Alvark vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2014

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 105-86

33-16 28-22 14-32 30-16

Position#2

Record45-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game69.2

Alvark 🏆

Tochigi Brex

Position#6

Record31-23

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game78.2

NBLNBL - Quarter-finals

Other2013-14

Meetings · Alvark v Tochigi Brex

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tochigi Brex winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

86-71

+15

A29/03

NBL

Hokkaido

76-56

+20

A30/03

NBL

Tochigi Brex

89-74

+15

H04/04

NBL

Tochigi Brex

80-79

H05/04

NBL

Chiba

66-54

+12

A12/04

NBL

Chiba

81-62

+19

A13/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

75-64

+11

H18/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

100-67

100

+33

H19/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

74-80

-6

A25/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

95-59

+36

A26/04

NBL

26-22

18-12

23-20

19-17

19-15

17-8

20-19

20-14

16-20

29-17

21-15

23-22

13-22

14-23

25-20

28-14

11-17

8-13

23-11

24-13

14-14

13-16

26-17

28-15

14-13

16-17

22-18

23-16

20-13

29-18

28-20

22-14

15-16

19-22

18-28

28-21

23-9

21-20

23-9

148.8Avg total

82.2Scored

66.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (54)	86.5	69.2	155.7	+17.3	83%
Season at home (26)	86.8	69.5	156.3	+17.3	85%
Season away (28)	86.2	69.0	155.2	+17.2	82%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	66.6	148.8	+15.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	66.4	151.4	+18.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	84.5	69.5	154.0	+15.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	90.0	67.0	157.0	+23.1	100%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brave Thunders

87-92 OT

-5

H29/03

NBL

Brave Thunders

89-85 OT

H30/03

NBL

Alvark

74-89

-15

A04/04

NBL

Alvark

79-80

-1

A05/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

85-76

H12/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

89-77

+12

H13/04

NBL

Hokkaido

97-74

+23

A19/04

NBL

Hokkaido

66-79

-13

A20/04

NBL

Chiba

88-93

-5

H26/04

NBL

Chiba

83-73

+10

H27/04

NBL

18-15

22-17

16-26

18-16

22-22

9-14

17-26

27-13

20-16

17-29

15-21

22-23

22-13

23-14

20-25

14-28

27-10

15-24

17-26

26-16

19-24

26-16

19-15

25-22

21-20

29-19

24-10

23-25

15-16

10-23

23-25

18-15

21-27

24-18

19-26

24-22

22-21

26-19

20-16

15-17

165.5Avg total

83.7Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (54)	81.0	78.2	159.2	+2.8	57%
Season at home (28)	82.6	79.7	162.3	+3.0	57%
Season away (26)	79.2	76.6	155.8	+2.6	58%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	81.8	165.5	+1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	79.2	163.8	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	77.0	81.3	158.3	-4.3	27%
vs Similar (6)	79.2	79.3	158.5	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker (13)	86.4	73.5	159.9	+12.8	92%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkTochigi Brex

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.3	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	16.4	38.1	+5.2	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.6	35.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	25.0	17.5	42.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.0	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.4	39.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.6	64%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	19.7	36.5	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	14.3	36.0	+7.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	15.3	39.1	+8.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	13.4	33.2	+6.4	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	14.4	31.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	14.2	31.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	19.0	12.5	31.5	+6.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.9	14.4	36.3	+7.5	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.9	38.4	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	20.2	38.8	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+2.9	77%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

44-34

+10

A29/03

NBL

Hokkaido

36-23

+13

A30/03

NBL

Tochigi Brex

45-37

H04/04

NBL

Tochigi Brex

27-45

-18

H05/04

NBL

Chiba

19-30

-11

A12/04

NBL

Chiba

27-30

-3

A13/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

30-30

H18/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

43-29

+14

H19/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

37-30

A25/04

NBL

Brave Thunders

51-30

+21

A26/04

NBL

67.7Avg total

35.9Scored

31.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	31.1	73.8	+11.7	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.2	32.4	76.6	+11.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	29.9	71.3	+11.6	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	31.8	67.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	29.8	67.4	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	44.0	30.0	74.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	42.6	31.1	73.8	+11.5	79%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brave Thunders

40-32

H29/03

NBL

Brave Thunders

31-36

-5

H30/03

NBL

Alvark

37-45

-8

A04/04

NBL

Alvark

45-27

+18

A05/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

42-34

H12/04

NBL

Sun Rockers

45-40

H13/04

NBL

Hokkaido

50-39

+11

A19/04

NBL

Hokkaido

25-39

-14

A20/04

NBL

Chiba

45-45

H26/04

NBL

Chiba

48-40

H27/04

NBL

78.5Avg total

40.8Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.0	77.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	38.3	79.6	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	37.7	74.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.7	78.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.6	83.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.4	37.3	72.6	-1.9	45%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.5	39.8	75.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (13)	44.1	37.8	81.9	+6.2	77%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.2	18.6	43.8	+6.6	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.6	17.8	43.4	+7.8	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.8	19.3	44.1	+5.5	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.0	40.9	+4.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.0	42.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	25.5	18.4	44.0	+7.1	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.0	39.6	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.6	39.9	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.2	39.4	+0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	18%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.4	18.5	37.8	+0.9	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	17.5	39.2	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	17.4	39.8	+4.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	16.8	40.2	+6.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.6	41.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.9	17.4	39.2	+4.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	17.9	40.3	+4.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.7	45%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.9	17.2	40.2	+5.7	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	36.1	83.0	+10.9	87%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.7	35.3	82.0	+11.4	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	47.1	36.8	83.9	+10.4	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	34.8	81.1	+11.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	36.6	84.0	+10.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	40.5	39.5	80.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	47.4	35.8	83.2	+11.6	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.6	80.0	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	39.9	80.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	37.1	79.6	+5.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	41.3	81.5	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	39.2	41.5	80.6	-2.3	45%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.7	39.5	83.2	+4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.3	35.7	78.0	+6.6	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Tochigi Brex wins

Date	Game	Score
05/04/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	80-79
04/04/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	89-74
03/11/13	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	86-85
02/11/13	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	73-77
29/09/13	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	98-78
28/09/13	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	86-78
19/02/12	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	108-86 OT
18/02/12	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	94-83
04/12/11	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	58-75
03/12/11	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	72-83

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/14	A	Brave Thunders	95-59
25/04/14	A	Brave Thunders	74-80
19/04/14	H	Sun Rockers	100-67
18/04/14	H	Sun Rockers	75-64
13/04/14	A	Chiba	81-62
12/04/14	A	Chiba	66-54
05/04/14	H	Tochigi Brex	80-79
04/04/14	H	Tochigi Brex	89-74
30/03/14	A	Hokkaido	76-56
29/03/14	A	Hokkaido	86-71

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/14	H	Chiba	83-73
26/04/14	H	Chiba	88-93
20/04/14	A	Hokkaido	66-79
19/04/14	A	Hokkaido	97-74
13/04/14	H	Sun Rockers	89-77
12/04/14	H	Sun Rockers	85-76
05/04/14	A	Alvark	79-80
04/04/14	A	Alvark	74-89
30/03/14	H	Brave Thunders	89-85 OT
29/03/14	H	Brave Thunders	87-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	83%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	WWWLW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	54	26	28
Win %	83%	85%	82%
Points / game	86.5	86.8	86.2
Allowed / game	69.2	69.5	69.0
Point differential	+17.3	+17.3	+17.2
Avg total	155.7	156.3	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	73%	68%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	67% (3)	60% (5)
Overtime %	2%	4%	0%

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	57%
Home	WWWLW	57%
Away	WLLWL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	54	28	26
Win %	57%	57%	58%
Points / game	81.0	82.6	79.2
Allowed / game	78.2	79.7	76.6
Point differential	+2.8	+3.0	+2.6
Avg total	159.2	162.3	155.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	29%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	44% (9)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brave Thunders	54	46	8	85%	87.3	75.3	+11.9
2	Alvark	54	45	9	83%	86.5	69.2	+17.3
3	Trians	54	41	13	76%	85.2	75.8	+9.4
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	54	40	14	74%	84.1	74.4	+9.7
5	Hokkaido	54	31	23	57%	79.3	75.5	+3.8
6	Tochigi Brex	54	31	23	57%	81.0	78.2	+2.8
7	Diamond Dolphins	54	29	25	54%	78.6	75.8	+2.9
8	Sun Rockers	54	18	36	33%	74.4	79.7	-5.3
9	Chiba	54	18	36	33%	69.4	75.4	-6.0
10	Tsukuba	54	10	44	19%	67.7	85.2	-17.5
11	Kobe	54	9	45	17%	73.0	85.8	-12.7
12	Kumamoto	54	6	48	11%	74.6	90.8	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	33	28	14	30	105
Tochigi Brex	16	22	32	16	86

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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