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Koshigaya Alphas vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 100-70
28-16 28-25 22-13 22-16
Position#3
Record35-25
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#5
Record33-27
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game85.3
JapanB2.LeagueB2.League - Quarter-finals· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Kumamoto
04 May 2024
KOSH108
KUMA80
03 May 2024
KOSH100
KUMA70
12 Nov 2023
KOSH95
KUMA59
11 Nov 2023
KOSH90
KUMA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 79
A24/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
91-67
91
67
+24
92avg 79
H27/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
86-93
86
93
-7
82avg 79
H30/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
86avg 79
H31/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
101-94
101
94
+7
101avg 79
A06/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
101-75
101
75
+26
106avg 79
A07/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 79
A13/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
77avg 79
A14/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
69avg 79
H20/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
82-65
82
65
+17
82avg 79
H21/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
22-10
23-19
25-29
27-15
23-20
18-15
23-17
15-22
24-27
27-18
20-26
25-20
21-15
19-27
19-13
32-29
27-18
20-20
22-27
23-14
22-23
28-26
28-12
22-28
16-26
27-16
18-17
25-23
17-23
30-15
7-22
20-23
19-21
23-23
10-22
19-18
19-14
23-19
21-14
166.9Avg total
86.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)83.775.5159.2+8.258%
Season at home (30)83.072.0154.9+11.063%
Season away (30)84.379.0163.4+5.353%
Last 10 (10)86.380.6166.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)83.479.8163.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Similar (4)72.580.8153.2-8.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.076.0162.0+10.067%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
67avg 78
H24/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 78
H27/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
73-90
73
90
-17
63avg 78
A30/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
87avg 78
A31/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
80-89
80
89
-9
76avg 78
H06/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 78
H07/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
92-106
92
106
-14
86avg 78
H13/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
91-85
91
85
+6
94avg 78
H14/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
86avg 78
A20/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 78
A21/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
17-28
16-22
23-23
24-27
25-26
14-22
26-18
12-26
18-18
18-20
25-26
19-20
14-30
27-24
29-24
24-21
20-19
17-23
19-26
18-23
24-22
16-20
23-23
21-34
28-25
28-23
15-24
22-18
26-22
22-25
21-20
16-28
29-22
26-21
18-22
25-16
18-27
17-19
23-22
177.1Avg total
84.6Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)85.285.3170.5-0.155%
Season at home (30)88.685.1173.6+3.573%
Season away (30)81.885.6167.3-3.837%
Last 10 (10)84.692.5177.1-7.910%
Last 5 (5)87.291.2178.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)87.2101.0188.2-13.817%
vs Similar (24)85.786.1171.8-0.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Koshigaya AlphasKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A24/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H27/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H30/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H31/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A06/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A07/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A13/04
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A14/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H21/04
B2.League
84.1Avg total
43.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.783.9+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.137.983.1+7.265%-
Last 30 away (13)43.042.085.0+1.054%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.984.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.050.090.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (4)39.238.577.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.439.084.4+6.367%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H24/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H27/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A30/03
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H13/04
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A20/04
B2.League
Kobe
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/04
B2.League
90.1Avg total
42.3Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.186.4-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.044.489.4+0.646%-
Last 30 away (17)40.243.984.2-3.724%-
Last 10 (10)42.347.890.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)45.447.492.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)44.352.096.3-7.70%-
vs Similar (24)41.842.284.0-0.442%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.3
55.5%
52.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.9
39.9%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.611.5
69.3%
71.0%11.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.7
54.5%
52.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
71.0%15.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
WLLLWWWLWW
Kumamoto
LLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#5
+8.3
Net rating
-10.4
115.1
Offensive rating
110.3
106.7
Defensive rating
120.7
57.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.9%
3-point %
32.7%
69.9%
Assist %
72.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 110.3Defence106.7 · 120.7Shooting57.2% · 52.2%3-point %39.9% · 32.7%Ball care19.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds36.1% · 29.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Koshigaya Alphas wins
2
Kumamoto wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HShiga82-65
20/04/24HShiga72-89
14/04/24AAltiri Chiba79-83
13/04/24AAltiri Chiba83-87
07/04/24AFukushima101-75
06/04/24AFukushima101-94
31/03/24HYamagata Wyverns84-75
30/03/24HYamagata Wyverns86-93
27/03/24HAomori91-67
24/03/24AIwate84-78
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AKobe83-84
20/04/24AKobe89-93
14/04/24HFukuoka91-85
13/04/24HFukuoka92-106
07/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings81-88
06/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings80-89
31/03/24AAomori89-98
30/03/24AAomori73-90
27/03/24HShiga89-93
24/03/24HAltiri Chiba79-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW58%
HomeWLWLW63%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %58%63%53%
Points / game83.783.084.3
Allowed / game75.572.079.0
Point differential+8.2+11.0+5.3
Avg total159.2154.9163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won7% (14)14% (7)0% (7)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL55%
HomeLLLLW73%
AwayWLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %55%73%37%
Points / game85.288.681.8
Allowed / game85.385.185.6
Point differential-0.1+3.5-3.8
Avg total170.5173.6167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)83% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba6056493%91.877.1+14.7
2 Shiga61441772%86.379.2+7.1
3 Fukuoka60362460%78.076.0+2.0
4 Koshigaya Alphas60352558%83.775.5+8.2
5 Kumamoto60332755%85.285.3-0.1
6 Yamagata Wyverns60312952%81.684.2-2.6
7 Aomori61303149%85.687.4-1.8
8 Kobe60293148%79.978.6+1.3
9 Shizuoka60293148%81.081.0+0.0
10 Fukushima60243640%81.784.6-2.9
11 Nara60243640%74.777.7-3.0
12 Ehime Orange Vikings60233738%79.283.7-4.4
13 Iwate60204033%72.375.8-3.6
14 Niigata6075312%72.887.7-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas28282222100
Kumamoto1625131670
← all games of the day
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