Alvark vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 79-61

16-14 21-24 20-11 22-12

Position#4

Record36-14

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game73.0

Alvark 🏆

Kumamoto

Position#11

Record6-45

FormLLLLL

Points / game69.1

Allowed / game85.3

NBLRound 30

Other2014-15

Meetings · Alvark v Kumamoto

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tsukuba

#12

89-51

+38

A25/03

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

97-73

+24

A28/03

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

70-58

+12

A29/03

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

85-80

A04/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

92-86

A05/04

NBL

Hiroshima D.

101-76

101

+25

A11/04

NBL

Hiroshima D.

91-77

+14

A12/04

NBL

Trians

#13

111-74

111

+37

A18/04

NBL

Trians

#13

93-62

+31

A19/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

90-47

+43

H24/04

NBL

28-13

17-12

27-12

17-14

19-19

31-17

27-12

20-25

6-16

28-12

17-17

19-13

21-23

16-10

27-22

21-25

24-27

22-22

22-15

24-22

22-17

32-21

27-21

20-17

19-16

17-12

25-24

30-25

33-22

34-9

24-23

20-20

21-16

23-15

29-17

20-14

21-8

18-13

32-10

19-16

160.3Avg total

91.9Scored

68.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (50)	86.7	73.0	159.8	+13.7	72%
Season at home (25)	85.3	75.0	160.3	+10.4	64%
Season away (25)	88.1	71.1	159.2	+17.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	68.4	160.3	+23.5	100%
Last 5 (5)	97.2	67.2	164.4	+30.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	85.4	80.4	165.8	+5.0	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	90.8	68.2	159.0	+22.6	86%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

#13

81-73

A25/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

79-70

A28/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

67-77

-10

A29/03

NBL

Tochigi Brex

61-94

-33

H04/04

NBL

Tochigi Brex

66-74

-8

H05/04

NBL

Hokkaido

82-84

-2

A11/04

NBL

Hokkaido

77-87

-10

A12/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

90-96

-6

H18/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

63-94

-31

H19/04

NBL

Alvark

47-90

-43

A24/04

NBL

25-18

12-21

27-15

17-19

15-16

18-17

20-13

26-24

16-12

17-16

10-17

24-32

18-21

10-22

21-29

12-22

11-14

19-27

11-17

25-16

24-14

18-23

14-27

26-20

14-14

19-30

20-23

24-20

24-24

28-17

16-31

22-24

18-27

19-25

13-30

13-12

8-21

13-18

10-32

16-19

155.2Avg total

71.3Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (51)	69.1	85.3	154.4	-16.1	12%
Season at home (25)	71.0	86.8	157.8	-15.8	8%
Season away (26)	67.3	83.8	151.1	-16.4	15%
Last 10 (10)	71.3	83.9	155.2	-12.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	90.2	162.0	-18.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	69.4	88.7	158.1	-19.2	0%
vs Similar (4)	78.0	76.2	154.2	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker (1)	81.0	73.0	154.0	+8.0	100%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkKumamoto

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	14.0	34.3	+6.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	15.8	39.0	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.1	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	21.2	37.6	-4.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	21.5	37.8	-5.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	15.3	22.1	37.4	-6.8	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	16.8	37.5	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	16.1	38.7	+6.5	87%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	17.2	39.6	+5.3	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.7	15.2	37.9	+7.5	82%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	14.3	38.1	+9.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	14.0	38.8	+10.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.9	16.1	37.0	+4.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.2	16.0	39.3	+7.2	95%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	21.2	36.9	-5.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.3	21.6	35.9	-7.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.6	38.9	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	15.4	21.6	37.0	-6.2	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	12.0	21.0	33.0	-9.0	0%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tsukuba

#12

45-25

+20

A25/03

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

50-36

+14

A28/03

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

34-28

A29/03

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-33

A04/04

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

46-49

-3

A05/04

NBL

Hiroshima D.

54-38

+16

A11/04

NBL

Hiroshima D.

36-28

A12/04

NBL

Trians

#13

67-31

+36

A18/04

NBL

Trians

#13

44-31

+13

A19/04

NBL

Kumamoto

#11

39-21

+18

H24/04

NBL

77.2Avg total

45.2Scored

32.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	32.3	75.3	+10.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.8	31.2	73.9	+11.6	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.2	33.1	76.4	+10.1	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	32.0	77.2	+13.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	29.8	77.8	+18.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	39.6	35.8	75.4	+3.9	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.3	31.0	75.3	+13.3	86%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

#13

37-39

-2

A25/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

33-33

A28/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

33-28

A29/03

NBL

Tochigi Brex

28-43

-15

H04/04

NBL

Tochigi Brex

30-41

-11

H05/04

NBL

Hokkaido

42-37

A11/04

NBL

Hokkaido

33-44

-11

A12/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

52-41

+11

H18/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

37-52

-15

H19/04

NBL

Alvark

21-39

-18

A24/04

NBL

74.3Avg total

34.6Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.1	42.4	74.5	-10.3	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.5	42.2	75.7	-8.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	30.7	42.6	73.3	-11.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	39.7	74.3	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	42.6	79.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	30.7	43.7	74.4	-13.0	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.8	35.0	74.8	+4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	0%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	19.1	42.5	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.4	17.2	40.5	+6.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.5	20.5	44.1	+3.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	17.3	43.0	+8.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	19.0	46.4	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.5	18.4	42.8	+6.1	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.9	40.2	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	23.4	39.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	28.6	43.2	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.8	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	17.2	34.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	15.0	42.0	+12.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	20.2	41.3	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	19.2	42.1	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	22.1	21.8	43.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.2	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	22.7	44.9	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	20.6	22.0	42.7	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	24.0	45.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	38.7	84.3	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.5	37.3	81.8	+7.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	46.4	39.8	86.1	+6.6	82%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	36.4	83.1	+10.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	37.4	86.6	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	42.9	42.8	85.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.5	37.2	83.8	+9.3	91%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	44.1	83.0	-5.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	43.5	81.1	-6.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	44.7	84.9	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	44.2	80.9	-7.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	47.6	82.4	-12.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	38.8	45.0	83.7	-6.2	24%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.2	41.2	79.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	44.0	34.0	78.0	+10.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Kumamoto wins

Date	Game	Score
24/04/15	Alvark v Kumamoto	90-47
08/03/15	Kumamoto v Alvark	76-105
07/03/15	Kumamoto v Alvark	52-105
16/03/14	Alvark v Kumamoto	104-70
15/03/14	Alvark v Kumamoto	106-75
02/02/14	Kumamoto v Alvark	68-112
01/02/14	Kumamoto v Alvark	65-108

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/15	H	Kumamoto	90-47
19/04/15	A	Trians	93-62
18/04/15	A	Trians	111-74
12/04/15	A	Hiroshima D.	91-77
11/04/15	A	Hiroshima D.	101-76
05/04/15	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	92-86
04/04/15	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	85-80
29/03/15	A	Diamond Dolphins	70-58
28/03/15	A	Diamond Dolphins	97-73
25/03/15	A	Tsukuba	89-51

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/15	A	Alvark	47-90
19/04/15	H	Brave Thunders	63-94
18/04/15	H	Brave Thunders	90-96
12/04/15	A	Hokkaido	77-87
11/04/15	A	Hokkaido	82-84
05/04/15	H	Tochigi Brex	66-74
04/04/15	H	Tochigi Brex	61-94
29/03/15	A	Tsukuba	67-77
28/03/15	A	Tsukuba	79-70
25/03/15	A	Trians	81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	72%
Home	WWWWW	64%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	50	25	25
Win %	72%	64%	80%
Points / game	86.7	85.3	88.1
Allowed / game	73.0	75.0	71.1
Point differential	+13.7	+10.4	+17.0
Avg total	159.8	160.3	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	48%	68%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Kumamoto

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	12%
Home	LLLLL	8%
Away	WLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	51	25	26
Win %	12%	8%	15%
Points / game	69.1	71.0	67.3
Allowed / game	85.3	86.8	83.8
Point differential	-16.1	-15.8	-16.4
Avg total	154.4	157.8	151.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	4%	4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	33% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sun Rockers	50	42	8	84%	83.4	71.1	+12.3
2	SeaHorses Mikawa	50	40	10	80%	82.1	70.0	+12.1
3	Tochigi Brex	49	39	10	80%	85.3	72.7	+12.6
4	Brave Thunders	50	37	13	74%	84.7	73.8	+10.9
5	Alvark	50	36	14	72%	86.7	73.0	+13.7
6	Chiba	49	31	18	63%	75.7	71.4	+4.2
7	Diamond Dolphins	50	28	22	56%	80.0	76.5	+3.5
8	Hokkaido	52	20	32	38%	74.9	77.0	-2.2
9	Hiroshima D.	50	19	31	38%	72.1	75.3	-3.2
10	Kobe	51	17	34	33%	73.8	80.0	-6.3
11	Tsukuba	50	6	44	12%	66.4	83.4	-17.0
12	Kumamoto	51	6	45	12%	69.1	85.3	-16.1
13	Trians	50	5	45	10%	64.9	88.7	-23.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	16	21	20	22	79
Kumamoto	14	24	11	12	61

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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