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Alvark vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 91-72
24-19 28-18 22-14 17-21
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game57.0
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Koshigaya Alphas
Japan
Position#20
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game57.0
Allowed / game75.0
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Koshigaya Alphas
06 Oct 2024
ALVA91
KOSH72
05 Oct 2024
ALVA75
KOSH57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 75
A20/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
70-61
70
61
+9
60avg 75
A21/04
B League
Gunma
#13
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
76avg 75
H27/04
B League
Gunma
#13
W
80-64
80
64
+16
77avg 75
H28/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
78-66
78
66
+12
73avg 75
A03/05
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 75
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
66avg 75
H10/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
73-69
73
69
+4
72avg 75
H11/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
57-58
57
58
-1
46avg 75
H13/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
75-57
75
57
+18
70avg 75
H05/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
23-15
16-19
18-19
20-11
15-23
16-14
19-13
23-20
15-22
20-13
19-22
34-14
20-11
15-27
11-12
12-12
21-26
27-9
18-19
24-26
15-22
27-15
19-15
18-18
25-11
10-20
14-18
19-9
27-26
13-17
14-17
9-12
20-20
16-16
12-10
16-15
15-7
20-18
24-17
146.4Avg total
76.0Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.057.0132.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)75.057.0132.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.070.4146.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)74.068.6142.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.576.5155.0+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.572.2151.7+7.273%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
77avg 79
A14/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
69avg 79
H20/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
82-65
82
65
+17
82avg 79
H21/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
100-70
100
70
+30
no box
H03/05
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
108-80
108
80
+28
no box
H04/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
91avg 79
A11/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 79
A12/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
81avg 79
A18/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 79
A19/05
B2.League
Alvark
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
47avg 79
A05/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
17-23
30-15
7-22
20-23
19-21
23-23
10-22
19-18
19-14
23-19
21-14
28-16
28-25
22-13
22-16
30-17
28-13
21-24
29-26
22-25
27-16
21-29
14-14
17-19
22-14
16-16
20-23
21-26
25-18
17-21
16-14
25-27
22-25
19-19
21-18
15-16
7-15
18-20
17-24
165.6Avg total
84.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)57.075.0132.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)57.075.0132.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)84.481.2165.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)80.685.0165.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.282.0160.2-3.840%
vs Similar (6)77.384.7162.0-7.317%
vs Weaker (19)89.075.2164.2+13.874%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
AlvarkKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A21/04
B League
Gunma
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H27/04
B League
Gunma
#13
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H28/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A03/05
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H13/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H05/10
B League
73.7Avg total
39.0Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.776.1+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.133.974.0+6.276%-
Last 30 away (13)40.638.278.8+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.773.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.270.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)37.039.076.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.835.276.1+5.673%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A14/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H21/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H03/05
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H04/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A19/05
B2.League
Alvark
#4
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A05/10
B League
83.0Avg total
43.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.884.7+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.138.285.3+8.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.641.484.0+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.483.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.280.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.041.079.0-3.040%-
vs Similar (6)41.741.783.3+0.050%-
vs Weaker (19)47.738.986.6+8.868%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.621.5
48.2%
51.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.8
28.3%
33.4%17.4
🏀 Free throws21.415.5
72.4%
72.7%15.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
51.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.5
36.1%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.010.7
62.9%
72.7%10.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WLWLWWWLWL
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#20
+9.0
Net rating
-2.1
106.7
Offensive rating
103.6
97.7
Defensive rating
105.6
46.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
19.5%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.3%
3-point %
36.1%
61.5%
Assist %
69.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 103.6Defence97.7 · 105.6Shooting46.4% · 52.4%3-point %28.3% · 36.1%Ball care13.4% · 19.5%Off. rebounds32.3% · 31.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Alvark   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alvark wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Alvark v Koshigaya Alphas75-57
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HKoshigaya Alphas75-57
13/05/24HRyukyu57-58
11/05/24HRyukyu73-69
10/05/24HRyukyu80-81 OT
04/05/24AHokkaido85-78
03/05/24AHokkaido78-66
28/04/24HGunma80-64
27/04/24HGunma86-90 OT
21/04/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-61
20/04/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-80
Koshigaya Alphaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AAlvark57-75
19/05/24AShiga87-89
18/05/24AShiga87-96 OT
12/05/24AAltiri Chiba75-72
11/05/24AAltiri Chiba97-93 OT
04/05/24HKumamoto108-80
03/05/24HKumamoto100-70
21/04/24HShiga82-65
20/04/24HShiga72-89
14/04/24AAltiri Chiba79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total132.0132.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game57.0-57.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total132.0-132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shimane220100%81.059.5+21.5
2 Gunma220100%80.562.0+18.5
3 Alvark110100%75.057.0+18.0
4 Chiba220100%85.572.5+13.0
5 Osaka220100%87.076.0+11.0
6 Nagoya Fighting Eagles110100%79.069.0+10.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa110100%74.064.0+10.0
8 Brave Thunders110100%81.073.0+8.0
9 NeoPhoenix110100%96.092.0+4.0
10 Yokohama220100%74.571.5+3.0
11 Kyoto21150%70.562.5+8.0
12 Nagasaki21150%64.563.0+1.5
13 Sun Rockers Shibuya21150%63.064.5-1.5
14 Saga21150%62.570.5-8.0
15 Sendai2020%71.574.5-3.0
16 Ryukyu1010%92.096.0-4.0
17 Akita1010%73.081.0-8.0
18 Diamond Dolphins1010%69.079.0-10.0
19 Ibaraki Robots1010%64.074.0-10.0
20 Shiga2020%76.087.0-11.0
21 Utsunomiya Brex2020%72.585.5-13.0
22 Koshigaya Alphas1010%57.075.0-18.0
23 Hiroshima D.2020%62.080.5-18.5
24 Hokkaido2020%59.581.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2428221791
Koshigaya Alphas1918142172
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