Kumamoto vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 65-108

16-20 22-23 18-37 9-28

Position#12

Record5-23

FormLLWLL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game89.6

Kumamoto

Alvark 🏆

Position#2

Record20-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game70.7

NBLRound 15

Other2013-14

Meetings · Kumamoto v Alvark

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobe

#11

83-86 OT

-3

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

88-74

+14

H01/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

81-109

109

-28

H07/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

85-97

-12

H08/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

77-87

-10

A14/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

71-91

-20

A15/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

77-90

-13

H21/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

85-69

+16

H22/12

NBL

Chiba

54-58

-4

A25/01

NBL

Chiba

76-87

-11

A26/01

NBL

21-19

14-13

27-27

14-17

26-22

14-23

21-13

27-16

26-28

13-30

25-33

17-18

22-20

16-27

25-24

22-26

16-20

23-17

21-27

17-23

21-22

18-22

16-14

16-33

16-31

16-29

24-18

21-12

30-13

18-12

18-16

19-28

19-9

10-18

12-18

13-13

14-17

16-25

21-17

25-28

162.5Avg total

77.7Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.3	89.6	169.0	-10.3	18%
Season at home (14)	80.7	87.1	167.9	-6.4	29%
Season away (14)	77.9	92.1	170.1	-14.2	7%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	84.8	162.5	-7.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	79.0	151.6	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	78.7	93.6	172.3	-14.9	10%
vs Similar (8)	80.9	79.8	160.6	+1.1	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

98-84 OT

+14

H30/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

88-61

+27

H01/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

105-71

105

+34

A07/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

102-63

102

+39

A08/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

76-78

-2

H13/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

73-84

-11

H14/12

NBL

Trians

81-63

+18

A21/12

NBL

Trians

91-61

+30

A22/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

113-57

113

+56

H25/01

NBL

Kobe

#11

90-75

+15

H26/01

NBL

28-23

13-11

22-23

12-18

20-11

15-16

26-19

27-15

27-14

27-17

20-25

31-15

23-15

18-20

28-12

33-16

23-21

15-14

18-27

20-16

10-29

19-23

23-16

21-16

20-13

21-18

20-14

20-18

23-12

22-15

23-18

23-16

29-18

32-13

31-15

21-11

21-20

23-17

23-23

23-15

161.4Avg total

91.7Scored

69.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	84.1	70.7	154.8	+13.4	71%
Season at home (14)	84.7	70.8	155.5	+13.9	71%
Season away (14)	83.5	70.6	154.1	+12.9	71%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	69.7	161.4	+22.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	68.0	157.6	+21.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	80.8	86.8	167.5	-6.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	84.0	67.6	151.6	+16.4	81%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KumamotoAlvark

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	22.2	43.3	-1.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	21.9	43.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.6	43.4	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.8	23.1	44.0	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.2	20.2	38.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.5	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	15.8	22.8	38.5	-7.0	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.5	22.4	37.9	-6.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.0	23.1	39.1	-7.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	21.6	37.4	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.1	23.8	39.9	-7.6	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.9	20.2	35.1	-5.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	15.8	36.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	15.9	35.4	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	15.7	36.6	+5.2	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.2	40.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	21.2	18.2	39.5	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.1	15.4	35.5	+4.7	73%	-

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kobe

#11

35-32

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

40-45

-5

H01/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

39-58

-19

H07/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

38-47

-9

H08/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

39-37

A14/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

39-44

-5

A15/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

32-60

-28

H21/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

48-25

+23

H22/12

NBL

Chiba

29-27

A25/01

NBL

Chiba

30-42

-12

A26/01

NBL

78.6Avg total

36.9Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.8	45.0	81.8	-8.2	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.7	44.3	81.0	-7.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	45.7	82.6	-8.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	41.7	78.6	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	39.6	75.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.9	46.9	83.8	-10.0	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	40.2	76.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

41-34

H30/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

35-27

H01/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

54-31

+23

A07/12

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

41-35

A08/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

38-35

H13/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

29-52

-23

H14/12

NBL

Trians

41-31

+10

A21/12

NBL

Trians

45-27

+18

A22/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

61-31

+30

H25/01

NBL

Kobe

#11

44-37

H26/01

NBL

76.9Avg total

42.9Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	33.2	73.5	+7.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	33.4	73.4	+6.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.7	32.9	73.6	+7.8	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	34.0	76.9	+8.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	35.6	79.6	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	40.5	32.3	72.8	+8.1	85%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.1	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.7	22.0	46.7	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	23.6	23.1	46.7	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.4	41.4	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	18.3	37.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	19.2	42.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.2	41.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.5	24.2	42.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	18%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	24.0	43.1	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.5	23.3	40.8	-5.8	5%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	17.9	39.7	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	18.4	40.8	+4.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	15.6	38.7	+7.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.2	36.8	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	22.8	24.0	46.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.7	16.9	38.7	+4.8	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	41.8	44.0	85.8	-2.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	41.6	84.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	46.4	87.5	-5.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	42.1	82.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.4	76.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	41.1	46.4	87.5	-5.2	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	38.2	81.8	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	36.7	79.2	+5.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	36.7	79.9	+6.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	36.7	78.6	+5.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	34.8	81.3	+11.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	32.4	78.0	+13.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	41.2	48.2	89.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.7	34.9	77.6	+7.7	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kumamoto wins

Alvark wins

No previous meetings.

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/14	A	Chiba	76-87
25/01/14	A	Chiba	54-58
22/12/13	H	Sun Rockers	85-69
21/12/13	H	Sun Rockers	77-90
15/12/13	A	Tochigi Brex	71-91
14/12/13	A	Tochigi Brex	77-87
08/12/13	H	Brave Thunders	85-97
07/12/13	H	Brave Thunders	81-109
01/12/13	H	Kobe	88-74
30/11/13	H	Kobe	83-86 OT

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/14	H	Kobe	90-75
25/01/14	H	Kobe	113-57
22/12/13	A	Trians	91-61
21/12/13	A	Trians	81-63
14/12/13	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	73-84
13/12/13	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	76-78
08/12/13	A	Tsukuba	102-63
07/12/13	A	Tsukuba	105-71
01/12/13	H	Sun Rockers	88-61
30/11/13	H	Sun Rockers	98-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	18%
Home	WLLLW	29%
Away	LLLLL	7%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	18%	29%	7%
Points / game	79.3	80.7	77.9
Allowed / game	89.6	87.1	92.1
Point differential	-10.3	-6.4	-14.2
Avg total	169.0	167.9	170.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	14%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Alvark

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	71%
Home	WLLWW	71%
Away	WWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	71%	71%	71%
Points / game	84.1	84.7	83.5
Allowed / game	70.7	70.8	70.6
Point differential	+13.4	+13.9	+12.9
Avg total	154.8	155.5	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	64%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	29	26	3	90%	87.5	74.7	+12.8
2	Brave Thunders	29	25	4	86%	88.6	74.7	+13.9
3	Trians	29	21	8	72%	84.6	76.2	+8.4
4	Alvark	28	20	8	71%	84.1	70.7	+13.4
5	Hokkaido	29	17	12	59%	79.1	76.8	+2.3
6	Diamond Dolphins	29	16	13	55%	79.2	75.4	+3.8
7	Tochigi Brex	30	16	14	53%	79.5	79.1	+0.4
8	Chiba	29	8	21	28%	68.8	75.7	-6.9
9	Sun Rockers	29	8	21	28%	73.9	82.5	-8.6
10	Tsukuba	29	6	23	21%	68.3	85.2	-17.0
11	Kobe	30	6	24	20%	73.6	85.3	-11.7
12	Kumamoto	28	5	23	18%	79.3	89.6	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kumamoto	16	22	18	9	65
Alvark	20	23	37	28	108

← all games of the day

Kumamoto vs Alvark Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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