Alvark vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 10:15

Final 70-85

24-18 11-19 18-22 17-26

Position#4

Record6-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game71.2

Alvark

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Position#3

Record6-2

FormLWWWW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game78.8

NBLRound 5

Other2014-15

Meetings · Alvark v Tochigi Brex

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brave Thunders

61-78

-17

A10/05

NBL

Brave Thunders

71-86

-15

A11/05

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

82-62

+20

A11/10

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

95-59

+36

A12/10

NBL

Hokkaido

73-92

-19

H17/10

NBL

Hokkaido

100-76

100

+24

H18/10

NBL

Kobe

#10

94-66

+28

A25/10

NBL

Kobe

#10

81-74

A26/10

NBL

Chiba

69-72

-3

A01/11

NBL

Chiba

94-69

+25

A02/11

NBL

20-24

14-19

11-17

16-18

23-20

20-12

10-33

18-21

15-20

23-2

20-21

24-19

18-12

27-11

28-16

22-20

17-27

23-27

19-19

14-19

23-15

28-22

26-14

23-25

26-10

24-12

28-24

16-20

17-19

19-19

16-18

29-18

15-22

21-14

12-20

21-16

22-13

31-19

15-21

26-16

155.4Avg total

82.0Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	86.0	71.2	157.2	+14.8	75%
Season at home (2)	86.5	84.0	170.5	+2.5	50%
Season away (6)	85.8	67.0	152.8	+18.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	73.4	155.4	+8.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	71.4	159.0	+16.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	75.2	75.8	151.0	-0.5	25%
vs Weaker (26)	87.2	70.8	157.9	+16.4	88%

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

95-81

+14

A04/05

NBL

Alvark

59-74

-15

A05/05

NBL

Brave Thunders

87-84

A10/10

NBL

Brave Thunders

92-75

+17

A11/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

59-91

-32

H18/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

78-92

-14

H19/10

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

98-77

+21

A25/10

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

105-69

105

+36

A26/10

NBL

Hokkaido

97-76

+21

H01/11

NBL

Hokkaido

72-66

H02/11

NBL

26-18

18-20

23-26

28-17

21-20

18-16

7-10

13-28

27-26

21-15

19-26

20-17

29-16

12-22

26-14

25-23

17-18

9-15

15-30

18-28

10-20

19-23

21-27

28-22

24-15

27-9

23-22

24-31

34-14

21-14

20-22

30-19

22-17

25-18

28-22

22-19

24-17

20-17

13-16

15-16

162.7Avg total

84.2Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	86.0	78.8	164.8	+7.2	75%
Season at home (4)	76.5	81.2	157.8	-4.8	50%
Season away (4)	95.5	76.2	171.8	+19.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	78.5	162.7	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	76.0	166.0	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	77.5	82.0	159.5	-4.5	27%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	79.9	82.8	162.6	-2.9	50%
vs Weaker (11)	91.1	74.7	165.8	+16.4	91%

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkTochigi Brex

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.6	17.3	37.9	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.8	36.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (26)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.1	41.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.6	39.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	73%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.8	18.4	42.2	+5.5	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	15.3	36.9	+6.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.3	19.3	42.7	+4.0	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.6	12.6	33.1	+8.0	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	15.7	38.7	+7.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.2	41.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.0	14.0	32.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	22.2	15.5	37.7	+6.8	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.3	37.8	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.2	38.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.1	16.5	39.6	+6.5	91%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brave Thunders

34-43

-9

A10/05

NBL

Brave Thunders

43-32

+11

A11/05

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

38-22

+16

A11/10

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

45-23

+22

A12/10

NBL

Hokkaido

40-54

-14

H17/10

NBL

Hokkaido

51-37

+14

H18/10

NBL

Kobe

#10

50-22

+28

A25/10

NBL

Kobe

#10

36-38

-2

A26/10

NBL

Chiba

36-36

A01/11

NBL

Chiba

53-32

+21

A02/11

NBL

76.5Avg total

42.6Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	33.7	76.1	+8.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.3	39.4	83.8	+4.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.2	29.8	71.0	+11.3	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	33.9	76.5	+8.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	33.0	78.2	+12.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	41.2	33.8	75.0	+7.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (26)	42.6	33.7	76.3	+9.0	62%	-

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

44-38

A04/05

NBL

Alvark

39-36

A05/05

NBL

Brave Thunders

48-41

A10/10

NBL

Brave Thunders

41-38

A11/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

26-33

-7

H18/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

29-43

-14

H19/10

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

51-24

+27

A25/10

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

55-28

+27

A26/10

NBL

Hokkaido

47-35

+12

H01/11

NBL

Hokkaido

44-34

+10

H02/11

NBL

77.4Avg total

42.4Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	36.8	77.3	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	37.1	75.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.2	36.5	78.7	+5.7	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	35.0	77.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	32.8	78.0	+12.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.1	37.4	74.5	-0.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.5	38.6	75.1	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	46.9	34.9	81.8	+12.0	91%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.8	18.2	39.9	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	15.2	23.0	38.2	-7.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (26)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+3.0	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.4	39.9	+1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.1	20.5	38.5	-2.4	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.7	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.4	40.6	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.0	18.9	41.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (26)	22.8	18.3	41.1	+4.5	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	21.9	44.2	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	21.6	41.5	-1.8	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.6	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	37.8	80.9	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.8	37.1	81.8	+7.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.1	38.2	80.3	+3.8	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	39.5	78.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (4)	34.0	42.0	76.0	-8.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (26)	44.5	37.1	81.7	+7.4	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	41.8	83.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	42.4	82.6	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	41.3	84.2	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.5	85.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	43.2	88.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.9	42.1	80.0	-4.2	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	43.4	44.1	87.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.2	39.8	84.0	+4.4	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Tochigi Brex wins

Date	Game	Score
05/05/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	74-59
04/05/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	81-95
03/05/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	105-86
05/04/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	80-79
04/04/14	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	89-74
03/11/13	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	86-85
02/11/13	Tochigi Brex v Alvark	73-77
29/09/13	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	98-78
28/09/13	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	86-78
19/02/12	Alvark v Tochigi Brex	108-86 OT

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/14	A	Chiba	94-69
01/11/14	A	Chiba	69-72
26/10/14	A	Kobe	81-74
25/10/14	A	Kobe	94-66
18/10/14	H	Hokkaido	100-76
17/10/14	H	Hokkaido	73-92
12/10/14	A	Tsukuba	95-59
11/10/14	A	Tsukuba	82-62
11/05/14	A	Brave Thunders	71-86
10/05/14	A	Brave Thunders	61-78

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/14	H	Hokkaido	72-66
01/11/14	H	Hokkaido	97-76
26/10/14	A	Tsukuba	105-69
25/10/14	A	Tsukuba	98-77
19/10/14	H	Sun Rockers	78-92
18/10/14	H	Sun Rockers	59-91
11/10/14	A	Brave Thunders	92-75
10/10/14	A	Brave Thunders	87-84
05/05/14	A	Alvark	59-74
04/05/14	A	Alvark	95-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	75%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WWWLW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	2	6
Win %	75%	50%	83%
Points / game	86.0	86.5	85.8
Allowed / game	71.2	84.0	67.0
Point differential	+14.8	+2.5	+18.8
Avg total	157.2	170.5	152.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	75%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	75%	50%	100%
Points / game	86.0	76.5	95.5
Allowed / game	78.8	81.2	76.2
Point differential	+7.2	-4.8	+19.2
Avg total	164.8	157.8	171.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	25%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	7	7	0	100%	88.6	63.3	+25.3
2	Sun Rockers	8	7	1	88%	85.6	71.4	+14.2
3	Alvark	8	6	2	75%	86.0	71.2	+14.8
4	Tochigi Brex	8	6	2	75%	86.0	78.8	+7.2
5	Diamond Dolphins	8	5	3	62%	79.8	74.6	+5.1
6	Brave Thunders	6	3	3	50%	82.5	77.8	+4.7
7	Chiba	8	4	4	50%	75.4	74.2	+1.1
8	Hiroshima D.	6	3	3	50%	72.0	71.3	+0.7
9	Trians	8	3	5	38%	68.0	76.9	-8.9
10	Kobe	9	3	6	33%	70.2	77.7	-7.4
11	Hokkaido	8	2	6	25%	76.1	83.8	-7.6
12	Tsukuba	8	0	8	0%	67.0	91.5	-24.5
13	Kumamoto	6	0	6	0%	67.3	93.0	-25.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	24	11	18	17	70
Tochigi Brex	18	19	22	26	85

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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