alvark -3Actual: Utsunomiya Brex +3

ALVA -3

no forecast

@ 1.69

UTSU +3

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Over 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.44

Under

no forecast

@ 2.62

1st half Spread Alvark -6.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex +6.5

ALVA -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

UTSU +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Alvark -1.5Actual: Utsunomiya Brex +1.5

ALVA -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

UTSU +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.27

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Alvark (regulation)

ALVA

no forecast

@ 1.48

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

UTSU

no forecast

@ 2.97

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.9	38.3	+0.6	53%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	53%	67%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	27.5	43.5	-11.5	0%	100%
vs Similar (7)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	57%	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	60%	40%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	40%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	47%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.3	33%	40%
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	24.0	40.4	-7.6	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.8	22.5	38.3	-6.7	0%	17%
vs Similar (17)	20.8	21.2	42.1	-0.4	53%	47%
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	43%	14%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	63%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	53%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	21.1	43.8	+1.5	73%	47%
Last 10 (10)	24.5	20.0	44.5	+4.5	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	26.5	43.0	-10.0	0%	50%
vs Similar (7)	23.0	20.4	43.4	+2.6	71%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.3	18.6	40.0	+2.7	65%	30%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.8	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	22.3	41.7	-2.8	33%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.8	18.8	39.7	+2.0	50%	67%
vs Similar (17)	18.7	22.9	41.6	-4.2	18%	47%
vs Weaker (7)	22.1	17.3	39.4	+4.9	71%	14%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	42.6	39.6	82.2	+3.0	57%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	37.1	77.9	+3.7	53%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	44.4	42.1	86.5	+2.3	60%	53%
Last 10 (10)	47.9	40.8	88.7	+7.1	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.0	84.0	+2.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	54.0	86.5	-21.5	0%	50%
vs Similar (7)	44.4	41.6	86.0	+2.9	57%	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.8	36.9	78.7	+4.9	60%	40%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	39.5	41.5	81.0	-2.0	40%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	42.9	81.0	-4.7	33%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	40.1	81.1	+0.8	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	38.4	42.5	80.9	-4.1	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	37.2	46.2	83.4	-9.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.7	41.3	78.0	-4.7	50%	50%
vs Similar (17)	39.5	44.1	83.6	-4.6	24%	47%
vs Weaker (7)	42.0	35.3	77.3	+6.7	71%	14%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

ALVA win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

UTSU win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ALVA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: UTSU leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (ALVA:UTSU): ALVA wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Alvark over 77.5	88.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Alvark over 78.5	86.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Over 162.5	71.4%	1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex over 76.5	71.3%	1.41	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Over 161.5	73.5%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Alvark over 71.5	96.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Alvark over 75.5	91.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex over 71.5	85.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Alvark over 68.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Alvark over 69.5	97.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Alvark over 73.5	94.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex over 70.5	87.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +15.5	76.8%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Over 154.5	85.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 159.5	77.3%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +14.5	74.1%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Over 144.5	95.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +13.5	71.2%	1.40	BetVictor 1.42	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Alvark +12.5	95.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Alvark +17.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Over 149.5	91.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex +22.5	90.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Alvark +1.5	76.1%	1.28	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.6%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	-
Utsunomiya Brex +17.5	81.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Alvark +7.5	89.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Alvark +2.5	79.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Alvark -1.5	71.5%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Alvark (regulation)	71.4%	1.29	Betano 1.31	Marathon Bet 1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Alvark under 98.5	80.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Lost
Under 194.5	90.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Utsunomiya Brex under 91.5	81.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Alvark win	73.9%	1.27	1xBet 1.29	Betano 1.29	WilliamHill 1.29	Bet365 1.29	Marathon Bet 1.28	+0.3pp	Won
Under 189.5	85.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.7pp	Lost
Under 184.5	77.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Lost

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 97.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	21.8	56.2%	53.6%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.4	12.2	36.5%	32.9%	36.6
🏀 Free throws	22.8	16.9	74.1%	73.8%	16.9

They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 80.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	18.0	55.0%	53.6%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	10.2	32.2%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.9	14.1	70.9%	73.8%	14.1

They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.9	50.9%	53.6%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.6	10.0	30.7%	32.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.6	72.4%	73.8%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	21.2	54.8%	53.6%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	8.9	33.6%	32.9%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.3	76.9%	73.8%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	21.8	58.7%	53.6%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.7	34.1%	32.9%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.6	70.6%	73.8%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	29.9	17.5	58.6%	53.6%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.0	11.6	35.0%	32.9%	34.7
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.7	76.1%	73.8%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.9	54.4%	53.6%	41.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.7	31.3%	32.9%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.6	70.4%	73.8%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	20.1	52.3%	53.6%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.2	33.4%	32.9%	27.5
🏀 Free throws	17.5	13.3	76.3%	73.8%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Alvark

WLLWWWWWWW

Utsunomiya Brex

LWLWLLWWLL

League position

#16

+13.7

Net rating

-2.0

105.0

Offensive rating

95.2

91.2

Defensive rating

97.2

55.5%

Effective FG%

51.7%

48.7%

Opp. effective FG%

53.0%

11.8%

Turnover %

13.7%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.31

36.5%

3-point %

32.2%

59.1%

Assist %

67.7%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Alvark ■ Utsunomiya Brex

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Utsunomiya Brex wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/26	Utsunomiya Brex v Alvark	82-84
12/11/25	Alvark v Utsunomiya Brex	67-65
05/10/25	Alvark v Utsunomiya Brex	64-66
03/10/25	Alvark v Utsunomiya Brex	56-81
23/04/25	Utsunomiya Brex v Alvark	61-55
05/03/25	Alvark v Utsunomiya Brex	63-61
21/04/24	Utsunomiya Brex v Alvark	61-70
20/04/24	Utsunomiya Brex v Alvark	80-76
15/10/23	Alvark v Utsunomiya Brex	70-71
14/10/23	Alvark v Utsunomiya Brex	75-60

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/26	A	Saga	112-88
24/10/26	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	82-91
22/10/26	H	Ibaraki Robots	66-69
19/10/26	H	Akita	90-74
17/10/26	A	Gunma	100-86
14/10/26	H	Xac Broncos	113-78
12/10/26	A	Osaka	103-78
10/10/26	A	Brave Thunders	94-82
08/10/26	H	Saga	90-74
04/10/26	A	Chiba	96-71

Utsunomiya Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/26	H	Brave Thunders	89-92
24/10/26	H	Shinshu	87-80
21/10/26	H	Diamond Dolphins	69-98
19/10/26	H	Gunma	83-80
17/10/26	A	Sendai	81-85
11/10/26	H	Akita	71-82
09/10/26	A	Ibaraki Robots	90-79
04/10/26	A	Toyama	99-77
03/10/26	A	Toyama	67-77
27/09/26	H	Yokohama	71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

B League 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	75%
Home	LWWLL	50%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	75%	50%	100%
Points / game	94.1	81.0	107.2
Allowed / game	83.5	77.7	89.3
Point differential	+10.6	+3.3	+17.8
Avg total	177.6	158.7	196.5
Over 168.5	50%	17%	83%
Win by 10+	67%	50%	83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

Utsunomiya Brex

B League 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	45%
Home	LWLWL	43%
Away	LWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	45%	43%	50%
Points / game	81.4	79.7	84.2
Allowed / game	82.0	83.4	79.5
Point differential	-0.6	-3.7	+4.8
Avg total	163.4	163.1	163.8
Over 168.5	27%	14%	50%
Win by 10+	27%	14%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Diamond Dolphins	9	9	0	100%	93.1	74.7	+18.4
2	Hiroshima D.	12	11	1	92%	92.6	80.2	+12.4
3	NeoPhoenix	7	6	1	86%	87.1	79.1	+8.0
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	8	6	2	75%	90.1	77.6	+12.5
5	Alvark	12	9	3	75%	94.1	83.5	+10.6
6	Kyoto	11	8	3	73%	86.4	77.7	+8.6
7	Tokyo Sunrockers	13	9	4	69%	90.2	78.7	+11.5
8	Sendai	13	9	4	69%	85.5	80.1	+5.5
9	Gunma	12	8	4	67%	80.1	73.9	+6.2
10	Toyama	12	7	5	58%	83.8	86.3	-2.6
11	Ryukyu	11	6	5	55%	84.9	81.2	+3.7
12	Levanga Hokkaido	11	6	5	55%	95.2	94.5	+0.6
13	Ibaraki Robots	13	6	7	46%	83.3	78.4	+4.9
14	Nagasaki	13	6	7	46%	76.2	79.5	-3.3
15	Utsunomiya Brex	11	5	6	45%	81.4	82.0	-0.6
16	Shiga	11	5	6	45%	87.5	89.5	-2.1
17	Yokohama	12	5	7	42%	79.6	86.1	-6.5
18	Shimane	11	4	7	36%	81.9	83.5	-1.6
19	Brave Thunders	11	4	7	36%	81.8	85.6	-3.8
20	Chiba	12	4	8	33%	91.6	98.2	-6.6
21	Akita	12	4	8	33%	78.6	85.4	-6.8
22	Shinshu	13	4	9	31%	84.5	87.5	-3.1
23	Altiri Chiba	13	4	9	31%	78.4	86.5	-8.1
24	Kobe	12	2	10	17%	78.0	86.0	-8.0
25	Saga	11	1	10	9%	75.5	94.4	-18.8
26	Osaka	12	1	11	8%	68.5	89.2	-20.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	25	19	31	25	100
Utsunomiya Brex	20	26	18	26	90

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature