Kumamoto vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 52-105

10-43 15-25 16-20 11-17

Position#11

Record4-31

FormLLLLL

Points / game69.3

Allowed / game84.2

Kumamoto

Alvark 🏆

Position#4

Record22-14

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game75.1

NBLRound 22

Other2014-15

Meetings · Kumamoto v Alvark

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

75-109

109

-34

A01/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

90-94

-4

H07/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

76-64

+12

H08/02

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

73-75

-2

A11/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

71-84

-13

A14/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

80-106

106

-26

A15/02

NBL

Hokkaido

80-83

-3

H21/02

NBL

Hokkaido

70-78

-8

H22/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

68-93

-25

A28/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

63-84

-21

A01/03

NBL

15-23

19-25

16-26

25-35

26-25

23-24

24-23

17-22

26-14

18-16

15-16

17-18

16-25

13-16

21-22

23-12

13-20

16-22

21-14

21-28

15-33

19-22

17-26

29-25

15-19

16-20

19-17

30-27

9-20

21-21

19-19

21-18

17-18

8-24

19-33

24-18

18-26

16-22

13-17

16-19

161.6Avg total

74.6Scored

87.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	69.3	84.2	153.5	-14.9	11%
Season at home (17)	72.1	84.4	156.5	-12.4	12%
Season away (18)	66.7	84.1	150.7	-17.4	11%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	87.0	161.6	-12.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	88.8	161.0	-16.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	68.4	83.8	152.2	-15.4	8%
vs Similar (2)	83.0	79.0	162.0	+4.0	50%
vs Weaker (2)	72.0	68.0	140.0	+4.0	50%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

69-81

-12

A01/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

114-82

114

+32

H07/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

87-78

H08/02

NBL

Chiba

72-80

-8

H11/02

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

84-89

-5

H14/02

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

90-82 OT

H15/02

NBL

Hiroshima D.

80-67

+13

H21/02

NBL

Hiroshima D.

86-66

+20

H22/02

NBL

Trians

#13

104-60

104

+44

H28/02

NBL

Trians

#13

100-60

100

+40

H01/03

NBL

14-18

19-26

12-17

24-20

27-16

27-20

34-20

26-26

22-19

22-18

21-15

22-26

15-8

25-21

4-26

28-25

25-20

18-19

17-24

24-26

17-13

20-19

17-23

13-12

16-10

20-17

21-13

23-27

18-18

30-21

27-9

11-18

27-11

25-19

33-15

19-15

27-12

30-16

28-17

15-15

163.1Avg total

88.6Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	84.2	75.1	159.4	+9.1	61%
Season at home (22)	85.0	76.9	161.9	+8.0	59%
Season away (14)	83.1	72.4	155.5	+10.8	64%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	74.5	163.1	+14.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.0	67.0	159.0	+25.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	82.6	84.7	167.3	-2.1	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	84.1	71.5	155.6	+12.6	70%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KumamotoAlvark

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.5	21.6	37.1	-6.1	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.9	20.9	36.9	-5.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.2	22.2	37.4	-7.0	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	22.3	39.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	23.2	38.0	-8.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	14.9	22.0	36.9	-7.2	8%	-
vs Similar (2)	26.0	19.5	45.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	13.5	18.0	31.5	-4.5	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	19.6	15.4	35.0	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	14.5	35.3	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	12.8	33.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.8	15.3	34.1	+3.4	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	19.4	35.7	-3.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	19.7	35.9	-3.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.2	38.1	-4.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.8	37.8	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	15.8	19.3	35.2	-3.5	19%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.6	37.6	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.9	16.1	37.0	+4.8	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.4	43.4	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.1	16.9	37.0	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.4	16.5	37.9	+4.9	80%	-

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

34-48

-14

A01/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

49-49

H07/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

44-30

+14

H08/02

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

29-41

-12

A11/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

29-42

-13

A14/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

34-55

-21

A15/02

NBL

Hokkaido

31-39

-8

H21/02

NBL

Hokkaido

30-41

-11

H22/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

25-42

-17

A28/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

34-48

-14

A01/03

NBL

77.4Avg total

33.9Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.9	41.0	72.8	-9.1	7%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	32.4	39.9	72.3	-7.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.4	41.9	73.3	-10.4	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	43.5	77.4	-9.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	45.0	75.8	-14.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	30.7	41.4	72.1	-10.7	4%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.5	39.5	86.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.0	37.0	69.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

33-44

-11

A01/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

54-36

+18

H07/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

44-37

H08/02

NBL

Chiba

40-29

+11

H11/02

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

43-39

H14/02

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-32

H15/02

NBL

Hiroshima D.

36-27

H21/02

NBL

Hiroshima D.

48-39

H22/02

NBL

Trians

#13

52-30

+22

H28/02

NBL

Trians

#13

57-28

+29

H01/03

NBL

78.5Avg total

44.4Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	33.1	72.8	+6.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	40.5	32.4	72.9	+8.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.1	34.5	72.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	34.1	78.5	+10.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	31.2	77.2	+14.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	39.0	35.5	74.5	+3.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.1	31.9	72.0	+8.2	75%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.0	37.9	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.3	39.7	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.1	20.7	37.8	-3.6	35%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	12.0	38.0	+14.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	15.4	40.6	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.5	22.8	41.3	-4.3	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.4	41.4	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.6	39.9	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 away (10)	23.6	18.6	42.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	21.3	22.5	43.8	-1.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.9	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	41.5	79.2	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	43.4	82.6	-4.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	39.8	76.2	-3.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	43.5	84.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.8	85.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	37.7	42.4	80.1	-4.7	31%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.5	39.5	76.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	31.0	71.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.1	83.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	41.8	41.2	83.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	43.1	40.7	83.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	38.9	80.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	32.8	74.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	39.8	45.3	85.1	-5.5	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.4	39.0	82.3	+4.4	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kumamoto wins

Alvark wins

Date	Game	Score
16/03/14	Alvark v Kumamoto	104-70
15/03/14	Alvark v Kumamoto	106-75
02/02/14	Kumamoto v Alvark	68-112
01/02/14	Kumamoto v Alvark	65-108

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/15	A	Brave Thunders	63-84
28/02/15	A	Brave Thunders	68-93
22/02/15	H	Hokkaido	70-78
21/02/15	H	Hokkaido	80-83
15/02/15	A	Tochigi Brex	80-106
14/02/15	A	Tochigi Brex	71-84
11/02/15	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	73-75
08/02/15	H	Tsukuba	76-64
07/02/15	H	Tsukuba	90-94
01/02/15	A	Diamond Dolphins	75-109

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/15	H	Trians	100-60
28/02/15	H	Trians	104-60
22/02/15	H	Hiroshima D.	86-66
21/02/15	H	Hiroshima D.	80-67
15/02/15	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	90-82 OT
14/02/15	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	84-89
11/02/15	H	Chiba	72-80
08/02/15	H	Diamond Dolphins	87-78
07/02/15	H	Diamond Dolphins	114-82
01/02/15	A	Sun Rockers	69-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	11%
Home	LLWLL	12%
Away	LLLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	11%	12%	11%
Points / game	69.3	72.1	66.7
Allowed / game	84.2	84.4	84.1
Point differential	-14.9	-12.4	-17.4
Avg total	153.5	156.5	150.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	6%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Alvark

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	61%
Home	WWWWW	59%
Away	LLLWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	22	14
Win %	61%	59%	64%
Points / game	84.2	85.0	83.1
Allowed / game	75.1	76.9	72.4
Point differential	+9.1	+8.0	+10.8
Avg total	159.4	161.9	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	45%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	36	31	5	86%	83.9	69.6	+14.2
2	Sun Rockers	37	30	7	81%	82.9	72.8	+10.1
3	Tochigi Brex	38	29	9	76%	84.4	73.6	+10.8
4	Brave Thunders	37	27	10	73%	83.1	72.7	+10.4
5	Diamond Dolphins	36	23	13	64%	82.7	76.5	+6.2
6	Alvark	36	22	14	61%	84.2	75.1	+9.1
7	Chiba	36	21	15	58%	74.4	72.2	+2.2
8	Hiroshima D.	35	15	20	43%	72.4	72.6	-0.2
9	Kobe	36	14	22	39%	73.2	77.6	-4.3
10	Hokkaido	39	14	25	36%	74.6	76.8	-2.2
11	Kumamoto	35	4	31	11%	69.3	84.2	-14.9
12	Trians	35	4	31	11%	63.7	86.6	-22.9
13	Tsukuba	38	3	35	8%	65.3	84.7	-19.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kumamoto	10	15	16	11	52
Alvark	43	25	20	17	105

← all games of the day

Kumamoto vs Alvark Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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